September 2019 - Warm End of September

[unome]

face-palm warning

NASA blog posts about Imelda in "East Pacific"...

Houston, we have a problem...

I wanna cry...

https://blogs.nasa.gov/hurricanes/2019/ ... c-ocean-2/

Screenshot_2019-09-18 Imelda – Eastern Pacific Ocean – Hurricane And Typhoon Updates - Copy.png

https://www.nasa.gov/about/index.html

[jasons2k]

Seems to me the center is NE of where the WPC had placed it on its maps; it's very close to Diboll, Lufkin, just a tick west or SW of there. I think that will make a big difference as to where the heaviest rains fall. It's gonna have to make a big jog west to end-up where the WPC forecast points were.

[tireman4]

Heavy rain in Humble at this time

[ccbluewater]

Both HRRR & NAM seem to have a good grip on things currently, and both set up a nasty band tomorrow morning sweeping in from the NE across most of the Houston Metro, and into Fort Bend County. Something to keep an eye on for sure.

[djmike]

Many roads feeders and underpasses have now been closed. So far, 3 high water rescues in Beaumont 1 in Nome. This band is no joke! Water is up to the garage. PTSD had finally kicked in.

[sau27]

Many roads feeders and underpasses have now been closed. So far, 3 high water rescues in Beaumont 1 in Nome. This band is no joke! Water is up to the garage. PTSD had finally kicked in.

Hang in there Mike. I’ve been there.

[ccbluewater]

Many roads feeders and underpasses have now been closed. So far, 3 high water rescues in Beaumont 1 in Nome. This band is no joke! Water is up to the garage. PTSD had finally kicked in.

Dang, hate to hear that. Hang in there!

[Katdaddy]

Yes please hang in there Mike. I know this getting very tough for you. God Bless my friend.

[jasons2k]

Man, I hate to hear that. Lots of similar reports are coming-in from around the Beaumont area. Stay safe and keep us posted.

[djmike]

FLoodwaters now coming inside my home. Say a prayer for beaumont.

3C81F74F-D6E1-4D00-B582-DB89565D5A4F.jpeg

[jasons2k]

Geez, the band is backbuilding now all the way to I-45, aimed towards the Beaumont area. I'm seeing that places that did not flood during Harvey are starting to flood in the Beaumont & Lumberton areas.

[TexasBreeze]

Northern Harris has cells developing now.

[bikerack]

Northern Harris has cells developing now.

I live in the little point created by 59 and the Montgomery county line....which is basically even with the new line of cells if they move straight east. As long as we get a break every now and then, our street drains quickly.

[jasons2k]

That band is expanding now west of here. I may be getting more rain tonight as the WPC discussion suggested. Hopefully not flooding rains. But that band is coming together...

[Ptarmigan]

That band is expanding now west of here. I may be getting more rain tonight as the WPC discussion suggested. Hopefully not flooding rains. But that band is coming together...

From the Weather Prediction Center.
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/ ... orm=IMELDA

Code: Select all

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Imelda Advisory Number   7
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   AL112019
1000 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2019

...IMELDA MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWEST...
...HEAVY RAINS AND THE THREAT OF SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING CONTINUE
TO SPREAD INLAND OVER PARTS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.2N 94.9W
ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM NNE OF HOUSTON TEXAS
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM ENE OF COLLEGE STATION TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

Flash flood watches are in effect for parts of eastern Texas and
extreme southwest Louisiana.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Imelda
was located near latitude 31.2 North, longitude 94.9 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h).
Imelda should continue to move slowly northwest with only a slight
acceleration late on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast through the day on Thursday
before weakening Thursday night and eventually dissipating on
Friday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Imelda is expected to produce the following rainfall
amounts through Friday:

Across the Upper Texas Coast into the Piney Woods of eastern
Texas...additional 5 to 10 inches of rain with isolated storm totals
of 20 to 25 inches.

Across portions of southwest Louisiana...4 to 8 inches with isolated
totals of 10 inches.

These rainfall totals may produce significant to life threatening
flash floods.


For more information on rainfall totals please see the Storm Summary
available at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc4.html

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.


Forecaster Bann

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  19/0300Z 31.2N  94.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 12H  19/1200Z 31.6N  95.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 24H  20/0000Z 32.0N  95.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 36H  20/1200Z 33.0N  97.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...INLAND
 48H  21/0000Z...DISSIPATED

[869MB]

FLoodwaters now coming inside my home. Say a prayer for beaumont. 3C81F74F-D6E1-4D00-B582-DB89565D5A4F.jpeg

I was just checking up on you over there. We haven't heard from you in a couple of hours. The radar still shows very heavy rains streaming into your area right now. It appears your entire area is or soon will be experiencing widespread flash flood emergencies based upon the current radar presentation.

[869MB]

https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1174 ... 82112?s=20

[DoctorMu]

That band is expanding now west of here. I may be getting more rain tonight as the WPC discussion suggested. Hopefully not flooding rains. But that band is coming together...

Our thoughts and prayers are with Mike and the people of Beaumont. Will need rescue teams for some folks.

[DoctorMu]

That band is expanding now west of here. I may be getting more rain tonight as the WPC discussion suggested. Hopefully not flooding rains. But that band is coming together...

Concerned about tornadoes in this band from Magnolia to Beaumont.

[869MB]

12 NewsNow is currently streaming live Imelda coverage via YouTube...

https://twitter.com/12NewsNow/status/11 ... 79105?s=20