January 2020: Unsettled WX Week Ahead
It appears to fall apart right around the Houston area.
If you were reading my posts from a few days ago, I mentioned that rain chances for the New Years Day event were decreasing. We went from getting 2-4” to maybe a .25”-.50”Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 11:52 am What happend to this rain we were suppose to get today?
Looks like we aren't getting into the 30s again until February. Winter cancel
-
GBinGrimes
- Posts: 110
- Joined: Mon Jan 27, 2014 1:50 pm
- Location: Anderson, TX
- Contact:
There were Robins in my pasture yesterday. Not a lone, lost Robin...many , many Robin's. For those of us that do enjoy some winter cold and occasional "wintery mischief" that's a wee bit early to be seeing them and not a good sign.
-
GBinGrimes
- Posts: 110
- Joined: Mon Jan 27, 2014 1:50 pm
- Location: Anderson, TX
- Contact:
Pretty sure I do believe you, I just don't want to admit that the chances for really solid cold weather are over. Now, we all know our summer hating buddy from Montgomery County will rebuff that until the bitter end and he does have some graphs that provide some hope for some cold. But, having lived here in SE Texas my entire life, I just don't have the gut feeling that we're going to get really cold, at least for even a couple of days.
However, this IS Texas and weather-wise, well, most anything can happen and occasionally does.
Interestingly, my neighborhood finished 2019 with approximately 33.60 inches of rain for the entire year. That's well behind most locations in Harris County with respect to rainfall totals.
The rainfall delta across the county is pretty wide. We got just over 34" in Fairfield at my house and thats well behind normal.
Wow. Beaumont finished with 85.49” for 2019. Hopefully 2020 will provide everyone with beneficial rains. Just not all at once.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Where did the sun go? I got all the Christmas Yard decor taken down; but, had to put it on the barndominium porch to dry out. It was so nice and sunny, while I was taking everything down. Now it's looking like it wants to rain, again.
I'm surprised this place is so quiet considering what the GFS has been hinting at around the 15th/16th of this month.
Ok. This place hasn't had a post in a couple of days. Just thought I would comment.
I agree. Models are horrible. They even have a problem inside of 3 days.
Surprise no one has brought up the potential slight risk of some big storms Friday.
After a weak front pushes through late Monday night, gulf moisture will quickly return on Wednesday due to a fast zonal flow shunting the surface high quickly eastward. Cape looks marginal (800 - 1100 J/kg). Storms look to be more isolated around here. The more numerous activity will likely be in the warm sector closer to where the surface low develops. Likely up near Lufkin, Tyler and Arklatex region where the ingredients look to be more favorable. Still a few days out though and can better fine tune where the greatest risk will set up.
Edit to Add: I should mention the GFS is more bullish on this setup as the Euro isn't quite as hot looking. I'd like to see more agreement between the two.
After a weak front pushes through late Monday night, gulf moisture will quickly return on Wednesday due to a fast zonal flow shunting the surface high quickly eastward. Cape looks marginal (800 - 1100 J/kg). Storms look to be more isolated around here. The more numerous activity will likely be in the warm sector closer to where the surface low develops. Likely up near Lufkin, Tyler and Arklatex region where the ingredients look to be more favorable. Still a few days out though and can better fine tune where the greatest risk will set up.
Edit to Add: I should mention the GFS is more bullish on this setup as the Euro isn't quite as hot looking. I'd like to see more agreement between the two.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Blake
Boomer Sooner
Boomer Sooner
-
Katdaddy
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 2517
- Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 8:18 am
- Location: League City, Tx
- Contact:
Beautiful weather to continue today through Wednesday. A change to a more active weather pattern begins Thursday with increasing showers and thunderstorms. The SPC has all of SE TX outlooked for the potential of severe weather Friday. This is several days out and something to watch through the week.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
The way it's been lately, seeing severe weather pegged 4 days out probably means nothing is going to happen. I'd be more concerned if the models said it was gonna be bad somewhere else.
This must be what he is talking about......now....is there anyone out there believing this will actually happen? The way this season has been going?
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
-
- Information
-
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: Ahrefs [Bot], Kw_wxgirl, Semrush [Bot] and 5 guests