May 2016: Shower/Storm Chances To End May

[DoctorMu]

Now there are...

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
TXC395-261930-
/O.NEW.KFWD.FF.W.0031.160526T1623Z-160526T1930Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1123 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
ROBERTSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 230 PM CDT

* AT 1122 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM HEARNE TO FRANKLINE. UP TO THREE INCHES
OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN BASED ON RADAR ESTIMATES. THIS
RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO EXCESSIVE WATER RUNOFF AND CAUSE FLASH
FLOODING. LOW-LYING AREAS ARE MOST VULNERABLE TO RAPIDLY RISING
WATER. SOME LOW-WATER CROSSINGS MAY FLOOD AND BECOME IMPASSABLE.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
HEARNE...FRANKLIN...CALVERT AND BREMOND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DON`T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.



GFS appears to have nailed the forecast - whole lotta meso between Houston and Waco. Training now in CLL with the meso almost stationary in the SW to NE flow.

[Ounce]

Looks like the Waco cells are getting shoulder shivered to go northeast, now.

[djjordan]

If you are at Texas A&M right now ..... Take Cover....


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1232 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN GRIMES COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
CENTRAL BRAZOS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
SOUTHWESTERN MADISON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 100 PM CDT

* AT 1232 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER EASTERN BRYAN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE
DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COLLEGE STATION...BRYAN...KURTEN...WIXON VALLEY...KYLE FIELD AND IOLA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A
MOBILE HOME...OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER
AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

[srainhoutx]

Power flashes reported with the TOR Warned cell

[DoctorMu]

We had some small hail, power surge, and rotating meso could be seen over Bryan - no tornado yet, but take cover.

[869MB]

Power flashes reported with the TOR Warned cell

https://twitter.com/KBTXMax/status/735886260707827712

[DoctorMu]

Hook echo on Hwy 39 west of Hwy 90 (east of CLL) heading toward Madisonville.

[DoctorMu]

Power flashes reported with the TOR Warned cell

https://twitter.com/KBTXMax/status/735886260707827712

Yep that's a funnel along Hwy 6 just SE of CLL it looks like, although I don't see the Greens Prairie water tower.

[srainhoutx]

Impressive MCS that produced the brief tornado across the Bryan/College Station area.

[DoctorMu]

Potential multiple vortices moving through the Madisonville area heading NE

[srainhoutx]

MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0240
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
155 PM EDT THU MAY 26 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST/SOUTH-CENTRAL TX

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE

VALID 261753Z - 262353Z

SUMMARY...A CONVECTIVE COMPLEX WITH CLOUD TOPS COLDER THAN -80C
CONTINUES TO EXPAND IN COVERAGE IN SOUTHEAST TX. HOURLY RAIN
RATES UP TO 2.5" COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING, PARTICULARLY IN
URBAN AREAS.

DISCUSSION...A MATURING MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE COMPLEX COVERS
SOUTHEAST TX, SURROUNDED ON ITS WESTERN SIDE BY A LENGTHENING ARC
CLOUD STRETCHING FROM SOUTHERN OK TO THE TX GULF COAST. THE
OUTFLOW HAS REINFORCED THE DEW POINT GRADIENT EXTENDING FROM
AUSTIN THROUGH THE PINEY WOODS OF EASTERN TX. PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES ARE 1.8-2.2" PER GPS INFORMATION. INFLOW AT 850 HPA INTO
THE COMPLEX CONTINUES TO BE OUT OF THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT 30 KTS
PER VAD WIND PROFILES. MLCAPES TO ITS SOUTHWEST REMAIN 2000-3000
J/KG.

THERE HAVE BEEN SOME RECENT INDICATION OF THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING
FARTHER WESTWARD TOWARDS CENTRAL TX ON ITS SOUTHWEST FLANK ON
RADAR IMAGERY -- RAP FORECAST FIELDS INDICATE SOME BACKING OF THE
LOW-LEVEL FLOW COULD ALLOW THIS WESTWARD BACKBUILDING ALONG/NEAR
THE CAP EDGE AND THERMAL BOUNDARY, WHICH IS ROUGHLY BETWEEN AUSTIN
AND JUNCTION. AN UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE IN WESTERN TX COULD ALSO BE
AIDING THIS NEW MORE WESTERLY DEVELOPMENT. THE COMPLEX HAS SLOWED
AS IT HAS ENTERED THE MOISTURE PLUME AND IT MAY HAVE TO WAIT FOR
THE WEST TX SHORTWAVE TO BOOT IT OUT IN 4-6 HOURS. THE MESOSCALE
GUIDANCE SHOWS A UNIFIED, STRONG SIGNAL FOR 4-6" OF RAIN OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS, WHICH COULD FALL QUICKLY. AVAILABLE MOISTURE
SUPPORTS HOURLY RAIN RATES UP TO 2.5". FLASH FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE, PARTICULARLY WITHIN URBAN AREAS SUCH AS HOUSTON,
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR, AND POTENTIALLY AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO.

ROTH

ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...FWD...HGX...LCH...SHV...

[srainhoutx]

Potential multiple vortices moving through the Madisonville area heading NE

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1255 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN GRIMES COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
NORTHEASTERN BRAZOS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
SOUTHWESTERN MADISON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 130 PM CDT

* AT 1254 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR KURTEN...OR 11 MILES NORTHEAST OF BRYAN...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE
DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NORTH ZULCH.

[srainhoutx]

Confirmed damage from HGX on the TOR Warned cell

[srainhoutx]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
107 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN GRIMES COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
NORTHERN BRAZOS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
SOUTHWESTERN MADISON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 300 PM CDT

* AT 106 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. UP TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE
ALREADY FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
NORTHWESTERN COLLEGE STATION...BRYAN...KURTEN...WIXON VALLEY...IOLA AND
NORTH ZULCH.

[srainhoutx]

Will need to monitor radar trends to our West. Storms are developing along a stalled boundary ENE of San Antonio and if storms begin to train particularly S of the boundary, very heavy rainfall rates are possible...

[srainhoutx]

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
118 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

GRIMES TX-BRAZOS TX-MADISON TX-
118 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN GRIMES...NORTHEASTERN BRAZOS AND SOUTHWESTERN MADISON
COUNTIES...

AT 118 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF KURTEN...OR 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
MADISONVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

[DoctorMu]

Confirmed damage from HGX on the TOR Warned cell

Trees down. Damage, accident on Hwy 6 bypass.

Visual of the funnel just east of the bypass




About 20 min ago I saw as much general shear/rotation in the clouds that I can remember in the area.

[djjordan]

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
134 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
WEST CENTRAL WALKER COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
NORTHERN GRIMES COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
NORTHEASTERN BRAZOS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
SOUTHWESTERN MADISON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 215 PM CDT

* AT 134 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES EAST OF
KURTEN...OR 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF BRYAN...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE
TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MADISONVILLE...BEDIAS AND IOLA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

[djjordan]

Confirmed damage from HGX on the TOR Warned cell

Trees down. Damage, accident on Hwy 6 bypass.

Visual of the funnel just east of the bypass




About 20 min ago I saw as much general shear/rotation in the clouds that I can remember in the area.

That is one scary looking picture.

[djjordan]

Austin area under the gun as well.........

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
144 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
WEST CENTRAL BASTROP COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN CALDWELL COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN TRAVIS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
EAST CENTRAL HAYS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 230 PM CDT

* AT 143 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER NIEDERWALD...
OR 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF LOCKHART...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE
TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
AUSTIN...AUSTIN BERGSTROM INT AP...KYLE...BUDA...UHLAND...MUSTANG RIDGE...
NIEDERWALD...CEDAR CREEK...ONION CREEK...WYLDWOOD...MOUNTAIN CITY...SAN
LEANNA...WEBBERVILLE...CREEDMOOR...DEL VALLE...MAHA...PILOT KNOB...
MENDOZA AND MAXWELL.