January: Calmer Pattern To End The Month

[TxJohn]

Will north of i-10 be in the sleet/snow category?

[Portastorm]

I'm liking the trends. I would be just fine with a thin blanket of snow...just to see everything white for a bit. I've been in this house since 2000 and have yet to see white stuff (that stuff they call snow) stick to the ground. We've had some flurries here and there but nothing stuck. We totally missed out on the 2004 Christmas Miracle and this one is bringing back flashbacks. Say it ain't so Porta!

C'mon redneckweather ... you know our drill. You and I should expect NOTHING. Like we usually get. That way we don't get disappointed and if something happens, then we can celebrate.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

When you have wxman57 standing on the steeple in his spandex yelling "SNOWWWWW" you know it's a weird year

[tireman4]

I'm liking the trends. I would be just fine with a thin blanket of snow...just to see everything white for a bit. I've been in this house since 2000 and have yet to see white stuff (that stuff they call snow) stick to the ground. We've had some flurries here and there but nothing stuck. We totally missed out on the 2004 Christmas Miracle and this one is bringing back flashbacks. Say it ain't so Porta!

C'mon redneckweather ... you know our drill. You and I should expect NOTHING. Like we usually get. That way we don't get disappointed and if something happens, then we can celebrate.

Wait, you mean like Caddyshack....You'll get nothing and like it...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0f6l1QljpMo

[srainhoutx]

Nice little storm depicted via the 12Z GFS...

01262014 12Z GFS gfs_namer_054_500_vort_ht.gif

01262014 12Z GFS gfs_namer_054_250_wnd_ht.gif

01262014 12Z GFS gfs_namer_078_precip_ptot.gif

[redneckweather]

Hmmmm, latest 12z GFS looks to show maybe upwards to 2 inches of snow all the way to College Station. Am I reading that right?

[Heat Miser]

When you have wxman57 standing on the steeple in his spandex yelling "SNOWWWWW" you know it's a weird year

True, but you also know it actually may come to fruition.
Where's cynical Ed?

[srainhoutx]

The 12Z HIRES (High Resolution) NAM suggests several embedded upper level disturbances rippling E across Texas and a nice precip band developing generally across the I-10 Corridor.

01262014 12Z HIRES NAM nam-hires_namer_048_sim_reflectivity.gif

01262014 12Z HIRES NAM nam-hires_namer_048_700_rh_ht.gif

01262014 12Z HIRES NAM nam-hires_namer_048_500_vort_ht.gif

01262014 12Z HIRES NAM nam-hires_namer_048_250_wnd_ht.gif

[MontgomeryCoWx]

When you have wxman57 standing on the steeple in his spandex yelling "SNOWWWWW" you know it's a weird year

True, but you also know it actually may come to fruition.
Where's cynical Ed?

Very true. Waiting for Longhorn Dr Ed to chime in

[jasons2k]

WPC maps have been updated - they look much more promising than what we just saw a few days ago:

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/pwpf/wwd_a ... ptype=snow

[randybpt]

When does the storm start Monday night or Tuesday morning big difference
I have to make a major adjustment to my work.

[tireman4]

I am going to try and load this....I hope it works...

https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid ... 813&type=1

[SusieinLP]

Honestly, I like today's forecast...high in low 70s. But back to the subject of frozen precip.... I guess it all depends on where that coastal low sets up and where we are with temps when/if we get the rain/ice.


I notice on the above graphic a little area around the bay with no precip at all. What's up with that?

[wxman57]

When does the storm start Monday night or Tuesday morning big difference
I have to make a major adjustment to my work.

During the day on Tuesday, with best chances of accumulations and icy roads after noon.

[WeatherDuck]

I am going to try and load this....I hope it works...

https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid ... 813&type=1

I like the look of this map for my neck of the woods a little northeast of Austin.

[randybpt]

Thanks Wxman big help

[Portastorm]

FWIW, the 12z CMC shows very little if any frozen precip this week for Central/South Texas. The reason why? It keeps the 500mb low out west cut off and never progresses it eastward. Right now the Canadian is the outlier.

[srainhoutx]

12Z GEFS (Ensemble mean) 24 hour precip estimates and temperature anomalies.

[Snowman]

Can someone tell me what may be in store for New Orleans? It won't be as cold as in Houston so are we looking at more ice than snow here? Thanks for any input.

[wxman57]

Can someone tell me what may be in store for New Orleans? It won't be as cold as in Houston so are we looking at more ice than snow here? Thanks for any input.

Current models are indicating more snow for New Orleans than Houston, and up to 3-6" for the MS Coast.