February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins

[Kingwood36]

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[tireman4]

That ICON model is brutal, if it verifies. There has to be some moderation to it, I would think

[Kingwood36]

I agree we dont need it to be that damn cold... hell 30 degrees is plenty cold for wintery mix..lol screw this

[TexasBreeze]

Talk about a lot of property and vehicle problems! My truck wouldn't like temps anywhere below freezing! I have never seen a model that cold here before. 9 around Montgomery county and -20's panhandle???
Still a more entertaining model pic to see than the Super bowl was tonight.

[Kingwood36]

That is just NASTY LOOKING!!!! Gotta give it credit tho..it has been constant non stop

[Cpv17]

Talk about a lot of property and vehicle problems! My truck wouldn't like temps anywhere below freezing! I have never seen a model that cold here before. 9 around Montgomery county and -20's panhandle???
Still a more entertaining model pic to see than the Super bowl was tonight.

Yeah, no kidding! That game was trash lol I couldn’t even finish watching it. And it has gotten into the single digits before in southeast Texas. If it’s happened before then I guess it could happen again. Who knows. That’s a long ways out still.

[Stormlover2020]

Snow pack up north will make it colder

[don]

0Z GFS still has the arctic front coming through,and still has a wintry mix on the 15th fwiw.

[Kingwood36]

0Z GFS still has the arctic front coming through,and still has a wintry mix on the 15th fwiw.

Its kept that wintery mix for a decent amount now..maybe...

[Kingwood36]

Cmc is colder also

[don]

The CMC switched back to being cold,and now has the winter storm on the 15th again also.

[Kingwood36]

Don, do you think the euro will trend colder now?

[don]

I think it may, not only because the other globals are colder this run.But also because the 18z Euro was much colder than its previous run so it could be the start of a trend. But you never know when it comes to these model runs and what there gonna show lol.

[Cpv17]

I think it may, not only because the other globals are colder this run.But also because the 18z Euro was much colder than its previous run so it could be the start of a trend. But you never know when it comes to these model runs and what there gonna show lol.

At first the cold was supposed to come this Tuesday/Wednesday. Then it was Thursday, then Saturday, now Sunday. Just a few hours ago models were showing a winter storm for Saturday. Now it’s pushed back to Monday the 15th. Craziness!

[suprdav2]

Channel 13 showing lows in the upper 30s, highs mid 50s next week with little to no precip.

[don]

0z EURO came in colder than its previous run fwiw,looks like its slowly getting on-board.

[Cpv17]

6z GFS is very cold. Pretty much all models now are showing cold by this weekend. Now we look for consistency and if it’s still showing this by Wednesday then it’s probably coming.

[Stormlover2020]

Yeah news stations by wed when start changing forecast if models still show this!!! Models struggle with shallow air masses from Canada

[Stormlover2020]

06 euro little warmer

[srainhoutx]

You folks should start monitoring the NAM regarding the first front on Wednesday. The NAM does a good job regarding shallow airmasses and may assist in just how cold the first push will be.

Below is the actual temperatures across the Central US. -30F North Dakota with -50F windchill readings stretching from the Yukon Territories to the Northern Plains.