May: IAH Does Not Reach 90 During May. 1970 Mark Achieved

[Texaspirate11]

Doing a shameless plug for Saturday's NWS hurricane expo at the George R Brown

I will be speaking from 1:30-2:00 at the DEMO STAGE
"Because you're disabled, you don't have to be a victim"

I'm so honored to be speaking.!!!!!!!!!!

[srainhoutx]

Our old friend that meandering upper low has retrograded back W and is near the Texarkana area this morning. Mid level moisture continues to increase from the remnants of what was Amanda in the Eastern Pacific. The air mass over us has certainly moistened up since yesterday and that bodes well for increasing rain chances. Tomorrow could be rather stormy as the low moves very near SE Texas.

[Portastorm]

Steve, glad you mentioned that. I just made a comment over on Storm2K with the same thoughts. The upper low is clearly now retrograding into NE Texas. Wet weekend ahead for much of southeast Texas. Hoping we can get in on some of the "fun" here in south central Texas.

EWX had been downplaying the odds because the ULL had not been behaving as models progged. Well, it is now so I suspect our POPs may rise from 20% to 30-40% by the weekend.

[spadilly]

Wow...a pretty heavy downpour just popped up over us here in Greenspoint.
Guess this will kick off things for today.

[srainhoutx]

The latest surface analysis suggest a weak surface low near Tyler with a trough axis extending to the SE into Western Louisiana. The upper low continues to slide SW and should be near the College Station area tomorrow. Scattered storm are a good bet along and E of the I-45 Corridor and the sea breeze boundary is moving inland faster than pervious days. Boundary collisions later today suggest storm motion may be very slow and capable of dropping 1+ inch per hour rainfall rates where they occur. Tomorrow looks very wet across portions E Central, SE and East Texas as well as Western Louisiana.

[srainhoutx]

Keep an eye on that line of storms developing near Temple. As the afternoon continues some potential increases for a MCC (Mesoscale Convective Complex) as the line generally heads SE.

[unome]

I was looking at sats with "fronts" option & it shows a "H" over the area of 1011 ???

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/sc/flash-rgb.html

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/sc/flash-rb.html

[srainhoutx]

I was looking at sats with "fronts" option & it shows a "H" over the area of 1011 ???

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/sc/flash-rgb.html

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/sc/flash-rb.html

Cyclonic turning suggest a surface and mid level low. If there was high pressure over that area, the cloud motions would be clockwise or anticyclonic.

[unome]

I just thought it odd, wondered how they put fronts data on their sat views

edit to add: shows that on the US view also ??? http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/comp/ceus/flash-rgb.html

in fact, all they have on the sat maps fronts are "H"s, maybe they need to ask Pat or Vanna for an "L" ;)

[mckinne63]

Any idea on timing for the rain to start? I know these things are hard to predict, I keep watching the skies. I am home, so no worries on travel for me, but wondering how it will be for the hubby trying to get home from work.

I find weather amazing, looking at the skies right now, one would never guess that rain is on the way. I love this forum! I don't post much, but I check the posts here many times a day. Kudos to the experts for all your analysis of the data. You give the truth, while the News often blows things out of proportion, though every once in awhile they are correct, but I think it is only because they are reading the analysis here.

[Andrew]

Any idea on timing for the rain to start? I know these things are hard to predict, I keep watching the skies. I am home, so no worries on travel for me, but wondering how it will be for the hubby trying to get home from work.

I find weather amazing, looking at the skies right now, one would never guess that rain is on the way. I love this forum! I don't post much, but I check the posts here many times a day. Kudos to the experts for all your analysis of the data. You give the truth, while the News often blows things out of proportion, though every once in awhile they are correct, but I think it is only because they are reading the analysis here.

We have already hit convective temps for many parts of the area and local boundaries are located everywhere. These will help to spark storms throughout the afternoon and as we head into the evening the ULL will inch closer and closer producing better lift. It's going to remain scattered throughout the afternoon. Once we head into the overnight hours and tomorrow, we could start to see more organized storms.

[BlueJay]

No rain here. Temperature IMBY reached 91F today.

I rolled up my soaker hose this morning. I wonder if this act was premature or if we will indeed get more rain tonight and/or tomorrow. We will see...

[kayci]

Alvin is getting SLAMMED right now.

[mckinne63]

Any idea on timing for the rain to start? I know these things are hard to predict, I keep watching the skies. I am home, so no worries on travel for me, but wondering how it will be for the hubby trying to get home from work.

I find weather amazing, looking at the skies right now, one would never guess that rain is on the way. I love this forum! I don't post much, but I check the posts here many times a day. Kudos to the experts for all your analysis of the data. You give the truth, while the News often blows things out of proportion, though every once in awhile they are correct, but I think it is only because they are reading the analysis here.

We have already hit convective temps for many parts of the area and local boundaries are located everywhere. These will help to spark storms throughout the afternoon and as we head into the evening the ULL will inch closer and closer producing better lift. It's going to remain scattered throughout the afternoon. Once we head into the overnight hours and tomorrow, we could start to see more organized storms.

Thanks for the info Andrew!

[djjordan]

So glad for the coastal counties getting the heavy rainfall at the moment. This is another area that really needs it.

[mckinne63]

It is clouding up here in Stafford. I took a pic but can't figure out how to post it. Half the sky is dark, half is light. Wind picks up, than it stops.

[mckinne63]

Well darn, as quickly as that formed it is breaking apart.

[ajurcat]

Raining now at Fairbanks & 290 in NW Houston

[jasons2k]

It is now raining here the hardest I have seen it in years. It is pouring cats and dogs.

[srainhoutx]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
611 PM CDT FRI MAY 30 2014

TXC201-339-310015-
/O.NEW.KHGX.FA.Y.0019.140530T2311Z-140531T0015Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARRIS TX-MONTGOMERY TX-
611 PM CDT FRI MAY 30 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
WESTERN HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 715 PM CDT

* AT 609 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO
THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
HUMBLE...GALENA PARK...JACINTO CITY...JERSEY VILLAGE...HUNTERS
CREEK VILLAGE...BUNKER HILL VILLAGE...PINEY POINT VILLAGE...MIDTOWN
HOUSTON...NORTHSIDE / NORTHLINE...FOURTH WARD...GREATER HEIGHTS...
DOWNTOWN HOUSTON...SPRING BRANCH NORTH...SPRING BRANCH WEST...
ALDINE...KINGWOOD...SECOND WARD...SPRING...AFTON OAKS / RIVER OAKS
AREA AND NEARTOWN / MONTROSE.

THE THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING BETWEEN DOWNTOWN HOUSTON AND THE
WOODLANDS AND WERE DRIFTING SOUTH UNDER 10 MPH.