November 2020

[TXWeatherMan]

Just give it a decade or two - mangroves will forest the Texas coast, and Houston will be struggling to dip below 55 in winter.

The mangrove part sounds good, but not dipping below 55 in the winter doesn’t sound that great lol.

[DoctorMu]

Just give it a decade or two - mangroves will forest the Texas coast, and Houston will be struggling to dip below 55 in winter.

The mangrove part sounds good, but not dipping below 55 in the winter doesn’t sound that great lol.

Averages may slowly climb, although cc effects are less in TX than say ND...but we're going to get occasional sub-freezing dips, because of the Great Plains - very little to stop shallow cold air.

[srainhoutx]

There will never be mangrove in Texas...period.

[jasons2k]

There will never be mangrove in Texas...period.

They have been creeping up the coast for decades. They’re very prevalent near Port Aransas now - I’ve seen it myself - and some stands are even getting established near Galveston.

https://uh.edu/mangrove/

Models predict that an increase in winter minimum temperatures of 2-4° C may lead to black mangroves replacing salt marsh on 100% of the Texas coast and 95% of the Louisiana coast (Osland et al. 2013).

[TXWeatherMan]

There will never be mangrove in Texas...period.

I don’t think so either, but it would be good for fishing

[kyzsl51]

Wtf is mangrove??

[TXWeatherMan]

Wtf is mangrove??

A plant that grows along the coast and bays, mainly in south Florida and very tropical places.

[snowman65]

how did y'all like our winter this year?

[redneckweather]

how did y'all like our winter this year?

Typical La Nina but I think we all will be in for a wintry surprise or two this winter which isn't here yet. I'm not too fond of El Nino winters down here. They typically give us cold (not cold enough for wintry precip) and wet weather which gets in the bones. Those deep Canadian fronts just don't penetrate far enough south in El Nino winters to give us a good shot of cold air for wintry precip, at least it seems that way to me.

I'm liking our chances this winter where fronts can't penetrate deep into the south. All we will need is some moisture to work with.

[jasons2k]

This photo is from a fishing trip I took down in Port A back in 2015. That’s mangrove. I don’t have more pictures but in other places, there were massive groves of mangroves that had overtaken a lot of the old fishing camps.

By the way the fishing is great by the mangroves. And they filter the water, too.

06DD5864-F0EB-46C0-BF82-14A77BDB93DF.jpeg

[Cpv17]

how did y'all like our winter this year?

Typical La Nina but I think we all will be in for a wintry surprise or two this winter which isn't here yet. I'm not too fond of El Nino winters down here. They typically give us cold (not cold enough for wintry precip) and wet weather which gets in the bones. Those deep Canadian fronts just don't penetrate far enough south in El Nino winters to give us a good shot of cold air for wintry precip, at least it seems that way to me.

I'm liking our chances this winter where fronts can't penetrate deep into the south. All we will need is some moisture to work with.

La Niña’s can produce major artic outbreaks than El Niño’s can’t. I’m sure most of y’all know that but there’s always a chance for that when having a La Niña.

[jasons2k]

Yeah, saying winter is already over is like saying “season cancelled” in July when there is a lull in tropical activity.

[Ptarmigan]

how did y'all like our winter this year?

Typical La Nina but I think we all will be in for a wintry surprise or two this winter which isn't here yet. I'm not too fond of El Nino winters down here. They typically give us cold (not cold enough for wintry precip) and wet weather which gets in the bones. Those deep Canadian fronts just don't penetrate far enough south in El Nino winters to give us a good shot of cold air for wintry precip, at least it seems that way to me.

I'm liking our chances this winter where fronts can't penetrate deep into the south. All we will need is some moisture to work with.

La Niña’s can produce major artic outbreaks than El Niño’s can’t. I’m sure most of y’all know that but there’s always a chance for that when having a La Niña.

Some of the longest freezes occurred in La Nina winter like in January/February 1951 and February 1989. February 1895 and February 1899 occurred in La Nina winter.

[Cromagnum]

When is the next chance for any meaningful rain? I dont think I've seen any at my house since September.

[Cpv17]

When is the next chance for any meaningful rain? I dont think I've seen any at my house since September.

I’m not sure but I can tell you the next two weeks look pretty dry so maybe sometime after that but I doubt it. Like I said a while back, I think we’re about to be in a drought.

[tropiKal]

It's true that previous La Nina's have brought wintry events. But by and large, they literally have to thread the needle - upper level support largely is north away from SE Texas during such winters. Even the subtropical jet would barely have an effect.

So it's going to be pure wall-to-wall heat and sunshine during this winter, souped up with the heating planet. Because subtropical highs are displaced northward in La Nina's, things will eventually become solidly wetter during summer (see: 2012).

[Cromagnum]

What is ETA doing now?

[snowman65]

you know things are extremely dull when there aren't any posts in here for 4 days....in mid November lol

[Cromagnum]

you know things are extremely dull when there aren't any posts in here for 4 days....in mid November lol

Hot and humid with zero rain for the next week. Of course nobody is posting.

[jasons2k]

ETA is the only thing worth watching. The forecast was one of the biggest busts I’ve seen. My relatives down on the Fl West Coast have been put through an emotional shredder this week.