August 2020:

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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snowman65
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Kingwood36 wrote: Mon Aug 24, 2020 8:27 pm
snowman65 wrote: Mon Aug 24, 2020 8:26 pm If anyone here is interested, we are selling our house in beautiful Orange, Tx....will pay for closing but must close by Wednesday... :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
does it come with flood insurance 🤔
Yes but not needed if the roof is gone.
Texashawk
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It seems like it’s moving faster than the data points on the models. Would moving faster be good or bad as far as a track into Houston?
jabcwb2
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snowman65 wrote: Mon Aug 24, 2020 8:30 pm
Kingwood36 wrote: Mon Aug 24, 2020 8:27 pm
snowman65 wrote: Mon Aug 24, 2020 8:26 pm If anyone here is interested, we are selling our house in beautiful Orange, Tx....will pay for closing but must close by Wednesday... :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
does it come with flood insurance 🤔
Yes but not needed if the roof is gone.
HILLARIOUS!!!
Andrew
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I'm liking the satellite trend for SE Texas, looks like the center has been tracking a little more north and east of the official track. Let's see what recon finds.
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tireman4
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Oh now Snowman, that is just scandalous
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Rip76
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Andrew wrote: Mon Aug 24, 2020 8:32 pm I'm liking the satellite trend for SE Texas, looks like the center has been tracking a little more north and east of the official track. Let's see what recon finds.
Good
Our lives have been disrupted enough since March.
Last edited by Rip76 on Mon Aug 24, 2020 8:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Tx2005
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Andrew wrote: Mon Aug 24, 2020 8:32 pm I'm liking the satellite trend for SE Texas, looks like the center has been tracking a little more north and east of the official track. Let's see what recon finds.
This is a development I can get behind!
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djmike
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Andrew wrote: Mon Aug 24, 2020 8:32 pm I'm liking the satellite trend for SE Texas, looks like the center has been tracking a little more north and east of the official track. Let's see what recon finds.
Omg. The first sigh of relief. Not big sigh but I can def like that trend. This Cat 4 s*** is got me all worked up. And everyone keeps saying west west west and Im over here in Beaumont saying no no no. That would put us in the eye any more freakn nudges left. Lol. No no no! But...we do have to forecast what we see for safety. No harm in that.
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weatherguy425
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Andrew wrote: Mon Aug 24, 2020 8:32 pm I'm liking the satellite trend for SE Texas, looks like the center has been tracking a little more north and east of the official track. Let's see what recon finds.
Not helping that the system is slightly tilted and undergoing upshear development/organization. Ha!
Kingwood36
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Andrew wrote: Mon Aug 24, 2020 8:32 pm I'm liking the satellite trend for SE Texas, looks like the center has been tracking a little more north and east of the official track. Let's see what recon finds.
Its the shape of the cuban coast that might give the appearance of a more northerly track..it is moving wnw to my untrained eye I believe lol

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jabcwb2
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djmike wrote: Mon Aug 24, 2020 8:41 pm
Andrew wrote: Mon Aug 24, 2020 8:32 pm I'm liking the satellite trend for SE Texas, looks like the center has been tracking a little more north and east of the official track. Let's see what recon finds.
Omg. The first sigh of relief. Not big sigh but I can def like that trend. This Cat 4 s*** is got me all worked up. And everyone keeps saying west west west and Im over here in Beaumont saying no no no. That would put us in the eye any more freakn nudges left. Lol. No no no! But...we do have to forecast what we see for safety. No harm in that.
Great news for you!!!
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Andrew wrote: Mon Aug 24, 2020 8:32 pm
I'm liking the satellite trend for SE Texas, looks like the center has been tracking a little more north and east of the official track. Let's see what recon finds.
So what about Levi’s thoughts re: high pressure that should be farther West than models indicate...thus why UKmet etc showing upper Texas coast?
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Still looks like it's on track to me. Could be the orientation of Cuba that makes it look off. Been a royal pita to track it though so who knows.

I echo the sentiment about checking out Levi's video on TT. Lays it out and why even as far as where I'm at is in play.
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Scott747 wrote: Mon Aug 24, 2020 8:56 pm Still looks like it's on track to me. Could be the orientation of Cuba that makes it look off. Been a royal pita to track it though so who knows.

I echo the sentiment about checking out Levi's video on TT. Lays it out and why even as far as where I'm at is in play.
Recon is actually finding the potential LLC further south. We may be looking at the MLC that is exiting the coast of Cuba now.
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weatherguy425
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An explanation about apparent movement. Other than getting more organized, may not mean much otherwise.

Exactly what you stated, Andrew!
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Kingwood36
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Blake seems perplexed as to why the NHC is ignoring the euro as well
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Cromagnum
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Its hard to see where the CoC is
Kingwood36
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Mandatory evcas for Jefferson county
txbear
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Current recon. As stated above, actual LLC is to the south of the easily visible circulation on the north side. With that said, what are the chances that the LLC drifts north to align the the MLC?

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tireman4
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Kingwood36 wrote: Mon Aug 24, 2020 9:09 pm Blake seems perplexed as to why the NHC is ignoring the euro as well
This is getting stranger and stranger..
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