August 2020:

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
User avatar
djmike
Posts: 1722
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 12:19 pm
Location: BEAUMONT, TX
Contact:

Marco/Laura:
Guys. Please start every comment with either Marco: or Laura: then text. Its hard determining which storm everyone is talking about. Thank you
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
bdog38
Posts: 56
Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2010 10:30 pm
Contact:

djmike wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2020 9:22 pm
bdog38 wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2020 9:13 pm skimming the coastline... right down I10 west. taking Covid19 with it.
Marco?
Marco but lets see new track. them Louisiana swamp trees are tough. :lol:
skidog48
Cpv17
Posts: 5539
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

djmike wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2020 9:24 pm Marco/Laura:
Guys. Please start every comment with either Marco: or Laura: then text. Its hard determining which storm everyone is talking about. Thank you
Most of these posts are pertaining to Laura. Marco looks to be a nonevent for our area compared to what Laura could be.
Scott747
Posts: 1489
Joined: Tue Feb 23, 2010 9:56 am
Location: Freeport/Surfside Beach
Contact:

Really beginning to favor the idea that Laura will reform to the s.
Kingwood36
Posts: 1592
Joined: Sat Dec 29, 2018 10:29 am
Location: Freeport
Contact:

Scott747 wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2020 9:44 pm Really beginning to favor the idea that Laura will reform to the s.
What makes ya think that
bdog38
Posts: 56
Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2010 10:30 pm
Contact:

Cpv17 wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2020 9:33 pm
djmike wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2020 9:24 pm Marco/Laura:
Guys. Please start every comment with either Marco: or Laura: then text. Its hard determining which storm everyone is talking about. Thank you
Most of these posts are pertaining to Laura. Marco looks to be a nonevent for our area compared to what Laura could be.
what is you marco track look like
skidog48
txbear
Posts: 235
Joined: Wed Oct 31, 2018 12:54 pm
Contact:

Just my amateur observation, but seems like Marco hasn’t made that left turn yet and following the HWRF 18z.

Scott, are you thinking Laura’s LLC stacks with the MLC to the south? This would tend to push her further west along the coast at landfall, correct?
User avatar
jasons2k
Posts: 5478
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks
Contact:

Scott747 wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2020 9:44 pm Really beginning to favor the idea that Laura will reform to the s.
I agree and I think that will mean the Euro solution won't pan out. What happens overnight tonight will have big implications on the final landfall location.
Cpv17
Posts: 5539
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

bdog38 wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2020 9:48 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2020 9:33 pm
djmike wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2020 9:24 pm Marco/Laura:
Guys. Please start every comment with either Marco: or Laura: then text. Its hard determining which storm everyone is talking about. Thank you
Most of these posts are pertaining to Laura. Marco looks to be a nonevent for our area compared to what Laura could be.
what is you marco track look like
Similar to the NHC track but on the south side of the cone.
User avatar
djmike
Posts: 1722
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 12:19 pm
Location: BEAUMONT, TX
Contact:

bdog38 wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2020 9:48 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2020 9:33 pm
djmike wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2020 9:24 pm Marco/Laura:
Guys. Please start every comment with either Marco: or Laura: then text. Its hard determining which storm everyone is talking about. Thank you
Most of these posts are pertaining to Laura. Marco looks to be a nonevent for our area compared to what Laura could be.
what is you marco track look like
Marco track goes directly over my house thank you. Although you guys in Houston may not see a gust of wind or rain from him, marco is currently forecasted to have 40-50 winds over me in Beaumont. When someone says “oh it skirts the coast” that can very well mean something changed with Laura too. Rant over.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Kingwood36
Posts: 1592
Joined: Sat Dec 29, 2018 10:29 am
Location: Freeport
Contact:

Tracked shifted east
Attachments
024654_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png
Kingwood36
Posts: 1592
Joined: Sat Dec 29, 2018 10:29 am
Location: Freeport
Contact:

Shifted east
Scott747
Posts: 1489
Joined: Tue Feb 23, 2010 9:56 am
Location: Freeport/Surfside Beach
Contact:

txbear wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2020 9:50 pm Just my amateur observation, but seems like Marco hasn’t made that left turn yet and following the HWRF 18z.

Scott, are you thinking Laura’s LLC stacks with the MLC to the south? This would tend to push her further west along the coast at landfall, correct?

Correct. Not so much as a reformation but aligning up together. Can't be sure and the NHC makes no mention.

Latest update has much of the Houston area out of the cone again.
Andrew
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 3446
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:46 pm
Location: North-West Houston
Contact:

Pretty crazy they shifted so far east.
For Your Infinite Source For All Things Weather Visit Our Facebook
Scott747
Posts: 1489
Joined: Tue Feb 23, 2010 9:56 am
Location: Freeport/Surfside Beach
Contact:

Yeah that's a definite head scratcher.
User avatar
snowman65
Posts: 1191
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 6:39 am
Location: Orange, Tx
Contact:

I was not expecting East..at all...
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4052
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

I would not be surprised if there is a shift again.
User avatar
tireman4
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 4646
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:

I think they are really struggling to deal with both systems. This is showing their uneasiness at the solutions. It will shift again. LOL
User avatar
Belmer
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 744
Joined: Thu Jan 06, 2011 7:29 pm
Location: Dallas, TX
Contact:

Quite surprised with the sudden shift eastward from the NHC. I think between finding out where Laura's center may redevelop and how it transverses over Cuba would hold them off on making any big changes. While good news for Houston being out of the cone, I also worry the public will start writing this storm off as not a threat. If models adjust west again the public will start to ignore this storm with being in and out of the cone with not only from Marco this weekend, but now Laura as well.
Blake
Boomer Sooner
cperk
Posts: 778
Joined: Sun Aug 19, 2012 12:09 pm
Location: Richmond
Contact:

Andrew wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2020 10:08 pm Pretty crazy they shifted so far east.

Maybe those two runs of the euro spooked them,I didn’t expect any adjustments to the forecast track but cangelosi said that even though not explicitly forecast Laura could impact the northwestern gulf as a major hurricane read in to it what you may.
Post Reply
  • Information