May: Isolated Showers To End The Month

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srainhoutx
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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1002 AM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN FORT BEND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHWESTERN HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1030 AM CDT

* AT 954 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
PECAN GROVE...AND MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

Image

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MISSION BEND...SUGAR LAND...BELLAIRE...PECAN GROVE...RICHMOND...
STAFFORD...TOWN WEST...MEADOWS...HUNTERS CREEK VILLAGE...BUNKER
HILL VILLAGE...SPRING VALLEY...PINEY POINT VILLAGE...HEDWIG VILLAGE
AND HILSHIRE VILLAGE.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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Nearing 2 inch an hour rainfall rates in Western Harris County
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Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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CU field expanding over W Central Texas along the frontal boundary. Further storm development possible as the day wears on to our West.
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Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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From Nesdis:

SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/10/13 1455Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 1430Z KUSSELSON
DMSP SSMIS:1219Z NOAA AMSU:0804Z
.
LOCATION...SE TEXAS...
.
ATTN WFOS...HGX...CRP...EWX...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
.
EVENT...OUTFLOW FROM MCS TO THE NORTHEAST HELPING TO STEER DEEP MOISTURE
INTO CURRENT COMPLEX IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...SOME CONCERN FOR WET AREAS
NEAR HOUSTON AREA...
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...DRY AIR OVER THE NE GULF OF MEXICO
HELPING TO WEAKEN CONVECTIVE COMPLEX ACROSS SE LA AND S MS INTO THE GULF.
BUT OUTFLOW DRIVING SOUTH WAS PROBABLY STEERING DEEP MOISTURE WEST
TOWARD SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THIS HAS HELPED BRING HIGHEST PWAT VALUES AS
PER ANGELTON AND CONROE TX GPS SITES TO NEAR 1.8". BULK OF INCOMING
CONVECTIVE COMPLEX WEDGE DRIFTING EAST/SE AND APPEARS HEADED FOR THE
AREA SOUTH OF HOUSTON...BUT CELLS/LUMPYNESS ON VIS KEEP POPPING UP ON THE
NORTH/NE SIDE OF MCS IN CIRRUS ANVIL...IE CENTERED NEAR WALLER/AUSTIN/N
FT BEND INTO HARRIS COUNTY...BRAZOS/WASHINGTON COUNTY JUST NORTH OF
HERE AND FAYETTE/LAVACA COUNTY TO THE WSW. RAIN RATES CAN REACH
1-1.5"/HR...ISOLATED RATES NEAR TRAINING OF 2.0"/HR POSSIBLE IN INCREASING
AREA TO THE NORTHEAST OF WEDGE...IE AUSTIN/N FT BEND-WALLER BORDER AREA
INTO SW HARRIS COUNTY...JUST WHERE THEY DON'T NEED ANY MORE RAIN.
.
AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
.
SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 1500-1800Z...MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...STRONGEST HVY RAIN CELLS AS PER VIS MOVING INTO
SW HARRIS FROM AREAS MENTIONED ABOVE. POSSIBLY A JETLET FROM CONVECTIVE
WEDGE TO THE SW IS HELPING ACTIVITY HERE ALONG WITH DEEP MOISTURE BEING
STEERED INTO COMPLEX HERE AS WELL. SECOND AREA CENTERED LAVACA INTO
COLORADO COUNTY SHOULD PASS INTO BRAZORIA THIS TIME PERIOD WITH SOUTHERN
MOST PART OF WEDGE INTO MATAGORDA WITH LOCALLY HVY RAIN...BUT THESE LAST
TWO AREAS HAVE NOT HAD AS MUCH RAIN AS AREAS TO THE NORTH.
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Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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tireman4
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Folks,

It is literally night time here in Gulfgate. It is that dark. It is that dark. I have never ever seen it this dark at 10:34 am in my 8 years of working here. Incredible.
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1038 AM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN FORT BEND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTH CENTRAL BRAZORIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1115 AM CDT

* AT 1035 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 11
MILES SOUTH OF FIRST COLONY...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MANVEL...DANBURY...IOWA COLONY AND BONNEY.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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tireman4
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Now it is raining so hard, I cannot see 400 meters out...wow....
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srainhoutx wrote:Nearing 2 inch an hour rainfall rates in Western Harris County
See that .08" from the guage at I-45 & The Hardy? Yep...that's pretty much me. The outflow just exploded off to my south and east, leaving me with just a few showers. Looks like only a small portion of NW Harris into Montgomery County was left out of the fun (so far).
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jasons wrote:
srainhoutx wrote:Nearing 2 inch an hour rainfall rates in Western Harris County
See that .08" from the guage at I-45 & The Hardy? Yep...that's pretty much me. The outflow just exploded off to my south and east, leaving me with just a few showers. Looks like only a small portion of NW Harris into Montgomery County was left out of the fun (so far).

Raining harder now here in NW Harris County. I had a 10th of an inch early this morning before the complex moved in.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Wow! I just got home. Was hoping to get my errands done, but did not quite make it. I ditched the last one and headed for home. That short trek was really scarey. Roads were already starting to pond and it had only been raining for about 10-15 minutes.
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jabcwb2
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Hi all,

Are we in for much more rain today? I need to either keep office open or shut her down for the day so people can get safely home. Office is located in Galleria and employees live as far north as the woodlands, Katy and southesat harris county.

Thanks!!!!!!!
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I received 3 inches of rain overnight - at work now in downtown and it was dark as night here with rain coming down in sheets.

Looking like more forming back to the west - will it make it to SE Texas - will be the big question. Wet and soggy Friday and looks like again for tomorrow.

:?
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well...that was fun. wow

I guess now we just wait and see if the atmosphere re-energizes in time for the next wave to come through.
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Andrew
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spadilly wrote:well...that was fun. wow

I guess now we just wait and see if the atmosphere re-energizes in time for the next wave to come through.
We will have to wait and see. Sun is poking out here in College Station and temps are starting to heat up but the atmosphere has been worked over pretty efficiently. The next "band of storms" (if we get another one) that come through probably won't be as strong but you never know.
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2" of rain in the bay area where I live.
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We better get some more rain or dh is going to make me eat crow for making him cancel the mulch :mrgreen:
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mckinne63 wrote:We better get some more rain or dh is going to make me eat crow for making him cancel the mulch :mrgreen:
Pretty sure we got more rain coming judging from radar out west.

FFW extended through the overnight.

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...FORT BEND...GRIMES...HARRIS...LIBERTY...
MONTGOMERY...POLK...SAN JACINTO...WALKER AND WALLER.

* THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING

* AREAS ROUGHLY ALONG A LINE FROM CARLOS TO CRABBS PRAIRIE TO
RIVERSIDE TO MOSCOW RECEIVED BETWEEN 4 AND 7 INCHES OF
RAINFALL LATE THURSDAY. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
CURRENTLY DEVELOPING IN WEST AND CENTRAL TEXAS ARE EXPECTED TO
MOVE INTO THE REGION TODAY.

* ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME WILL
QUICKLY RUNOFF AND CAUSE FLASH FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.
~~~When Thunder Roars Go Indoors~~~
~~~Turn Around Don't Drown~~~
~~~Run From The Water, Hide From The Wind~~~
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I measured another 2.93" today, about half early morning and the rest around mid day. Total 20.4" for the year.
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spadilly
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Several warnings out west already.

Image
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Paul Robison

Well, the latest HRRR model runs appear to show a credible scenario for tonight with an area of showers and thundertstorms moving through the region after midnight and into the morning hours. The lower levels of the atmosphere took a pretty good wallop after all that severe weather we had this morning so I personally am not as worried about severe weather as I am about minor flooding given the huge amount of rain we had in the last 24 hours. Now, if you live in the costal counties, you might see daytime activity akin to what we Houstonians saw today as the surface boundary moves through the region.


How did I do, folks? Anybody agree with me?
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