March Ends As One Of The 'Wettest' March On Record

[Katdaddy]

I know I am. Winter -2015 continues but warmer days are ahead.

[Ptarmigan]

March is the month of expectation.
-Emily Dickinson, March is the Month of Expectation

March can get cold as there have been cold blasts in the past. It even snowed once in March in 1932. Leap Day 1932 is the warmest Leap Day recorded at 85°F. 10 days later, it is cold again.

February Normals, Means and Extremes for Houston
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/hgx/?n=climate_iah_normals_feb

March Normals, Means and Extremes for Houston
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/hgx/?n=climate_iah_normals_mar

[srainhoutx]

Unfortunately the 12Z GFS suggests Spring like weather will be squashed come next Wednesday as yet another strong shot of Arctic air arrives bringing a chance of more freezing temperatures almost to the Coast into next weekend.

[texoz]

I thought I read here about a week ago that first week or two of March was looking warm? Not happening now I guess?

[Texaspirate11]

I'm putting in my request for 90 degrees.
Bring it.

[srainhoutx]

No sign of Spring like weather in the Updated Day 8+ Analogs or the Climate Prediction Center Day 6 to 10 temperature and precipitation Outlook.

02262015 CPC Day 8+ Analogs 610analog_off.gif

02262015 CPC Day 6 to 10 Temps 610temp_new.gif

02262015 CPC Day 6 to 10 Precip 610prcp_new.gif

[ticka1]

Going to NM for Spring Break - love that map with the cold and moisture - aka snow!!!! After March is over with - Spring can arrive.

[BlueJay]

I'm ready for spring!

[srainhoutx]

We are beginning to see a trend develop regarding the strong Arctic front expected to arrive next Wednesday. More wintry mischief may be an issue as the cold upper trough swings across our Region next week.

02272015 12Z GFS 138 gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_23.png

02272015 12Z Euro 144 ecmwf_T850a_us_7.png

02272015 12Z CMC 144 gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_24.png

[srainhoutx]

NWS San Antonio/Austin as well as Houston/Galveston already mentioning the possibility of wintry precipitation next Wednesday into Thursday with the strong Arctic front arriving mid next week. I will enjoy the warming trend Monday and Tuesday before the bottom falls out again temperature wise. Enough of this cold weather...sigh

[BlueJay]

Sigh...I guess it will be OK if we can stay above freezing!

[Heat Miser]

True, but NWS H/G again says it will be the far northern areas of southeast Texas. Houston and southward, same ole same ole (cold rain and misery).....

[srainhoutx]

Actually the 00Z GFS shows a bit of sleet after the next Arctic front arrives at IAH.

02282015 00Z GFS iahgfs.png

[BlueJay]

Will March 2015 be the coldest month of this winter? I hope not...

[unome]

http://www.cpcpara.ncep.noaa.gov/

For Monday March 02 - Friday March 06: An arctic air mass is forecast to move southward and eastward out of western Canada early in the period. Unseasonably cold air is expected to overspread most of the lower 48 states, reaching the Eastern Seaboard by the end of next week. Temperatures are predicted to range between 12 and 32 degrees F below normal, with the largest departures in the Central CONUS.

[redneckweather]

No, we will not see any wintry precip with next weeks front, no matter what the models say. How many times have the models shown wintry precip for us this fall/winter season in the medium to long range? Way too many times to count and NADA when the time came. More miserable weather with a cold rain next week.

[Heat Miser]

Actually the 00Z GFS shows a bit of sleet after the next Arctic front arrives at IAH.

That would be interesting, but I'm pretty sure it will be well north of the Houston area. NWSHG still sees this possible event as a far north event.

strong cold front that is expected to move through the area on Wednesday.
The frontal timing will play a significant role on wednesday's high
temperatures...and for now have indicated falling readings in the afternoon.
It will become breezy and colder behind the front...and up north where
temperatures might get close to the freezing level Wednesday night through
Thursday morning we might need to keep an eye on the possibility of
some frozen precipitation.

[srainhoutx]

The 12Z GFS continues the trend of advertising wintry weather across a lot of our Region which includes, Central/N/NE/E and portions of SE Texas into Louisiana. The GFS suggests 2 meter temperatures running anywhere from the mid to upper 20's to the low 30's by Thursday morning depending on your location, if the GFS is correct.

02282015 12Z GFS 108 gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_18.png

02282015 12Z GFS 114 gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_19.png

02282015 12Z GFS 120 gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_20.png

[harpman]

The 12Z GFS continues the trend of advertising wintry weather across a lot of our Region which includes, Central/N/NE/E and portions of SE Texas into Louisiana. The GFS suggests 2 meter temperatures running anywhere from the mid to upper 20's to the low 30's by Thursday morning depending on your location, if the GFS is correct.

02282015 12Z GFS 108 gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_18.png

02282015 12Z GFS 114 gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_19.png

02282015 12Z GFS 120 gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_20.png

It's been showing this set up for 6 to 7 runs in a row now.

[srainhoutx]

The 12Z Euro has trended 'wetter' and 'colder' as the shortwave (upper air disturbance) embedded in the mean cold upper trough lingers back to our W a bit longer. We will see, but somewhere across Texas/Louisiana on N and E may see a fairly good shot of seeing a wintry mix if the trends continue.

02282015 12Z Euro f120.gif