MAY 2019: Wednesday Storm Complex/Scattered Showers To End May

[mckinne63]

It's been sprinkling here in Stafford since about 9am this morning. Nothing heavy, just enough to have to use the windshield wipers.

[Cpv17]

Looking like we’ll stay dry here in Wharton today for the most part. Looks like only the coastal counties will see anything.

[jasons2k]

Yeah, all south and east of here. They might as well remove me from the flood watch.

[Cpv17]

Yeah, all south and east of here. They might as well remove me from the flood watch.

Yeah I think this is pretty much a wrap. On to the next one.

[djmike]

Black as night here in Beaumont right now. The pretty heavy storm over me at the moment. Lightning is crazy and wind gust so far of 41. Streets filling up quick. Stay safe my golden triangle neighbors.

[djmike]

Looks like training getting ready to set up for us here in beaumont.

[Cpv17]

Looks like training getting ready to set up for us here in beaumont.

The Beaumont Golden Triangle area annually receives more rain than anywhere else in the state.. so you knew it wouldn’t stay dry there for very long lol

[Texaspirate11]

Pouring rain by the bay

[Cromagnum]

Good, maybe it won't rain today after all and my patio crew can stop postponing

[davidiowx]

Good, maybe it won't rain today after all and my patio crew can stop postponing

I wouldn’t count on it yet. The HRRR says otherwise.

[srainhoutx]

05112019 mcd0231.gif

Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0231
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
1228 PM EDT Sat May 11 2019

Areas affected...portions of the western to central Gulf Coast

Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding likely

Valid 111627Z - 112225Z

SUMMARY...Increasing coverage of convection is expected along
portions of the central Gulf Coast through 22Z with a few
locations picking up 2-4 inches of rain. Given wet antecedent
conditions, flash flooding is considered likely.

DISCUSSION...16Z surface observations placed a stationary boundary
from just off of the Texas coast into the lower Mississippi Valley
into a weak low near LLQ. Two weak surface waves were analyzed
along the boundary as well, one just west of GLS and the other
east of CRP. Farther east, an outflow boundary was noted just
south of Mobile Bay into far eastern LA, just north of Lake
Pontchartrain. Radar trends over the past 1-2 hours have shown a
rapid development and expansion of mostly elevated convection from
the middle Texas coast into southwestern LA. Meanwhile, scattered
showers and thunderstorms continue to develop in southern MS on
the cool side of the outflow boundary along the central Gulf Coast
into a region which has picked up 6-10 inches of rain over the
past 24 hours. 12Z soundings from CRP, BRO and LIX along with
recent GPS data show plenty of available moisture with
precipitable water values approaching or exceeding 2 inches along
and offshore of the western Gulf Coast.

Development of convection appears to be related to the advection
of low level moisture into southeastern TX from the western Gulf
and the approach of the exit region of an estimated 130 kt upper
level jet (per RAP analyses) centered over the southern Gulf of
California, with strongly diffluent flow over the TX Gulf Coast.
Flow in the 850-700 mb layer of 20-30 kt from the southwest will
mostly parallel storm motions of similar magnitude this afternoon.
This will cause training of heavy rain at times with pockets of
2-4 inches expected through 22Z. Convection is expected to
translate toward the east into Louisiana ahead of the tail end of
a weak 700 mb trough axis extending into eastern TX. Many of these
areas have seen much above average rainfall over the past few days
which will increase the likelihood of flash flooding from
additional heavy rain.

Otto

ATTN...WFO...HGX...JAN...LCH...LIX...MOB...

[djmike]

Flash Flood Warning
Flash Flood Warning
TXC199-241-245-361-111845-
/O.NEW.KLCH.FF.W.0037.190511T1640Z-190511T1845Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1140 AM CDT Sat May 11 2019

The National Weather Service in Lake Charles has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
Northern Jefferson County in southeastern Texas...
Eastern Hardin County in southeastern Texas...
Orange County in southeastern Texas...
Southeastern Jasper County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 145 PM CDT.

* At 1139 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. One to two inches of rain has
already fallen in parts of the warned area. Flash flooding is
expected to begin shortly.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Beaumont, Port Arthur, Nederland, Groves, Port Neches, Lumberton,
Vidor, Bridge City, Silsbee, Kountze, Sour Lake, Nome, Evadale,
Central Gardens, Mauriceville, Buna, Bevil Oaks, China, Rose City
and Pine Forest.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3033 9438 3066 9388 3024 9390 3024 9379
2998 9383 2999 9386 2997 9384 2996 9387
2993 9387 2989 9391 2989 9444 3011 9445
3011 9452

$$

13

[djmike]

Flooded in now. This is getting old.

[jasons2k]

New development out west too...may not be over just yet...

[Katdaddy]

Storms firing further inland along the Upper TX Coast to the SW of Houston.

[Rip76]

Really coming down in Pearland.

[snowman65]

right in the middle of training here in Orange right now.

[mckinne63]

Coming down pretty good here in Stafford. Heard a bit of thunder right before it started, but skies aren't looking that dark.

[srainhoutx]

Looks like training is setting up near Surgarland. Street flooding likely

[Cpv17]

Well this is interesting. I didn’t think the rain would progress this far inland. About another 20 miles north and I’ll be in on it.