April 7th 2010 Season Outlook by Dr. Phil Klotzbach

[wxman57]

Read it here:
http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Fo ... pr2010.pdf

No surprises. Looks like a very active season. He's predicting 15 named storms and 8 hurricanes, 4 of which may be Category 3-4-5.. But just remember that Ike wasn't a "major hurricane" at landfall.

[Paul]

whew, I thought he was going to go over that...I am at 14/8/3 so close enough.. ..

..We are going to have some big ones this year I an afraid. Ike was no major and look at the wind damage and power outages. 5 days for me and my power is underground. If any good news is IF we were to get a major alot of trees have been pruned back or cut down during Ike. Maybe less power outages but probably more roof damage. If you still have a blue tarp on your roof, well you are not in a good position right now IF we were to have one blow through...

PT, I am still waiting on my strongest hurricane to hit Galveston/Houston with sustained winds inland above 74mph....having a hard time with this one?

WXMN57- look forward to Phil speaking at the upcoming engagement in May...

[Katdaddy]

Yep Paul, I will be there also. Looking forward to May 21st. There will be lots of good information.

[Paul]

Yep Paul, I will be there also. Looking forward to May 21st. There will be lots of good information.

Lets sit together as I dont have to hang out with the any one group this year. I will PM you as we get closer...

maybe SRain can join also?

[Katdaddy]

Sound good Paul. An active season ahead.

[srainhoutx]

Yep Paul, I will be there also. Looking forward to May 21st. There will be lots of good information.

Lets sit together as I dont have to hang out with the any one group this year. I will PM you as we get closer...

maybe SRain can join also?

wxman57 has been "hinting" for me to join in. We will see.

[Cycloneye]

Of the analogs they have 1998 is the one I like the most but without any direct hit like Georges did here in Puerto Rico.

[wxman57]

Of the analogs they have 1998 is the one I like the most but without any direct hit like Georges did here in Puerto Rico.

I think you may well get to share in some of the "hurricane fun" this year, cycloneye. Direct hits there are rare, though.

[Paul]

Of the analogs they have 1998 is the one I like the most but without any direct hit like Georges did here in Puerto Rico.

Louis, if I was a betting man PR will get some glancing blows this year..hopefully nothing to bad....

[Paul]

Yep Paul, I will be there also. Looking forward to May 21st. There will be lots of good information.

Lets sit together as I dont have to hang out with the any one group this year. I will PM you as we get closer...

maybe SRain can join also?

wxman57 has been "hinting" for me to join in. We will see.

we will start a collection for your entry fee....

[srainhoutx]

we will start a collection for your entry fee....

Thanks Paul. I was hoping wxman57 would foot the bill since he stated on Weather Man's Day he did not need the money.

[Ptarmigan]

whew, I thought he was going to go over that...I am at 14/8/3 so close enough.. ..

..We are going to have some big ones this year I an afraid. Ike was no major and look at the wind damage and power outages. 5 days for me and my power is underground. If any good news is IF we were to get a major alot of trees have been pruned back or cut down during Ike. Maybe less power outages but probably more roof damage. If you still have a blue tarp on your roof, well you are not in a good position right now IF we were to have one blow through...

PT, I am still waiting on my strongest hurricane to hit Galveston/Houston with sustained winds inland above 74mph....having a hard time with this one?

WXMN57- look forward to Phil speaking at the upcoming engagement in May...

Here is the link Paul.
http://forums.khou.com/viewtopic.php?f=4&t=138

[Ptarmigan]

Sounds about what I predicted. I expect changes though.