June 2020

[Kingwood36]

What is the possilbility of “Dolly” forming in the Gulf of Honduras?

[Cpv17]

12z GFS has it heading towards NOLA and then puts on its brakes and scrapes the entire Louisiana coastline and goes into the TX/LA border as a 997mb tropical storm.

[TexasBreeze]

Then it slowly moves through east/ne TX and does a loop east then south towards the Gulf again. Doesn't do much afterwards.

[don]

I was ready throw in the towel on this one but today's 12z GFS,NAM and ICON models have shifted decently west as they show a stronger ridge.

[Kingwood36]

I was ready throw in the towel on this one but today's 12z GFS,CMC, and ICON models have shifted decently west as they show a stronger ridge.

Well wx57 is standing strong on no tx hit so....and you know how he gets when you go against him

[Kingwood36]

I was ready throw in the towel on this one but today's 12z GFS,CMC, and ICON models have shifted decently west as they show a stronger ridge.

Well wx57 is standing strong on no tx

[Stormlover2020]

He just goes with the euro if euro inches closer he will change his forecast

[Cromagnum]

I dont know what he ever did to you guys...


Msg board squabbles aside. Houston really doesn't need the rain. Most of us are pretty saturated right now. Same for Beaumont area.

[Kingwood36]

I dont know what he ever did to you guys...


Msg board squabbles aside. Houston really doesn't need the rain. Most of us are pretty saturated right now. Same for Beaumont area.

He didn't do anything to me I like the guy I guess he just likes to mess with people lol

[Cromagnum]

Seeing some talking that Cristobal may dissipate after all and then something new may brew up closer to the NW Yucatan. I dont remember which model was suggesting that a few days ago.

[Kingwood36]

Seeing some talking that Cristobal may dissipate after all and then something new may brew up closer to the NW Yucatan. I dont remember which model was suggesting that a few days ago.

Wouldn't that still be cristobal tho? Just change the name?

[don]

Seeing some talking that Cristobal may dissipate after all and then something new may brew up closer to the NW Yucatan. I dont remember which model was suggesting that a few days ago.

The GFS has been showing this for a while now but im not sure it would get a new name if a center were to reform. BTW 12z UKMET also has a westward shift and has the storm ride the i-10 corridor into east Texas.

[don]

Also if Cristobal were to do a westward jog we would have to watch out for the dirty side of the storm to flip to the western side due to dry air getting entrained on Cristobal's eastern side as the storm pushes from east to west. As a few of the models show this possibility.

[Cromagnum]

I cant think of a case where I've ever seen the dirty side being the west side. Thats got to be a rarity.

[prospects8903]

Next question how far west do the models trend?

[Seantx81]

I cant think of a case where I've ever seen the dirty side being the west side. Thats got to be a rarity.

There was a storm that hit Florida a year or two ago. It strengthened while over land which was odd too but I believe it had its strongest winds recorded in the 11 o’clock to 7 o’clock quadrants.

[don]

The last storm locally that did that was Tropical storm Cindy (2017) where there was a brief period of time where its rain bands were more prominent on the western side due to dry air as it got closer to land.

[tireman4]

For those of who know Wxman57 personally (LOL), that is just the way he is. He is a character and we love him. He digs at us and we dig at him.

[Kingwood36]

12z Euro comes offshore a bit west of the 00z out to 24 and 48 hours

[Cpv17]

Big west shift on the 12z Euro. Coming in close to the LA/TX border.