November 2019: Thanksgiving Outlook

[tireman4]

Here is the cold front as of now...

[DoctorMu]

Last November 13th, Bush recorded a trace of snow making that the earliest "snow" has fallen in Houston since records began. It seems we are seeing new early season "snow" records a bit more frequently since December 2009.

We had a trace of snow/ice pellets in CLL as well. I've never seen it snow in Texas or when I spent most of my formative years in NC. When we lived outside Chicago, there were a couple of days of snowfall in Nov, but it's pretty rare before Thanksgiving.

[srainhoutx]

My time in SE Texas comes to end this weekend. I promise that I will remain active around here as much as possible, but here is the WWA hoisted for the new home. All I have to say is it better be good weather for the moving truck to get up the mountain... I need a bed to sleep in mid next week!

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
302 PM EST Mon Nov 11 2019

...ARCTIC COLD FRONT BRINGING A TASTE OF WINTER TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...

.An exceptionally strong cold front will reach the southern
Appalachians early Tuesday morning, bringing rain which will soon
change to snow as very cold air pushes in through Tuesday. Brisk
winds may also produce wind chills below zero, and treacherous
road conditions may result in some spots.

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-120900-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WW.Y.0011.191112T0900Z-191113T1200Z/
Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Graham-
Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Faust,
Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck,
Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick,
Spruce Pine, Poplar, Alarka, Almond, Bryson City, Luada, Wesser,
Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, Cove Creek, Asheville,
Robbinsville, Stecoah, Cullowhee, Tuckasegee, Sylva, Franklin,
Rainbow Springs, Kyle, Highlands, Wolf Mountain, Cashiers,
Brevard, Cedar Mountain, Little River, Hendersonville, Fletcher,
Dana, East Flat Rock, Tuxedo, and Etowah
302 PM EST Mon Nov 11 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO 7 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to two
inches in the valleys and lower ridges, but up to 4 inches on
the high ridgetops. Winds will gust as high as 40 mph. Wind
chills will fall below zero at higher elevations.

* WHERE...The mountains of western North Carolina.

* WHEN...From 4 AM Tuesday to 7 AM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions developing by late
Tuesday morning, and possibly lasting into Wednesday morning in
some areas. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning
and evening commutes.

[DoctorMu]

Here is the cold front as of now...

The front barreled through College Station during a 40 min meeting. Temp has dropped 25°F and brisk bluenortherly wind.

TBH, this is a refreshing pause from the long-, hot summer. We have too many high humidity 100°F days in CLL - so I never complain about the colder weather. Gas heat is extremely cheap and I love saving $400+ on Utility bills.

[Kingwood36]

My time in SE Texas comes to end this weekend. I promise that I will remain active around here as much as possible, but here is the WWA hoisted for the new home. All I have to say is it better be good weather for the moving truck to get up the mountain... I need a bed to sleep in mid next week!

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
302 PM EST Mon Nov 11 2019

...ARCTIC COLD FRONT BRINGING A TASTE OF WINTER TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...

.An exceptionally strong cold front will reach the southern
Appalachians early Tuesday morning, bringing rain which will soon
change to snow as very cold air pushes in through Tuesday. Brisk
winds may also produce wind chills below zero, and treacherous
road conditions may result in some spots.

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-120900-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WW.Y.0011.191112T0900Z-191113T1200Z/
Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Graham-
Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Faust,
Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck,
Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick,
Spruce Pine, Poplar, Alarka, Almond, Bryson City, Luada, Wesser,
Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, Cove Creek, Asheville,
Robbinsville, Stecoah, Cullowhee, Tuckasegee, Sylva, Franklin,
Rainbow Springs, Kyle, Highlands, Wolf Mountain, Cashiers,
Brevard, Cedar Mountain, Little River, Hendersonville, Fletcher,
Dana, East Flat Rock, Tuxedo, and Etowah
302 PM EST Mon Nov 11 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO 7 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to two
inches in the valleys and lower ridges, but up to 4 inches on
the high ridgetops. Winds will gust as high as 40 mph. Wind
chills will fall below zero at higher elevations.

* WHERE...The mountains of western North Carolina.

* WHEN...From 4 AM Tuesday to 7 AM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions developing by late
Tuesday morning, and possibly lasting into Wednesday morning in
some areas. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning
and evening commutes.

Congrats srain! And enjoy sir! Plz hang around and give us updates not only about youre weather but here also..learned alot from you over these past yrs and hope to continue to learn more!

[DoctorMu]

My time in SE Texas comes to end this weekend. I promise that I will remain active around here as much as possible, but here is the WWA hoisted for the new home. All I have to say is it better be good weather for the moving truck to get up the mountain... I need a bed to sleep in mid next week!

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
302 PM EST Mon Nov 11 2019

...ARCTIC COLD FRONT BRINGING A TASTE OF WINTER TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...

.An exceptionally strong cold front will reach the southern
Appalachians early Tuesday morning, bringing rain which will soon
change to snow as very cold air pushes in through Tuesday. Brisk
winds may also produce wind chills below zero, and treacherous
road conditions may result in some spots.

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-120900-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WW.Y.0011.191112T0900Z-191113T1200Z/
Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Graham-
Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Faust,
Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck,
Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick,
Spruce Pine, Poplar, Alarka, Almond, Bryson City, Luada, Wesser,
Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, Cove Creek, Asheville,
Robbinsville, Stecoah, Cullowhee, Tuckasegee, Sylva, Franklin,
Rainbow Springs, Kyle, Highlands, Wolf Mountain, Cashiers,
Brevard, Cedar Mountain, Little River, Hendersonville, Fletcher,
Dana, East Flat Rock, Tuxedo, and Etowah
302 PM EST Mon Nov 11 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO 7 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to two
inches in the valleys and lower ridges, but up to 4 inches on
the high ridgetops. Winds will gust as high as 40 mph. Wind
chills will fall below zero at higher elevations.

* WHERE...The mountains of western North Carolina.

* WHEN...From 4 AM Tuesday to 7 AM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions developing by late
Tuesday morning, and possibly lasting into Wednesday morning in
some areas. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning
and evening commutes.

It's when the snow melts on the blacktop, then re-freezes on slopes with curves that's a real issue in the mountains of NC this time of year. Inundation doesn't usually happen until Jan/Feb.

Best of luck with the move! A beautiful area of the country. There's an incredible diversity in species of plants and birds!

[DoctorMu]

Before 2009, you might have seen snow once every 10-15 years. But now it seems we either have a high chance of seeing it or actual snow events every couple years. Almost like there has been a shift. Im certainly not complaining cause i really enjoy it, but I remember it use to be very rare. Now I almost feel like a northerner cause we see it so often now. Like every two years or less. Ill act like a little kid full of excitement every time i do get it though. Lol

I've noticed that also, over the last decade that wintry events have happened more frequently than they use to. Hopefully we have a nice snow event this winter

From 1992 - 2007 we has 2 ice storms and 1 snow in College Station.

From 2008 - today 7 snows and about 6 icy events. Far more variability with more warm days in Dec, Nov, then few few longer lasting cold blasts in Jan - Mar, but separated by warmer weather usually. The exception was Jan a couple of years ago, with prolonged cold weather.

[tireman4]

Front as of 2:55 pm

[tireman4]

Cold Front as of 3:30 pm

[BlueJay]

Winds are whipping! I brought my flag in.

Happy Veterans day!

[javakah]

Just came through Fulshear. Decided I wanted to experience it outside. Went from a very light breeze and shorts weather to very windy and wanting jeans and a jacket in the span of about 60 seconds.

[jasons2k]

Just came through Fulshear. Decided I wanted to experience it outside. Went from a very light breeze and shorts weather to very windy and wanting jeans and a jacket in the span of about 60 seconds.

Same here. Impressive front. Very windy. Back to winter. Yuck.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Just came through Fulshear. Decided I wanted to experience it outside. Went from a very light breeze and shorts weather to very windy and wanting jeans and a jacket in the span of about 60 seconds.

Same here. Impressive front. Very windy. Back to winter. Yuck.

I'm going to go for a run tonight now that it will be tolerable again!


You and I are about as 180 as it gets when it comes to outdoor activities and weather.

[DoctorMu]

Impulses are hitting drya air just about at College Station, by freezing rain, mix is beginning in the Hill Country.

Wintry mischief on Nov 11 would have to be a record in CLL. No guarantee of wintry stuff in the Brazos Valley in any Texas winter. So - Bring it!!

[MontgomeryCoWx]

50% chance of mix in CS from 12-4 am roughly.

[Cpv17]

Just came through Fulshear. Decided I wanted to experience it outside. Went from a very light breeze and shorts weather to very windy and wanting jeans and a jacket in the span of about 60 seconds.

Same here. Impressive front. Very windy. Back to winter. Yuck.

I'm going to go for a run tonight now that it will be tolerable again!


You and I are about as 180 as it gets when it comes to outdoor activities and weather.

I think me and you are pretty opposite as well lol but we all like snow.

[srainhoutx]

Seeing reports of sleet just NW of Austin now. EWX issues this statement...

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
445 PM CST MON NOV 11 2019

LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-HAYS-TRAVIS-BEXAR-COMAL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LLANO, BURNET, GEORGETOWN, SAN MARCOS,
AUSTIN, SAN ANTONIO, AND NEW BRAUNFELS
445 PM CST MON NOV 11 2019

...MINOR ICE ACCUMULATIONS ON ELEVATED SURFACES POSSIBLE
TONIGHT...

LIGHT RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING BEHIND THIS
AFTERNOON'S COLD FRONT. THERE IS A CHANCE THE RAIN COULD MIX WITH
SLEET LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AND ALSO TRANSITION TO FREEZING
RAIN. IF THIS WERE TO OCCUR MINOR ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE COULD OCCUR
ON ELEVATED BRIDGES AND EXPOSED METAL SURFACES. THE MOST LIKELY
AREAS TO SEE THESE MINOR ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE ACROSS THE HILL
COUNTRY WHERE A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT. HOWEVER,
RESIDENTS AND TRAVELERS ACROSS LLANO, BURNET, WILLIAMSON, TRAVIS,
HAYS, COMAL, AND FAR NORTHERN BEXAR COUNTIES ARE URGED TO MONITOR
THE FORECAST THROUGH THE EVENING AND INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING
FOR ADDITIONAL UPDATES.

[cperk]

srainhoutx enjoy your new home,but know that you will be missed.

[srainhoutx]

Thank you ALL for the kind words and the encouragement! Please know that I am just changing my geographical location, not my presence around here. I plan on being a part of this weather community for years to come and no worries, everything will continue just as it has over the last decade+. Besides, I suspect I can post some real 'snow pictures" in the not too distant future...

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Best wishes srain! Send us some snow!