August 2020:

[DoctorMu]

GEFS-Para - very slightly west of 18z so far.

[Kingwood36]

0z GFS - about a 10-20 mile slight shift to the West on landfall.

Oh lord here we go again with the night time shifts to the west

[Rip76]

0z GFS - about a 10-20 mile slight shift to the West on landfall.

Yep.

[Texashawk]

Well, Laura needs to start making that big fly turn towards the NW if she's gonna hit the NHC forecast points. Should I be wobble watching at this point, or will it make that much of a difference for us?

[sambucol]

CMC is just East of Galveston.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 512&fh=114

[TXWeatherMan]

Anybody know where the 00Z UKMET is?

[TXWeatherMan]

Up to 105 MPH

[Andrew]

Anybody know where the 00Z UKMET is?

UKMET shifted a little east but it's still west of the overall consensus. Closer to the Chambers/Jefferson county line.

[TXWeatherMan]

Anybody know where the 00Z UKMET is?

UKMET shifted a little east but it's still west of the overall consensus. Closer to the Chambers/Jefferson county line.

Thanks

[Andrew]

Up to 105 MPH

Yea cloud temps are really falling now and wrapping around. We may start to see an eye sometime in the morning.

[DoctorMu]

Max winds now at 105 mph. Close to a major hurricane.

[Scott747]

Sure would be nice to have recon out there so you could accurately track a rapidly developing hurricane the is still steaming right towards the upper Texas coast.

Eye seems to be clearing out and heading appears to be still wnw. These are the times without recon that you convince yourself its heading is different than what is actually happening.

Like it sure does look like a more westerly motion. lol

[Texashawk]

Sure would be nice to have recon out there so you could accurately track a rapidly developing hurricane the is still steaming right towards the upper Texas coast.

Eye seems to be clearing out and heading appears to be still wnw. These are the times without recon that you convince yourself its heading is different than what is actually happening.

Like it sure does look like a more westerly motion. lol

So maybe I'm not the only crazy one. It really looks like it's going to miss its next forecast point by a fair ways south and slower.

[Texashawk]

And still has barely moved north, several hours later.

[Texashawk]

Oh, and to those of you just waking up soon: Welcome to Laura, 2.0! Bigger, nastier, and with an all new 'tude.

[Andrew]

Oh, and to those of you just waking up soon: Welcome to Laura, 2.0! Bigger, nastier, and with an all new 'tude.

NHC now calls for the possibility of CAT 4 during landfall. Pretty incredible how fast she has gained strength.

[unome]

Sure would be nice to have recon out there so you could accurately track a rapidly developing hurricane the is still steaming right towards the upper Texas coast.

Eye seems to be clearing out and heading appears to be still wnw. These are the times without recon that you convince yourself its heading is different than what is actually happening.

Like it sure does look like a more westerly motion. lol

If Josh is still looking for a safe place to get data from, NOAA's nowCOAST has a zoomable topo basemap & potential surge overlay - not sure how well it works on mobile devices, I've never tried it there

https://nowcoast.noaa.gov/

https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1298507391588274176

[unome]

Key Messages are pretty dire - I hope people pay heed to advisories

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Laura

key.png

[Ace]

I’m hearing talk about a Southern movement (or SW) in this AF run. Anyone noticing that?

The stats coming in are amazing too.

[weatherguy425]

I’m hearing talk about a Southern movement (or SW) in this AF run. Anyone noticing that?

The stats coming in are amazing too.

Not too different.