October 2020

[Cpv17]

Hwrf 18 shifts west

Yeah but it’s still a good ways away from Texas.

[Cromagnum]

Looks like it means business tonight.

[DoctorMu]

Laura II path 2 days out.

[Scott747]

Well they can keep saying it's moving nw but the movement has been wnw for almost 6 hrs now. Closer to due w since the 4 pm advisory. Doesn't mean it's becoming a threat to the upper Texas coast but the further w it gets before turning will increase the impacts for our area.

[Cpv17]

Well they can keep saying it's moving nw but the movement has been wnw for almost 6 hrs now. Closer to due w since the 4 pm advisory. Doesn't mean it's becoming a threat to the upper Texas coast but the further w it gets before turning will increase the impacts for our area.

I have a question. If there’s supposedly a trough over Texas then why wouldn’t the trough pull it towards us? I’ve always thought tc’s get picked up by troughs and are tugged towards them, not away from them?

[Rip76]

Well they can keep saying it's moving nw but the movement has been wnw for almost 6 hrs now. Closer to due w since the 4 pm advisory. Doesn't mean it's becoming a threat to the upper Texas coast but the further w it gets before turning will increase the impacts for our area.

I have a question. If there’s supposedly a trough over Texas then why wouldn’t the trough pull it towards us? I’ve always thought tc’s get picked up by troughs and are tugged towards them, not away from them?

I would think that would depend, where over Texas.

[jabcwb2]

Yes, I am confused, too.

[jabcwb2]

Yes, I am confused, too.

[Scott747]

Well they can keep saying it's moving nw but the movement has been wnw for almost 6 hrs now. Closer to due w since the 4 pm advisory. Doesn't mean it's becoming a threat to the upper Texas coast but the further w it gets before turning will increase the impacts for our area.

I have a question. If there’s supposedly a trough over Texas then why wouldn’t the trough pull it towards us? I’ve always thought tc’s get picked up by troughs and are tugged towards them, not away from them?

The weakness created by the trough will be further e by the time Beta feels it. Plus the ridge only extends so far to push it any further w.

It does look like the ridge is a little stronger and why it could be having this short-term movement. I can't see whatever is left of gamma doing it.

[Stormlover2020]

Scott, nhc said it’s moving nw

[Scott747]

Scott, nhc said it’s moving nw

The longer term motion is probably still 305, but so far these last two recon missions have shown a more westerly heading. There will be another fix in 30 min and there very well could be a jump back towards the nw.

[Stormlover2020]

Thanks

[Rip76]

I’ve been looking at satellite for a bit. It’s WNW.

[Stormlover2020]

I’ve been looking at satellite for a bit. It’s WNW.

Thanks rip, my eyes are hurting lol

[Scott747]

Latest fix continues with a more westerly motion. It's beginning to eat up longitude...

[Stormlover2020]

Latest fix continues with a more westerly motion. It's beginning to eat up longitude...

Keeps updates coming

[Rip76]

Latest fix continues with a more westerly motion. It's beginning to eat up longitude...

Yes. Unfortunately

[bdog38]

This is a fast storm. hard time to prepare. monitor

[Rip76]

May be seeing NW now, and some possible eye making an appearance.

[prospects8903]

I’ve noticed where they have mentioned an extreme SETX landfall lately