April 2016 Recap: Regional Flood/Severe Weather

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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tireman4
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This could be interesting as Srain points out. Today and into tonight ( and tomorrow). Could this produce epic numbers for rainfall totals? Please be weather aware,
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tireman4
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From HGX AFD this morning..

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
644 AM CDT MON APR 18 2016

.AVIATION...
SHRA/TSRA CONTINUE IN AND AROUND MOST OF THE SE TX TAF SITES.
HEAVIEST IMPACTED SITES CURRENTLY ARE SGR AND HOU. WITH ACTIVITY
GRADUALLY SAGGING SOUTHWARD...LBX AND GLS SHOULD BE IMPACTED SOON.
SHRA/TSRA ARE STILL POSSIBLE AT UTS AND CXO WITH THE LEAST IMPACTED
LOCATION PROBABLY CLL. NOT REALLY SURE WHAT IS GOING TO HAPPEN LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT SINCE A LOT WILL DEPEND ON HOW LONG THE
CURRENT ACTIVITY LASTS. GENERALLY EXPECTING MVFR CEILINGS AND
VISIBILITIES WITH IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS LIKELY IN AND AROUND THE
STRONGER STORMS. 42
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Ptarmigan
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tireman4 wrote:This could be interesting as Srain points out. Today and into tonight ( and tomorrow). Could this produce epic numbers for rainfall totals? Please be weather aware,
That type of rain is rare. It has happened in the past like in 1929. Heavy rain like this fell in April 1929 and again in May 1929.

http://www.wxresearch.com/almanac/houflood.html
Last edited by Ptarmigan on Mon Apr 18, 2016 10:14 am, edited 1 time in total.
unome
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from Harris County HCOHSEM

"redistribution encouraged"

http://www.readyharris.org/go/doc/1829/2809578/
unome
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Jeff Lindner, Meteorologist with the Harris County Flood Control District, with some jaw-dropping info in his Twitter feed

https://twitter.com/JeffLindner1
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djmike
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FLASH FLOOD WARNING just issued for Jefferson and Orange Counties!!
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Ounce
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There's a big blob in the Gulf, east of Brownsville that seems to be turning north.
ronyan
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What is the all time daily rainfall record at IAH?
davidiowx
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I know model runs are pointless now, but the HRRR is quite interesting... and makes me nervous.
Electric Lizard
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Regarding earlier question on Barker and Addicks dams: Given the recent rainfall impact, the Addicks reservoir (north of I-10) is the fuller of the two. According to the USGS Streamflow website (http://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/uv?cb_00 ... 2016-04-18) the current water level is 96.24' and rising. According to a recent US Army CoE presentation (See page 12: http://www.swg.usace.army.mil/Portals/2 ... nal%29.pdf) the Record High Pool was 97.46' on 9March 1992.

This is a bit disconcerting...
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DoctorMu
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A wide swath of moderate rain headed towards Houston from CLL following the more intense band approaching the Gulf. Rivers, creeks, low lying areas remain in peril.
Texashawk
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So as the first line drives towards the coast, is that going to allow the atmosphere to 'recharge' and set up a round 2? If so, when would that happen? My wife is stranded in the Med Center and we're trying to figure out if she has a window to get out. Thanks!
nuby3
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Texashawk wrote:So as the first line drives towards the coast, is that going to allow the atmosphere to 'recharge' and set up a round 2? If so, when would that happen? My wife is stranded in the Med Center and we're trying to figure out if she has a window to get out. Thanks!
I think we're kind of on a watch and see at this point. going moment to moment. I don't think anyone could give you more than a guess about that.
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is that the next disturbance near eagle pass there?
unome
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Electric Lizard wrote:Regarding earlier question on Barker and Addicks dams: Given the recent rainfall impact, the Addicks reservoir (north of I-10) is the fuller of the two. According to the USGS Streamflow website (http://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/uv?cb_00 ... 2016-04-18) the current water level is 96.24' and rising. According to a recent US Army CoE presentation (See page 12: http://www.swg.usace.army.mil/Portals/2 ... nal%29.pdf) the Record High Pool was 97.46' on 9March 1992.

This is a bit disconcerting...
found them on http://www.harriscountyfws.org/

Addicks http://www.harriscountyfws.org/GageDetail/Index/2110
Current 96.83'
Key Map 448X
Sensor ID 2109
Sensor Type USGS Radar
Installed 1/12/2000
Top of Bank (TOB) 117.50'
Bottom of Channel (BOC) 67.82'
Tip of Orifice 112.39'
Measuring Plate 88.41'
External Link USGS
Benchmark 117.02'
RM 210403 stamped COE U100 BM08 located 6inches south of COE dedication monument. 78 to 01 adjustment -1.14
As of July 1, 2007, the elevation datum was changed from 1929 NGVD, 1978 adjustment to the 1988 NAVD, 2001 adjustment.

Barker http://www.harriscountyfws.org/GageDetail/Index/2010
Current 87.78'
Sensor ID 2009
Sensor Type USGS Radar
Installed 1/7/2000
Top of Bank (TOB) 107.60'
Bottom of Channel (BOC) 71.05'
Tip of Orifice 106.98'
Measuring Plate 84.57'
External Link USGS
Benchmark 111.55'
RM 210191 stamped W100 BM091 located 1ft south of north end of T wall , 1988 NAVD, 2001 adjustment. 78 to 01 adjustment -.53
As of July 1, 2007, the elevation datum was changed from 1929 NGVD, 1978 adjustment to the 1988 NAVD, 2001 adjustment.
Last edited by unome on Mon Apr 18, 2016 12:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.
mcheer23
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davidiowx wrote:I know model runs are pointless now, but the HRRR is quite interesting... and makes me nervous.

what does the HRRR show
ticka1
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mcheer23 wrote:
davidiowx wrote:I know model runs are pointless now, but the HRRR is quite interesting... and makes me nervous.

what does the HRRR show

what is it showing?
davidiowx
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click the "loop all" link. Another round later on.

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance ... =M&ps=area
mckinne63
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I work at BW8 between Westheimer and Richmond. I made it into the office this morning, but only because I leave the house so early. It was only drizzling at the time. I can see the beltway, Rogerdale and Richmond Ave from different points in the bldg. They closed the beltway at Westpark and the feeder road was a mess, both north and south. When I saw they reopened the beltway going south and there was a break in the weather I took that as my opportunity to head home. You can be sure I will check the weather before I head out tomorrow. I read this forum all the time, I knew what everyone was saying, never thought to check the radar or I would've stayed home.

Stay safe everyone!
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