GOM Homebrew end of next week?

[Katdaddy]

for what it's worth. From Tampa bay NWS:

LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...STRONG RIDGE OF 500
MB HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD. BY MID WEEK...TROUGHING OFF THE
EAST COAST WILL START TO PINCH OFF INTO A CUTOFF LOW. THE GFS
PROGS THIS LOW TO DRIFT ACROSS THE PENINSULA THROUGH THE TAIL END
OF THE COMING WEEK. HAVE KEPT POPS HIGHER IN THE DAY 5-7 TIME WITH
THE UPPER LOW MOVING WEST INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO BY FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. WILL ALSO HAVE TO MONITOR THE EVENTUAL DEVELOPMENT OF
THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE THAT NHC PROGS WITH A HIGH CHANCE OF
DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

[Rip76]

Kat,
Are any other models picking up on this?

[Katdaddy]

I have not looked to see if any models pick this up yet. It will be interesting to read more AFDs this afternoon to see if anything else is mentioned about it. May turn out to be nothing but worth noting...the GOM is very warm and a low under the ridge could turn interesting.

[vbhoutex]

Hmm, that is interesting. It will be interesting to see 1. if it happens, 2. what, if any influence might be imparted by the future Emily in whatever form she is, 3. if this develops into something is the ridge placed and strong enough to keep it coming West across the GOM to us? Without having looked at anything there isn't a whole lot more to say. We all know the weather for the next week is supposed to be even hotter than it has been. Will that have an influence similar to what happened with Don?

[Ptarmigan]

Interesting forecast. Hope we get more rain.

[wxman57]

I'm not seeing any such thing. The ridge remains under firm control of our weather.

[Katdaddy]

I dont see anything discussed in the morning AFD. As Wxman57 stated nothing the models and that fine by me even though I still need more rain.