November 2020

[tireman4]

May it be cool...or cold

[sambucol]

Cold!!!!!

[Kingwood36]

Knowing our luck...muggy and hot

[Cromagnum]

Not holding my breath for cold.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Not holding my breath for cold.

LOL, unless you live in Beaumont, it’s going to get chilly here.

I’ll be in the 40s three days this week!

[Cromagnum]

Not holding my breath for cold.

LOL, unless you live in Beaumont, it’s going to get chilly here.

I’ll be in the 40s three days this week!

I live south of Pearland. Its not getting cold.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Not holding my breath for cold.

LOL, unless you live in Beaumont, it’s going to get chilly here.

I’ll be in the 40s three days this week!

I see three days with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40/low 50s

My winds just went North

I live south of Pearland. Its not getting cold.

[DoctorMu]

Extended mild conditions for the first half of November. That's actually pretty typical. Can't say this in most place in the country. South Central/Brazos Valley's best weather is usually in November. The last couple of years we had really humid an unseasonable wx. Blah! We may have more normal weather before La Nina does it's thing (which is not always its norm).

Winter disappoints too often. Summer is what it is. College Station has less capping than HGX so there's one eye open at all times during severe season.

[DoctorMu]

LOL, unless you live in Beaumont, it’s going to get chilly here.

I’ll be in the 40s three days this week!

I see three days with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40/low 50s

My winds just went North

I live south of Pearland. Its not getting cold.

This is our 3 days of winter. In October. lol

60s and 70s after today for awhile.

[Cpv17]

Extended mild conditions for the first half of November. That's actually pretty typical. Can't say this in most place in the country. South Central/Brazos Valley's best weather is usually in November. The last couple of years we had really humid an unseasonable wx. Blah! We may have more normal weather before La Nina does it's thing (which is not always its norm).

Winter disappoints too often. Summer is what it is. College Station has less capping than HGX so there's one eye open at all times during severe season.

I’m not so sure about that. Models are hinting at something (possibly significant) in around 10 days or so.

[Cpv17]

There looks to be a big storm developing on the Euro at day 10 with significant ridging over the GOA. Something to watch.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Extended mild conditions for the first half of November. That's actually pretty typical. Can't say this in most place in the country. South Central/Brazos Valley's best weather is usually in November. The last couple of years we had really humid an unseasonable wx. Blah! We may have more normal weather before La Nina does it's thing (which is not always its norm).

Winter disappoints too often. Summer is what it is. College Station has less capping than HGX so there's one eye open at all times during severe season.

I’m not so sure about that. Models are hinting at something (possibly significant) in around 10 days or so.

Another EPO tank

[DoctorMu]

Extended mild conditions for the first half of November. That's actually pretty typical. Can't say this in most place in the country. South Central/Brazos Valley's best weather is usually in November. The last couple of years we had really humid an unseasonable wx. Blah! We may have more normal weather before La Nina does it's thing (which is not always its norm).

Winter disappoints too often. Summer is what it is. College Station has less capping than HGX so there's one eye open at all times during severe season.

I’m not so sure about that. Models are hinting at something (possibly significant) in around 10 days or so.

Another EPO tank

I'm seeing mostly nothing until the 8-10th as of 12z.

Zeta remnants are off the coast of NC now. Wow. Good riddance.

[Cromagnum]

Nice (brief) spurt of upper 40s but looks to get no higher than mid 70s this coming week. Should be nice.

[jasons2k]

Nice (brief) spurt of upper 40s but looks to get no higher than mid 70s this coming week. Should be nice.

Alright, so for all of those who complain that we have two weeks of winter and then 50 weeks of summer hell every year, I present to you the seven day forecast. It doesn’t get much nicer than this.

[DoctorMu]

Nice (brief) spurt of upper 40s but looks to get no higher than mid 70s this coming week. Should be nice.

Alright, so for all of those who complain that we have two weeks of winter and then 50 weeks of summer hell every year, I present to you the seven day forecast. It doesn’t get much nicer than this.

Chamber of Commerce weather. Serenity Now! until possibly the 10th.

[Cpv17]

Drought may be coming with the way things are looking. Hopefully I’m wrong.

[Ptarmigan]

Super Typhoon Goni made landfall on the Catanduanes, Philippines.



Goni made landfall as a Category 5 super typhoon. Now it is a tropical storm.
https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp2220web.txt

Code: Select all

WTPN31 PGTW 011500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 22W (GONI) WARNING NR 019//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 22W (GONI) WARNING NR 019    
   DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 22W
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   011200Z --- NEAR 14.1N 121.2E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF 
     SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N 121.2E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   020000Z --- 14.6N 118.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   021200Z --- 14.8N 116.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   030000Z --- 14.9N 114.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   031200Z --- 14.8N 113.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   041200Z --- 14.5N 111.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   051200Z --- 14.1N 109.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   120 HRS, VALID AT:
   061200Z --- 13.3N 106.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
011500Z POSITION NEAR 14.2N 120.6E.
01NOV20. TROPICAL STORM 22W (GONI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 32 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. DOWNGRADED
FROM TYPHOON. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z, 020300Z, 020900Z AND 
021500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ATSANI) WARNINGS 
(WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

The area east of the Philippines is Tropical Depression 23W (Atsani)

[Ptarmigan]

Extended mild conditions for the first half of November. That's actually pretty typical. Can't say this in most place in the country. South Central/Brazos Valley's best weather is usually in November. The last couple of years we had really humid an unseasonable wx. Blah! We may have more normal weather before La Nina does it's thing (which is not always its norm).

Winter disappoints too often. Summer is what it is. College Station has less capping than HGX so there's one eye open at all times during severe season.

I’m not so sure about that. Models are hinting at something (possibly significant) in around 10 days or so.

Another EPO tank

I looked at the 500 millibar level for geopotential height. I looked at dates where Houston saw freezes in November.
https://psl.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/data/compo ... .day.v2.pl

There is ridging over Alaska and Northwestern Canada, which is negative East Pacific Oscillation (EPO). EPO has played a major role in cold blasts, even if North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is positive.

Interesting some decades see more freezes than other decades.

[snowman65]

don't be surprised lol