Invest 97L: Nearing The Caribbean Islands

[srainhoutx]

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201206291811
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INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 97, 2012, DB, O, 2012062918, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL972012
AL, 97, 2012062818, , BEST, 0, 115N, 419W, 20, 1014, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 97, 2012062900, , BEST, 0, 115N, 432W, 20, 1014, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 97, 2012062906, , BEST, 0, 116N, 445W, 20, 1013, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 97, 2012062912, , BEST, 0, 116N, 458W, 20, 1013, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1015, 150, 45, 0, 0,
AL, 97, 2012062918, , BEST, 0, 117N, 471W, 20, 1013, DB, 34

[srainhoutx]

As mentioned in the July thread, there are indications that an approaching Kelvin Wave in the EPAC and the monsoonal trough once again may become an issue in about 8-10 days. If there were to be any future development, it is my hunch that it would occur further W in the NW Caribbean or the Bay of Campeche near July 9th, +/- a couple of days. We will see.

[srainhoutx]

The HPC afternoon surface charts are suggesting an area of low pressure approaching the NW Caribbean in about a week...

[ticka1]

Has the GFS run on this Invest?

[srainhoutx]

Has the GFS run on this Invest?

The HWRF and GFDL Hurricane models have not run for 97L just yet. We'll likely see those models running overnight or early tomorrow.