August 2020:

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Belmer
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Rip76 wrote: ↑Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:17 am So if Laura were to head this way, just say Galveston landfall for a point of reference.

We would be probably looking at Thursday morning timeframe?
I'd give a timeframe anywhere from 8pm Wednesday through 3am Thursday landfall right now.
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Rip76
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10-4 Thank you
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Ptarmigan
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GFS 1200Z 850 millibar geopotential height. Shows no landfall.

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The most recent NHC forecast has Houston the cone for Laura.

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tireman4
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Meanwhile, back at the ranch...
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sambucol
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How long before we should board up?
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Cromagnum
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How strong would a landfalling storm need to be before considering boarding up windows? I'm about 40 miles from the coast as the crow flies. The compounding issue is i dont already have plywood and plylox so I'm sure hardware stores have already been ransacked.
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Scott747
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Hurricane models initialized a letter better as well. Close to where the Ukie did. So far they are both further w.
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Cpv17
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Hurricane models keep this south of Cuba.
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Scott747
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HMON is headed between Matagorda and Galveston.
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weatherguy425
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Scott747 wrote: ↑Sun Aug 23, 2020 12:30 pm HMON is headed between Matagorda and Galveston.
HWRF coming in further south, west too. Waiting for run to complete.
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Scott747
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Yeah HWRF will come in further w. How much depends on when it turns.

Won't even mention the strength...
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Katdaddy
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Thinking tomorrow afternoon or Tuesday morning for storm panels if the forecast shifts a little more W and remains in the general direction of the Upper TX Coast late tomorrow morning as time would be running out for preps.
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sau27
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Scott747 wrote: ↑Sun Aug 23, 2020 12:36 pm Yeah HWRF will come in further w. How much depends on when it turns.

Won't even mention the strength...
HA! It would be noteworthy if the HWRF didn’t have a cat 4 or 5.
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Scott747
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HMON around Sargent to Freeport/Surfside. Strong 3.
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don
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Scott747 wrote: ↑Sun Aug 23, 2020 12:41 pm HMON around Sargent to Freeport/Surfside. Strong 3.
Yep
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Scott747
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sau27 wrote: ↑Sun Aug 23, 2020 12:40 pm
Scott747 wrote: ↑Sun Aug 23, 2020 12:36 pm Yeah HWRF will come in further w. How much depends on when it turns.

Won't even mention the strength...
HA! It would be noteworthy if the HWRF didn’t have a cat 4 or 5.

Strong 4 12 hrs before landfall.
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Scott747
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HWRF at Bolivar as a strong 4.
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DoctorMu
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weatherguy425 wrote: ↑Sun Aug 23, 2020 12:35 pm
Scott747 wrote: ↑Sun Aug 23, 2020 12:30 pm HMON is headed between Matagorda and Galveston.
HWRF coming in further south, west too. Waiting for run to complete.
Bombing out as Laura approaches the east end of Bolivar Peninsula.
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Texaspirate11
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Question for pro mets what affect could marco have churning up the waters on Laura??
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DoctorMu
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