November 2020
Cold!!!!!
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Knowing our luck...muggy and hot
Not holding my breath for cold.
- MontgomeryCoWx
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Mon Oct 26, 2020 6:09 pmLOL, unless you live in Beaumont, it’s going to get chilly here.
I’ll be in the 40s three days this week!
I live south of Pearland. Its not getting cold.
- MontgomeryCoWx
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Cromagnum wrote: ↑Mon Oct 26, 2020 7:27 pmI see three days with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40/low 50sMontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Mon Oct 26, 2020 6:09 pmLOL, unless you live in Beaumont, it’s going to get chilly here.
I’ll be in the 40s three days this week!
My winds just went North
I live south of Pearland. Its not getting cold.
Team #NeverSummer
Extended mild conditions for the first half of November. That's actually pretty typical. Can't say this in most place in the country. South Central/Brazos Valley's best weather is usually in November. The last couple of years we had really humid an unseasonable wx. Blah! We may have more normal weather before La Nina does it's thing (which is not always its norm).
Winter disappoints too often. Summer is what it is. College Station has less capping than HGX so there's one eye open at all times during severe season.
Winter disappoints too often. Summer is what it is. College Station has less capping than HGX so there's one eye open at all times during severe season.
This is our 3 days of winter. In October. lolMontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Mon Oct 26, 2020 9:00 pmCromagnum wrote: ↑Mon Oct 26, 2020 7:27 pmI see three days with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40/low 50sMontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Mon Oct 26, 2020 6:09 pm
LOL, unless you live in Beaumont, it’s going to get chilly here.
I’ll be in the 40s three days this week!
My winds just went North
I live south of Pearland. Its not getting cold.
60s and 70s after today for awhile.
I’m not so sure about that. Models are hinting at something (possibly significant) in around 10 days or so.DoctorMu wrote: ↑Wed Oct 28, 2020 11:45 am Extended mild conditions for the first half of November. That's actually pretty typical. Can't say this in most place in the country. South Central/Brazos Valley's best weather is usually in November. The last couple of years we had really humid an unseasonable wx. Blah! We may have more normal weather before La Nina does it's thing (which is not always its norm).
Winter disappoints too often. Summer is what it is. College Station has less capping than HGX so there's one eye open at all times during severe season.
There looks to be a big storm developing on the Euro at day 10 with significant ridging over the GOA. Something to watch.
- MontgomeryCoWx
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Another EPO tankCpv17 wrote: ↑Wed Oct 28, 2020 12:47 pmI’m not so sure about that. Models are hinting at something (possibly significant) in around 10 days or so.DoctorMu wrote: ↑Wed Oct 28, 2020 11:45 am Extended mild conditions for the first half of November. That's actually pretty typical. Can't say this in most place in the country. South Central/Brazos Valley's best weather is usually in November. The last couple of years we had really humid an unseasonable wx. Blah! We may have more normal weather before La Nina does it's thing (which is not always its norm).
Winter disappoints too often. Summer is what it is. College Station has less capping than HGX so there's one eye open at all times during severe season.
Team #NeverSummer
I'm seeing mostly nothing until the 8-10th as of 12z.MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Wed Oct 28, 2020 5:50 pmAnother EPO tankCpv17 wrote: ↑Wed Oct 28, 2020 12:47 pmI’m not so sure about that. Models are hinting at something (possibly significant) in around 10 days or so.DoctorMu wrote: ↑Wed Oct 28, 2020 11:45 am Extended mild conditions for the first half of November. That's actually pretty typical. Can't say this in most place in the country. South Central/Brazos Valley's best weather is usually in November. The last couple of years we had really humid an unseasonable wx. Blah! We may have more normal weather before La Nina does it's thing (which is not always its norm).
Winter disappoints too often. Summer is what it is. College Station has less capping than HGX so there's one eye open at all times during severe season.
Zeta remnants are off the coast of NC now. Wow. Good riddance.
Nice (brief) spurt of upper 40s but looks to get no higher than mid 70s this coming week. Should be nice.
Alright, so for all of those who complain that we have two weeks of winter and then 50 weeks of summer hell every year, I present to you the seven day forecast. It doesn’t get much nicer than this.
Chamber of Commerce weather. Serenity Now! until possibly the 10th.
Drought may be coming with the way things are looking. Hopefully I’m wrong.
Super Typhoon Goni made landfall on the Catanduanes, Philippines.
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/3IgGDw3.gif)
Goni made landfall as a Category 5 super typhoon. Now it is a tropical storm.
https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp2220web.txt
The area east of the Philippines is Tropical Depression 23W (Atsani)
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/3IgGDw3.gif)
Goni made landfall as a Category 5 super typhoon. Now it is a tropical storm.
https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp2220web.txt
Code: Select all
WTPN31 PGTW 011500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 22W (GONI) WARNING NR 019//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 22W (GONI) WARNING NR 019
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 22W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
011200Z --- NEAR 14.1N 121.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N 121.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 14.6N 118.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 14.8N 116.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 14.9N 114.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 14.8N 113.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 14.5N 111.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 14.1N 109.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 13.3N 106.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
011500Z POSITION NEAR 14.2N 120.6E.
01NOV20. TROPICAL STORM 22W (GONI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 32 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. DOWNGRADED
FROM TYPHOON. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z, 020300Z, 020900Z AND
021500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ATSANI) WARNINGS
(WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN
I looked at the 500 millibar level for geopotential height. I looked at dates where Houston saw freezes in November.MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Wed Oct 28, 2020 5:50 pmAnother EPO tankCpv17 wrote: ↑Wed Oct 28, 2020 12:47 pmI’m not so sure about that. Models are hinting at something (possibly significant) in around 10 days or so.DoctorMu wrote: ↑Wed Oct 28, 2020 11:45 am Extended mild conditions for the first half of November. That's actually pretty typical. Can't say this in most place in the country. South Central/Brazos Valley's best weather is usually in November. The last couple of years we had really humid an unseasonable wx. Blah! We may have more normal weather before La Nina does it's thing (which is not always its norm).
Winter disappoints too often. Summer is what it is. College Station has less capping than HGX so there's one eye open at all times during severe season.
https://psl.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/data/compo ... .day.v2.pl
There is ridging over Alaska and Northwestern Canada, which is negative East Pacific Oscillation (EPO). EPO has played a major role in cold blasts, even if North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is positive.
Interesting some decades see more freezes than other decades.