September 2020:

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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DoctorMu
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Rip76 wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 5:56 pm
Dry air?
Quite a bit, but there's a surge of the wet stuff attempting to clear a path toward Corpus.
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don
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New tropical models notice how they have Beta now aimed at the middle Texas coast.
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22L_tracks_latest (1).png
Last edited by don on Fri Sep 18, 2020 8:38 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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jasons2k
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I think it's safe to say this is no longer a MX threat.
Karen
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Looks like a kid scribbling ugh
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DoctorMu
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Karen wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 8:08 pm Looks like a kid scribbling ugh

...and we have achieved a perfect circle as a cone.
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230146_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind-1.png
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don
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Latest 18z GFS ensembles and Para ensembles.
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22L_gefs_latest.png
22L_gefs-para_latest.png
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Rip76
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This breeze is killer.
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Rip76 wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 8:55 pm This breeze is killer.
Agreed. Feels amazing.
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srainhoutx
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Look for a stronger Beta with the 10 PM update and a track shift very close to Matagorda Bay.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Rip76
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srainhoutx wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 9:12 pm Look for a stronger Beta with the 10 PM update and a track shift very close to Matagorda Bay.
996 mb
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tireman4
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srainhoutx wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 9:12 pm Look for a stronger Beta with the 10 PM update and a track shift very close to Matagorda Bay.


You think they hoist watches tomorrow?
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srainhoutx
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tireman4 wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 9:19 pm
srainhoutx wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 9:12 pm Look for a stronger Beta with the 10 PM update and a track shift very close to Matagorda Bay.


You think they hoist watches tomorrow?
It's very possible. May see Beta very near the Coast on Monday.
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Kingwood36
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Hiw can this be close to the coast on Monday when nhc doesn't have it close to the coast till Wednesday?
Cromagnum
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Its moving NNE right now. What is going on that it goes due west for a while and then turns NE again aftet?
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DoctorMu
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Rip76 wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 8:55 pm This breeze is killer.
Feels great. Taking the dog out for a run.
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DoctorMu
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Cromagnum wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 9:28 pm Its moving NNE right now. What is going on that it goes due west for a while and then turns NE again aftet?
Beta Blocker ridge.
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DoctorMu wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 9:37 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 9:28 pm Its moving NNE right now. What is going on that it goes due west for a while and then turns NE again aftet?
Beta Blocker ridge.
Beta blocker, nice.
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Hurricane watch issued for port Aransas to high island
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Rip76
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Wow
Pretty sure on that track.
Last edited by Rip76 on Fri Sep 18, 2020 10:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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don
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As expected track has shifted north and a Hurricane watch had been issued.
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025959_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png
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