September 2020:

[Cpv17]

Down into the mid 60’s here in Wharton this morning. What the heck?!?! Wasn’t expecting that. Fine with me though because I have to cut the grass this morning.

[tireman4]

The NWS did say the ( Luchs said it, I think) that the front was overperforming.

[tireman4]

Luchs, this morning, on the front..

This could require
significant amending very quickly if the front does wobble
through the field.

[tireman4]

The Cold Front as of 9:45 am

[jasons2k]

I don’t think that image is correct. You can clearly see the front on visible satellite. I have a north wind here with a low overcast, and a relatively cool 73 degrees.

[djmike]

The one and only weather excitement I was looking forward to In Beaumont was Mr Cold Front... I guess Beaumont is waaaaay to far east if you guys in Houston may or may not get it. Dang.

[DoctorMu]

The NWS did say the ( Luchs said it, I think) that the front was overperforming.

haha Yes, Luchs did...and I will crow about it until we're back into the usual muck!

63°F 10 mph NNW wind. Cloudy and no chance of 80°F as this cold shallow layer stays underneath the warm air. Models often undervalue the movement of shallow cool/cold air spine-ing down the east side of the Rockies, and as predicted so did this puppy.

Katy and NW Harris co. are barely on the other side of the front. It probably stalls around downtown.

Will enjoy it while it lasts!

[DoctorMu]

The Cold Front as of 9:45 am

hmmmm...That looks like the front is located in downtown Houston, with Spring/The Woodlands barely on the cool side.

[jasons2k]

The Cold Front as of 9:45 am

hmmmm...That looks like the front is located in downtown Houston, with Spring/The Woodlands barely on the cool side.

Pull-up the visible satellite loop. Even the radar has it. It’s still going...

[DoctorMu]

The Cold Front as of 9:45 am

hmmmm...That looks like the front is located in downtown Houston, with Spring/The Woodlands barely on the cool side.

Pull-up the visible satellite loop. Even the radar has it. It’s still going...

Go, baby, Go! The models have been experiencing their own 2020.

[jasons2k]

Looks like it’s starting to wash out now. It’s so shallow the SE flow is starting to tear it apart.

[djmike]

Yet so close...

[djmike]

91 in Beaumont and 83 in Houston. Im so jelly... enjoy.

[DoctorMu]

Looks like it’s starting to wash out now. It’s so shallow the SE flow is starting to tear it apart.

The Empire strikes back, pushing back at Sugarland with eyes on Katy.

[DoctorMu]

91 in Beaumont and 83 in Houston. Im so jelly... enjoy.

66°F here.

For now. Washout approaching from the east.

[Cromagnum]

This better stir up some rain.

[Scott747]

Things sure have become more interesting the last 24 hrs. The area down in the Bahamas is up to a 40% chance of developing as it enters the gulf. For now more targeted towards the general direction of se la, but wouldn't take much of a shift to put the upper Texas coast in play.

[Scott747]

I'd guess it will get an invest tag soon and hurricane model output will start running soon after.

[Scott747]

So the operational runs are fairly weak or show basically nothing. The operational runs however have started lighting up beginning with the 6z runs. 12z GFS has more members showing weak development with a movement towards the ngom, then the majority of members move w towards Texas.

Still low confidence at this point with little other modeling support, but definitely time to take a little more notice....

[Cromagnum]

Looks like the SE flow is fighting the front and causing mischief now.