Ed Mahmoud wrote:That was depressing. About a tenth at local airports.
Cap held as expected...not sure why SPC keeps dropping that slgiht risk area so far back SW when the inversion is so strong....maybe for the isolated cell that can break through and go severe. This is not 2012...that is for sure!
Larry Cosgrove: "Despite the cold night ahead, I am convinced that winter is finished in the Houston area (and, to a large degree, the entire southern and eastern quadrants of the U.S. It may be possible that one or two intrusions of Arctic air will drop out of Canada between now and mid-February. However, the lack of any viable high-latitude blocking signatures in or around North America (despite so many computer models saying otherwise) would suggest that Spring gets an early, and very warm start.
As an example, the warming trend setting up this weekend will carry strongly into the following week, with 60s, 70s and finally 80s likely to be in play each afternoon. We may be in better shape for rainfall potential during the next few months than was the case two years ago, if only because nearby tropical forcing (eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean) could be lined up to deliver moisture and energy to much of Texas. many of the analogs to the current pattern suggest an unusually warm, humid pattern locally with lots of thunderstorms.
If you want real winter, move to Minneapolis or Chicago...."
I'm confused....is this his personal opinion....orrrrr?
Temps have dropped to a frosty 32 degrees here in NW Harris County at this hour. January certainly brought a roller coaster pattern of interesting temperature swings with wintry mischief and strong storms, but little in significant rainfall beyond 2 events during the second week and the last week of the month. I will say that the Tuesday storm was somewhat like the Christmas Storm that brought gusty winds and a severe side that had an effect on much of the Nation. All in all it was a fairly typical January with no extreme cold as most of us expected with some rain for most, but not as much as last year as Jeff mentioned. On to February.
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I agree. We can have snow in March. I won't forget Friday, March 9th 2012. As you can see from my location, I live in San Marcos, TX. Well March 9th of last year was the start of Spring Break. I left San Marcos around noon that day after a big cold front came in. We saw a very heavy rain here in Central/South TX. I had to make a stop in San Antonio that day before heading to Houston. While I was traveling down 35 South, I ran into a few very big flat snowflakes as the air temperature was probably in the mid to upper 30s. I know it was snow because of how slushy it was as it stuck on my windshield. Only about 2-4 flakes hit, so not anything big or enough for accumulation. But what I'm saying is, March can throw a few surprises as well. So don't give out hope till mid March. That's my take on weather.
April is usually our last significant "cool" front before the fire gets cooking for the next few months.
Anyway, hopefully if we have any folks in San Antonio on this forum, they may remember that event from last year. Or even Portastorm up in Austin! It was quite something, that's for sure.
