OCTOBER 2018 - Stormy Halloween

[ticka1]

Fast approaching is the month of October? Weather thoughts?

[MontgomeryCoWx]

My first thought is “GO TO HELL SUMMER!”

[djmike]

Someone already said it in Sept. “This week the heat is finally old!” Over cane season and the heat, its time to start getting excited for the cool or cold fronts. Will we have 3-4 opportunities again this year for snow? We’ll see!

[srainhoutx]

The Climate Prediction Center October Outlook is out and it suggest near to slightly below normal Temperatures and above normal Precipitation.

[snowman65]

Looks like any 50's temps are gone for the foreseeable future.

[srainhoutx]

Odds continue to favor a significant Fall Pattern Change as October begins. The latest Week 3 to Week 4 Outlook from the CPC suggests below normal temperatures and what we tend to see in October after modified Canadian Air settles along and East of the Rockies. Cool and dry NW flow aloft as a blocking regime becomes established as a very strong Alaska Ridge builds and another Ridge builds over Eastern Canada/Newfoundland and Greenland. We typically see some of our most pleasant Chamber of Commerce days across SE Texas in early to mid October.

[srainhoutx]

A very active and highly volatile weather pattern shaping up as October begins. Potential Major EPAC Hurricane Rosa looks to be the first, possibly in a series of re curving EPAC Tropical systems being picked up by a deep trough situated along the West Coast. Across Canada, a series of fast moving and progressively stronger/colder storms system will spill S into the Lower 48 with increasing snowfall chance outside of the Higher Elevation snows we typically see this time of year. With the MJO highly amplified and shorter wave lengths developing across the Northern Pacific, expect modeling difficulties among our Global Computer Models.

[Katdaddy]

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
748 AM CDT MON OCT 1 2018

TXZ237-337-437-011330-
Inland Brazoria TX-Brazoria Islands TX-Coastal Brazoria TX-
748 AM CDT MON OCT 1 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN BRAZORIA COUNTY
UNTIL 830 AM CDT...

At 747 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 6 miles northeast of Oyster Creek to Richwood
to Jones Creek. Movement was north at 25 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.
Observation from Freeport 53 mph.

Locations impacted include...
Lake Jackson, Angleton, Freeport, Clute, West Columbia, Surfside
Beach, Richwood, Brazoria, Jones Creek, Danbury, Oyster Creek,
Holiday Lakes, Bailey`s Prairie, Bonney and southeastern Wild Peach
Village.

[Texaspirate11]

Nice storms down here by the bay this morning.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Seeing some 50s and 60s (some high temps) in the long range.

[srainhoutx]

A rather unsettled pattern shaping up during the first 10 Days of October. A very deep Western Trough looks to pump copious amounts of deep tropical moisture from the Eastern Pacific and the Western Gulf throughout the Great Basin/Intermountain West and the Plains. Texas lies on the very strong Eastern Ridge suggesting inflow off the Western Gulf moves N and brings rounds of showers/storms, some possible severe this coming weekend into early next week across portions of the Northern half of Texas into the Plains. Cold air builds into the Greta Basin/Intermountain West from Western Canada, but have difficulty advancing S and E due to an unusually stout Upper Ridge over the East Coast of the United States. The guidance indicates this may be one the strongest October EC Ridge scenario not seen since the mid 80's and early 90's across that Region. It appears that after mid October we may see that first real shot of some cold modified Canadian air spill S across Texas. In the meantime, it looks like our wet weather regime holds tight.

[snowman65]

Well, so much for fall. Looks like a wash. Hopefully we can scrape up enough cooler weather to have salvage winter season.

[Cromagnum]

Sick of this weather. Hot & humid with rain every day, plus the delightful smell of rot in the air.

[snowman65]

You and me both. Not sure what to make of this fall. Havent even seen any love bugs which is REALLY strange. Not sure what that means but has to mean something. A friend of mine posted a picture a few weeks ago of a persimmon seed. Something about a spoon in it means a cold harsh winter and a fork means a warm winter. This one had a spoon in it. Sure hope sure didn't eat it because that one must have been rotten...lol.

[CrashTestDummy]

Sick of this weather. Hot & humid with rain every day, plus the delightful smell of rot in the air.

Don't forget the subtle notes of mold!

[CrashTestDummy]

You and me both. Not sure what to make of this fall. Havent even seen any love bugs which is REALLY strange. Not sure what that means but has to mean something. A friend of mine posted a picture a few weeks ago of a persimmon seed. Something about a spoon in it means a cold harsh winter and a fork means a warm winter. This one had a spoon in it. Sure hope sure didn't eat it because that one must have been rotten...lol.

We've had a few, but yeah, not the clouds of them we usually get. I think most have drowned. The mosquitoes are love-bug-sized, though!!

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Well, so much for fall. Looks like a wash. Hopefully we can scrape up enough cooler weather to have salvage winter season.

Lol, what? We have 2 months of Fall left and the long range is showing our first norther the week of the 15th. And for giggles, Euro weeklies are showing snow in central Texas in mid November.

Outside of the lows being a bit above avg, we are having normal daytime highs for late Sep and early Oct

[Cromagnum]

You and me both. Not sure what to make of this fall. Havent even seen any love bugs which is REALLY strange. Not sure what that means but has to mean something. A friend of mine posted a picture a few weeks ago of a persimmon seed. Something about a spoon in it means a cold harsh winter and a fork means a warm winter. This one had a spoon in it. Sure hope sure didn't eat it because that one must have been rotten...lol.

Had to look that up. https://www.almanac.com/content/predict ... immon-seed

[snowman65]

You and me both. Not sure what to make of this fall. Havent even seen any love bugs which is REALLY strange. Not sure what that means but has to mean something. A friend of mine posted a picture a few weeks ago of a persimmon seed. Something about a spoon in it means a cold harsh winter and a fork means a warm winter. This one had a spoon in it. Sure hope sure didn't eat it because that one must have been rotten...lol.

Had to look that up. https://www.almanac.com/content/predict ... immon-seed

There ya go! I tried to find something earlier but had not success....I hate forks and knives.....LOL

[tireman4]

September was a wet month