October 2020

[don]

Delta seems to be one of those rare storms where the western side may have more moisture than the eastern half of the Hurricane. You can even see that on infrared right now, where the western side has more robust convection. Probably due to the placement of the trough to the west of Delta, with high pressure to the east.Due to moisture convergence along the eastern edge of the trough. The Texas Tech wrf shows this.

[DoctorMu]

I agree, this is a larger version of Laura with a stronger Western side. NHC has been pretty consistent over the last 48 hours with a nudge west right into the LC/Laura's path. Delta will pass close enough to Galveston and the Texas coast where impacts will be felt in surge, rain, some tropical force wind.

Time will tell, but we could definitely see more rain in CLL than Laura. I hope everyone in the Golden Triangle and LC stays safe and the winds tamp down.

[jasons2k]

Side note - too bad we won't have the Lake Charles radar up for this storm.

[Rip76]

I agree, this is a larger version of Laura with a stronger Western side.

Wasn't Laura bumping up against a some 2011-ish dry air as well?

[Rip76]

Side note - too bad we won't have the Lake Charles radar up for this storm.

I didn't think about that.

[javakah]

Side note - too bad we won't have the Lake Charles radar up for this storm.

"Mobile radar on the way – U of Oklahoma’s Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies (@oucimms) and @NOAA
@NEXRADROC are deploying a mobile radar unit to Lake Charles, LA to provide additional radar coverage during Hurricane Delta."



https://twitter.com/NWS/status/1314254995429130245

The link they provided where I think it's supposed to be is here (although has old Sally data at the moment)
http://smartr.metr.ou.edu/smartr2/latest/

[jasons2k]

Side note - too bad we won't have the Lake Charles radar up for this storm.

"Mobile radar on the way – U of Oklahoma’s Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies (@oucimms) and @NOAA
@NEXRADROC are deploying a mobile radar unit to Lake Charles, LA to provide additional radar coverage during Hurricane Delta."

https://twitter.com/NWS/status/1314254995429130245

The link they provided where I think it's supposed to be is here (although has old Sally data at the moment)
http://smartr.metr.ou.edu/smartr2/latest/

Thank you for this one!

[Stormlover2020]

Hrr is cutting is close!!!

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 0818&fh=17

[tireman4]

Side note - too bad we won't have the Lake Charles radar up for this storm.

Ya think? It took a beating.

[tireman4]

000
FXUS64 KHGX 081741
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1241 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2020

.AVIATION [18Z TAF Issuance]...

Bands of showers associated with Hurricane Delta are continuing to
move onshore and across SE TX this afternoon. So per these trends,
will keep with the mention of VCSH/-SHRAs in as prevailing for the
rest of the day. With the bands of heavier rains moving in tonight
through early Fri morning ahead of Delta`s landfall in southern LA,
cannot argue with the lower CIGS/MVFR overnight into tomorrow. Did
also keep with the higher winds and gusts from 30-36kts for GLS by
05Z tonight through tomorrow morning. 41

[Scott747]

Recon going in for the first fix of the afternoon mission. Looked w of the track but has adjusted back to the nw somewhat.

Does look closer to about 93.3 which would put it a little further w ahead of schedule.

[snowman65]

What are the odds the center moves to the TX/LA border?

[sau27]

Looks like recon is finding about a 12 mb drop since the 1 pm advisory. Yikes

[davidiowx]

Delta looks to be bombing out now..

[Scott747]

Still tracking a little w of forecast.

TS warning now from San Luis to Sargent.

[Rip76]

Looks like recon is finding about a 12 mb drop since the 1 pm advisory. Yikes

Wow

[Rip76]

TS Warning Galveston County

[Kingwood36]

Brazoria county as well

[Texaspirate11]

Cat 3 now

[Andrew]

It is going to be interesting to see if we are seeing the NNW turn now or if it's just a wobble. Most models indicate that east of I-45 could still see TS force winds and some banding, so expect some minor impacts even for the Houston region.