July: Week of 25th - Don Near S TX/ Hot & Dry

Wed Jul 06, 2011 2:49 pm

The latest high-res visible satellite imagery clearly shows a vort max slowly drifting west-southwest out of northern Jasper county into northern Tyler county. This feature is currently helping enhance the shower and thunderstorm activity across our northeast zones. We will have to watch to see how this feature and its associated convection interacts with the sea breeze/outflow from isolated convection firing up south of the city at this time.

Wed Jul 06, 2011 3:37 pm

noticing there is no weather statement for Galveston County. Just got home from vacation from New Orleans. Can anyone update me on some relief in Galv. Co???? While I was in LA, we had nice showers everyday. Hoping for same here. Hearing of rain on radio all over the place, but what about coastal areas? I've heard nothing so far. HELP!

Wed Jul 06, 2011 4:15 pm

kayci wrote:noticing there is no weather statement for Galveston County. Just got home from vacation from New Orleans. Can anyone update me on some relief in Galv. Co???? While I was in LA, we had nice showers everyday. Hoping for same here. Hearing of rain on radio all over the place, but what about coastal areas? I've heard nothing so far. HELP!

Hopefully everyone will get in on some rain this week. The pattern looks conducive for scattered showers/storms into the weekend. Next week, eyes may once again turn to the tropics...

Wed Jul 06, 2011 4:16 pm

Thunder!!! Haven't heard that in awhile.

Big thunder and light rain at the 290/Gessner area.

Wed Jul 06, 2011 4:21 pm

Heavier rain now and my Weatherbug says 74! Woohoo!

Wed Jul 06, 2011 4:57 pm

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
452 PM CDT WED JUL 6 2011

TXZ211-212-226-227-237-062300-
AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-FORT BEND-WALLER-WHARTON-
452 PM CDT WED JUL 6 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

AT 451 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM BROOKSHIRE TO 12
MILES SOUTH OF BROOKSHIRE TO 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ROSENBERG TO 10
MILES SOUTHEAST OF ROSENBERG...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL...WINDS GREATER THAN 40 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...HUNGERFORD...DAMON...
WHARTON...SEALY...SAN FELIPE...ROSENBERG...PATTISON...ORCHARD...
KENDLETON...FULSHEAR...BROOKSHIRE AND BEASLEY.

Wed Jul 06, 2011 5:16 pm

Just 0.15" in my section of Westbury (SW Houston). Core of storms passed 2-3 miles south and also west.

Wed Jul 06, 2011 7:58 pm

nothing at home in Tx city.... was hoping to bring the rain with me from New Orleans.... guess not.

Wed Jul 06, 2011 10:07 pm

The 00Z WRF and NAM suggest continued scattered showers/storms for the next few days. A deeper surge of tropical moisture looks poised to for the weekend.

Thu Jul 07, 2011 7:20 am

Rain chances may be a good bit higher than NWS is forecasting (20%) due to the upper low in the Gulf drifting west into Texas this weekend and the surge of tropical moisture heading northward out of the Caribbean.

Thu Jul 07, 2011 7:59 am

wxman57 wrote:Rain chances may be a good bit higher than NWS is forecasting (20%) due to the upper low in the Gulf drifting west into Texas this weekend and the surge of tropical moisture heading northward out of the Caribbean.

It looks as if that westward drift has started this morning as well...

Thu Jul 07, 2011 9:37 am

The 12Z WRF and NAM suggest the Upper Low will retrograde W very near the Middle TX Coast this weekend. Rain chances look to increase as well.

Thu Jul 07, 2011 9:55 am

From NWS Lake Charles...

MODELS CONTINUE TO
SLOWLY MOVE UPPER LOW WESTWARD THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SLIGHTLY LOWER
PWATS AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER MID LEVEL THICKNESSES ARE PROGGED DURING
THAT TIME SO WILL TREND TO LOW POPS BEGINNING FRIDAY AND CONTINUING
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

I'm guessing this is the case for our neighbors to the east, because they'll be on the far outer fringe of the ULL= subsidence on the far eastern side?

Thu Jul 07, 2011 1:20 pm

^

The sea breeze is starting it's trek N and showers/storms are starting to fire off. Areas N of DT will likely see less coverage due to subsidence with the Upper Low to our E.

Thu Jul 07, 2011 1:42 pm

Decent downpours on my lawn yesterday..... hoping that's the start of a trend.....

Thu Jul 07, 2011 2:54 pm

The ditches got filled..well 1/4 anyway where I am. Not bad.

Fri Jul 08, 2011 7:15 am

The Upper Low will be the key to any rain chances the next several days. The models have trended drier, but some uncertainty remains and isolated showers/storms looks to be the best path to follow for the time being. Saturday into Sunday may offer better chances of some rainfall before the UL lifts out and the Upper Ridge becomes established once again.

Fri Jul 08, 2011 9:57 am

The 12Z WRF and NAM suggest better rain chances throughout the weekend as the Upper Low moves W into the Middle TX Coast Saturday evening. Those models also suggest increased deep troipcal moisture streaming in as well. Fingers crossed!

Fri Jul 08, 2011 2:48 pm

A little rain...THANK YOU!!

Fri Jul 08, 2011 2:57 pm

txflagwaver wrote:A little rain...THANK YOU!!

Looks like you win the rainshower lottery today. Congrats.

July: Week of 25th - Don Near S TX/ Hot & Dry

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