September 2020:

[don]

Beta looks better than I expected this morning.

[DoctorMu]

Beta definitely has some dry air to deal with (no secret there) but that moist air down in the BoC is interesting. Anyone think that blob could end up helping feed Beta some additional moisture?

Beta is beating back the dry air like a machete in the jungle.

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/c ... &length=24

I noticed that...how will that affect the storm

Beta certainly won't strengthen...but it's not giving up the ghost, or naked swirl. Folks are sleeping on it. Beta is going to make its impact felt in rain bands and some surge.

[Stormlover2020]

Looks better today

[DoctorMu]

Beta looks better than I expected this morning.

It's a legit tropical storm aiming to prove 57 wrong. Beta is a "Bay City Roller," coming ashore near there. The radar presentation has really picked up.

[DoctorMu]

Beta's core is deepening and moving toward the center.

https://www.weathernerds.org/satellite/ ... nitsst=Off

[Scott747]

Well that ain't no vortex that's producing these latest obs. Solid set of 50-55 kt readings as it closes in on the center.

[Waded]

The rain band over the Bay Area is nice. Beta has already far surpassed Laura as far as storm effects goes for me.

[Rip76]

Solid rain in Friendswood now.

Finally a set up that I can enjoy without wondering if I should leave, etc.

Weather lover's dream scenario.

[DoctorMu]

Solid rain in Friendswood now.

Finally a set up that I can enjoy without wondering if I should leave, etc.

Weather lover's dream scenario.

If there was ever a tropical system we could enjoy this could be it. No Jeff Piotrowski with the car cam focused on a bending pole or anything either.

We can't be completely complacent about the surge though and 8 foot swells. High tide in Galveston is 8:36 pm.

https://tides4fishing.com/us/texas/galveston-pier-21

[Scott747]

Yeah I think the center is reforming to the NW....

[Katdaddy]

A refreshing .30" in W League City with cool breezy N winds.

[DoctorMu]

Yeah I think the center is reforming to the NW....

Beta center and storms are starting to converge and go into beast mode.

[Scott747]

Yeah I think the center is reforming to the NW....

I should say more wnw. No way that it's moving that quickly.

[don]

Latest 12z HRWF and HMON have both increased rainfall substantially from the previous run. Showing heavy rain across Southeast Texas north and east of the center.

[CRASHWX]

Beto is moistening it’s environment and may be a surprise? Dry air looks to be locked out for the time being...and I agree the center does look like it has reformed....in the last few frames of the Geo you see the swirl working under the convection.

[Stormlover2020]

Storm 2 k says maybe new center farther west

[Rip76]

Storm 2 k says maybe new center farther west

I was thinking that from IR

[Scott747]

About 998 at the new center which looks to be about 30 miles to the wnw of the previous fix.

Can't say it's strengthening but it's far more organized than earlier. Could be just a temporary pulse. Should get another fix or two from recon to confirm.

[Andrew]

Beta looking pretty good on radar, but I suspect the system remains rather tilted with the LLC further east. It will be interesting to see if the center does make a full transition to the NW under the heavier convection. Most global models continue to not show any crazy QPF numbers, so we will likely have to watch where banding sets up.

[CRASHWX]

It’s trying real hard to not be an under achiever...and agree center does look west and its that blob of convection that looks to be helping push the dry air away and moisten the environment. How many times have we seen storms crossing the Atlantic and carve out a pocket in dry air and thrive.