September 2020:
By Tuesday Euro is near Port A as a weak to moderate ts moving slowly n. Ridging is a tad stronger this run.
The data from the recon tonight will clarify more regarding track and areas that will receive the rainfall. The models might change.
12z EURO shows a setup for very heavy rainfall amounts in Southeast Texas as the storm sits basically stationary around Matagorda Bay.And slowly rides the coast similar to the GFS.
By Wednesday it's a little inland over brazoria county and lifting me.
Euro has ever so slightly moved towards what the GFS is depicting. Even the Ukie did as well though not as much.
This Euro run looks like a huge rainmaker all along the TX coast. We def need rain but I don't want a foot of it in a few days..
Something I’ve noticed on the Euro is that it seems to be trending a lil more west with each passing run. Y’all seeing this too?
Port A? Port Aransas or Port Arthur?
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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Euro has been little west biased about 30-50 miles al year
As I mentioned the Euro is swinging around to what the GFS is showing. Stronger ridging and delayed interaction with the trough.
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I'd guess with the 4 pm update there will be a subtle shift w towards the lower Texas coast with intensity remaining the same.
If we flood again I will literally set my house on fire and never come back.
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If these small west shifts continue, we could see our rainfall totals go up significantly. Something to watch.
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I guess Dr Jim's forecast of going east and not affecting texas didnt pan out