AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1229 PM CDT TUE AUG 11 2015
.CLIMATE...
HOUSTON IAH HAS ALREADY REACHED A TEMPERATURE OF 98 DEGREES AT NOON.
THE RECORD HIGH FOR THE DATE IS 102 SET IN 2011. HOUSTON HOBBY AT
NOON IS 95 DEGREES...AND THEIR RECORD HIGH OF 101 ALSO HAPPENED IN
2011. COLLEGE STATION...AT 97 DEGREES AT NOON...HAS A RECORD HIGH
FOR THIS DATE OF 1006 SET IN 2000. 42
I knew we had some hot days that Summer... but.. WOW...!
Here are a couple of graphics, one from the 12Z European model indicating that the big high pressure that's been centered over Texas (and responsible for the hot/dry conditions) is heading west later this week. It should be in southern CA by next Monday as an upper-level trof takes residence over the TX coast. That should increase clouds, decrease temps, and provide a daily chance of thunderstorms.
Second graphic is a meteogram from the 12Z GFS, which indicates the big cool-down after this weekend. Only low to mid 90s next week with daily showers. I'll need to get my jacket ready!
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It's going to be interesting for ERCOT this afternoon. The load is running about 500MW above yesterday and the wind is about 500MW below schedule. Looking for a peak of almost 71,000MW when the record was about 68,300MW (from 8/3/2011) up until last week.
If we can survive the next day or two, once Typhoon Molave is likely to reshuffle the weather patterns across the Northern Hemisphere and gives a well deserved break in our stagnant weather pattern. 102F currently here.
08112015 CPC Day 11+ Analogs 814analog_off.gif
08112015 CPC 814temp_new.gif
08112015 CPC 814prcp_new.gif
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Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
Member: National Weather Association
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Twitter @WeatherInfinity
The temperature is falling like a rock in Baton Rouge this afternoon. Down to freezing with a relative humidity of 153%. Something odd going on with their obs...
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We just broke the 2011 temp also - we are at 103...something is def. broken.
Just because you're disabled, you don't have to be a victim
Be Weather Aware & Prepared! Barbara Jordan Winner in Media
Disability Integration Consultant
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BURLESON...WASHINGTON...SOUTHERN
BRAZOS...WALLER...NORTHEASTERN AUSTIN...SOUTHERN SAN JACINTO...
MONTGOMERY...HARRIS...SOUTHERN GRIMES AND WEST CENTRAL LIBERTY
COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CDT...
AT 410 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING SEVERAL STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR SNOOK TO NEAR ROMAN
FOREST...AND MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 20 TO 30 MPH.
WIND GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. A WIND
GUST OF 55 MPH WAS REPORTED AT CONROE WITH THIS ACTIVITY.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PASADENA...COLLEGE STATION...SOUTHERN BRYAN...CONROE...DEER PARK...
SOUTH HOUSTON...BRENHAM...HUMBLE...GALENA PARK...TOMBALL...JACINTO
CITY...JERSEY VILLAGE...NAVASOTA...HEMPSTEAD...PRAIRIE VIEW...HUNTERS
CREEK VILLAGE...CALDWELL...BUNKER HILL VILLAGE...PINEY POINT VILLAGE
AND PINEHURST.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
104F here! Just heard a nice clap of thunder, wind is up a dab and the skies are a bit cloudy. It would be nice to have things cooled down a bit...WOW! temp dropped to 102F already.
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
518 PM CDT TUE AUG 11 2015
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN CHAMBERS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
NORTHEASTERN HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
SOUTHERN LIBERTY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
* UNTIL 545 PM CDT
* AT 516 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A CLUSTER OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH. THESE STORMS WERE STRETCHED ACROSS SOUTHERN LIBERTY AND
NORTHERN CHAMBERS COUNTIES AND DRIFTING INTO EASTERN HARRIS
COUNTY. MOVEMENT WAS WEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...
DEADLY LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION...MOVE TO
AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY
RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER
COVERS THE ROAD.
~~~When Thunder Roars Go Indoors~~~
~~~Turn Around Don't Drown~~~
~~~Run From The Water, Hide From The Wind~~~
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
TXC039-071-157-201-112330-
/O.NEW.KHGX.SV.W.0126.150811T2249Z-150811T2330Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
549 PM CDT TUE AUG 11 2015
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTH CENTRAL BRAZORIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
WESTERN CHAMBERS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
NORTHEASTERN FORT BEND COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
* UNTIL 630 PM CDT
* AT 548 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A CLUSTER OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH AND HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED OVER SAN
JACINTO STATE PARK...OR NEAR HIGHLANDS...AND MOVING SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PASADENA...NORTHWESTERN PEARLAND...NORTHEASTERN SUGAR LAND...
NORTHWESTERN BAYTOWN...MISSOURI CITY...DEER PARK...STAFFORD...SOUTH
HOUSTON...BELLAIRE...WEST UNIVERSITY PLACE...GALENA PARK...JACINTO
CITY...ASTRODOME AREA...BARRETT...GREATER FIFTH WARD...NEARTOWN /
MONTROSE...SECOND WARD...GREATER HOBBY AREA...GREENWAY / UPPER
KIRBY AREA AND SOUTH BELT / ELLINGTON.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...
DEADLY LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION...MOVE TO
AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY
RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER
COVERS THE ROAD.
The skies are talking here in Stafford. Have had a few droplets o
f rain. The skies are really lighting up though. It is calm than the trees start swaying, than the sky lights up.
Here comes the rain I think. Weird, it started, than stopped. LIterally, the rain started, I could hear it whipping against the windows than it just stopped. I can still hear the thunder in the background.
