Former Invest 92L: Causing TSTMS NW Caribbean

[srainhoutx]

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invest_al922012.invest
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201209152022
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INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 92, 2012, DB, O, 2012091518, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL922012
AL, 92, 2012091518, , BEST, 0, 125N, 522W, 25, 0, DB,

[kellybell4770]

Chance of coming this way??

[srainhoutx]

00Z Tracks & Intensity:

[nuby3]

Is this the one the GFS showed crossing the yucatan into the western gulf? A few days ago?

[wxman57]

Chance of coming this way??

Very, very low. All models indicate the jet stream digging down into the Gulf next week and staying there for quite a while. Westerly winds 50-80 kts across the northern Gulf means nothing could come this way.

[srainhoutx]

12Z Tracks & Intensity:

[ticka1]

i think SE texas peak seaso is over with... bring on the cold fronts snow and winter!

[wxman57]

NW Gulf hurricane season is over. Jet stream now is dipping into the Gulf. Westerly winds 50-100 mph as far as the eye can see (out through early October) across the northern and central Gulf.

[Ptarmigan]

WxMan has killed the tropics thread for the next 8 months, although I personally remember and enjoyed Pacific Hurricane Rosa, and mid level remnants of EPac cyclones over shallow Polar airmasses and area rivers bursting into flames has a certain je ne sais quoi...

The October 1994 had rainfall as high as 37 inches of rain in 6 hours! Not sure of any shallow polar air mass at the time. However, there was a Pacific front that was slow moving.
http://forums.khou.com/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=55

It also happened when the Atlantic was quiet with no major hurricanes.