February Weather Discussion. Wild Winter Storms?

[hlewis]

Long time lurker, 1st time poster...if ya'll want to see quite a bit of snow, check out this link. He's SE of Waco, near Riesel.

http://www.chasertv.com/index.php?optio ... emid=82%22

Wow, that is neat! Thank you for posting the link!! Looks very heavy!

[rnmm]

HouTXmetro wrote:

BigNorthSide wrote:I have a question. Is all the moisture that is currently up to the north slowly advancing to the southeast? Looks like the storms are moving east and are way to the north. I have been watching weather all of my life but am constantly learning. Thanks to all of you that make this a learning experience



That's what it looks like to me. Like the greatest lift is to the North/North East and arching around us. Are we unders some dome of High Pressure? LOL

Is this bad news for our hopes of white stuff for real though?

[BigNorthSide]

I have a question. Is all the moisture that is currently up to the north slowly advancing to the southeast? Looks like the storms are moving east and are way to the north. I have been watching weather all of my life but am constantly learning. Thanks to all of you that make this a learning experience

Keep an eye to our W. Radar trends suggests that moisture is filling in rather nicely SW of San Antonio. The entire system is moving ESE from far W TX...

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

Looks good to me!

[C2G]

There's a ton of moisture to our west and southwest. Like srain has been saying all along..........the low pressure is a long ways off. Precipitation is filling in nicely to our southwest/west and headed straight in our direction.
Moisture won't be a problem.

[nuby3]

There's a ton of moisture to our west and southwest. Like srain has been saying all along..........the low pressure is a long ways off. Precipitation is filling in nicely to our southwest/west and headed straight in our direction.
Moisture won't be a problem.

I agree, what I take from the radar is.. snow is coming.

[rnmm]

That is great news for you guys inland who want the snow .... us here on the coast will be envious...

[redneckweather]

Long time lurker, 1st time poster...if ya'll want to see quite a bit of snow, check out this link. He's SE of Waco, near Riesel.

http://www.chasertv.com/index.php?optio ... emid=82%22

Now THAT is some good snow! Thanks for the link. Still 43 degrees in Conroe but DP has dropped down to 33.

[brazoria_county22]

were gunna get sum of this...might not stick but were getting some! .........................
.............
...........
........
...hopefully....

[wxdata]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0141
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1201 PM CST TUE FEB 23 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF N CNTRL/NE TX INTO NW LA

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW

VALID 231801Z - 232100Z

MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW LIKELY WILL IMPACT AREAS OF EAST TEXAS ALONG
AND SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR THROUGH THE BALANCE OF THE
AFTERNOON HOURS.

LATEST RUC GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT FRONTOGENETIC FORCING WITHIN A
CONFLUENT MID-LEVEL FLOW REGIME REMAINS MAXIMIZED IN THE FAVORABLE
DENDRITIC ICE CRYSTAL GROWTH LAYER...IN A BAND JUST SOUTH OF THE
INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR...SOUTH THROUGH EAST OF THE DALLAS-FORT WORTH
METROPLEX. THIS APPEARS LIKELY TO REMAIN THE CASE THROUGH AT LEAST
THE 21-23Z TIME FRAME. HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
DEVELOP EASTWARD...PERHAPS A BIT NORTHWARD...WITH A GREATER IMPACT
ON INTERSTATE 20 INTO THE SHREVEPORT AREA BY 20-21Z ...AS LOWER
LEVELS FARTHER EAST SATURATE AND COOL WITH THE ONSET OF
PRECIPITATION. AIDED BY AVAILABLE PRECIPITABLE WATER ON THE ORDER
OF .50-.75 INCHES...SUSTAINED SNOW RATES IN EXCESS OF 1 INCH PER
HOUR APPEAR POSSIBLE...WHICH PROBABLY WILL CONTRIBUTE TO SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATIONS ON ROAD SURFACES...DESPITE THE RELATIVELY WARM GROUND
TEMPERATURES.

[rnmm]

You guys think if I go outside and do a snow dance it will help our odds here on the coast

[lpweather]

This is going to be an interesting evening. Hoping for some snow like Dec 2008 down in Deer Park area.

[C2G]

You guys think if I go outside and do a snow dance it will help our odds here on the coast

You're not quite on the coast there, rnmmm. In fact you're just about ten miles south of me. You may see a flake or two later.

[brazoria_county22]

You guys think if I go outside and do a snow dance it will help our odds here on the coast

You're not quite on the coast there, rnmmm. In fact you're just about ten miles south of me. You may see a flake or two later.

us folks on the coast have a good chance of seeing it fall but it will be after sunset more like around midnite or after

[rnmm]

After midnight is not a good time for me since I like to sleep I wonder if I can talk it into coming sooner

[srainhoutx]

E-mail from Jeff...

Heavy snow falling along I-35 from N of San Antonio to Waco moving eastward toward SE TX. Webcams show great big flakes (around the size of a half dollar) leading to quick accumulations in the heavy bursts. Heavy sleet was reported the last hour in College Station and Hearne, TX had about 1.5” on the ground of snow.

Slowly but surely the RA/SN line is marching SE and will enter into our NW counties shortly. Convective looking radar out of C TX supports very heavy snowfall rates of 1-2” per hour with quick accumulations even with surface temperatures above freezing as noted thus far along I-35 with visibilities dropping below .25 of a mile in very heavy snow. Radar SW of HOU shows increasing echoes which will help start cooling the lower air column. May see some IP/RA mix over the metro area this afternoon and then the change to SN/RA mix late afternoon/early evening.

Will not mess with accumulations at this time as the event is unfolding, although overall totals will be hard to determine as much will melt on impact and between the heavy snow bursts. Will let the previous accumulations go forward…a lot of us will see snow, but many will not see much on the ground…if only for a short while.

Still looking like there could be issues early Wednesday morning as the freezing line get deeper into the area and meltwater begins to freeze into a glaze on area bridges/overpasses. Not sure exactly where the 32F line will end up…but current indications place it from just N of Wharton to Katy to Kingwood to Liberty…north of that will likely see any water freeze up.

[redneckweather]

Here is an interesting comparison of local obs. My ranch is on the outskirts of North Zulch in Madison County. Right now it says that they are sitting at 32 degrees with a DP of 30 with light snow. Just 10 minutes to the east in Madisonville it is 39 degrees with a DP of 36. That's a big difference.

[Karen]

Yesterday channel 2 was showing a future cast, it was showing that the snow did not make it any farther south than the Austin area. Watching the line this morning it looks like this may be true. I hope I am wrong.

[sleetstorm]

In case any of you care, it seems like the city of Sealy is currently getting a mix of rain and sleet or snow. It is somewhat arduous for to be able to decipher, but I do believe that they are at last receiving a witry mix. Please feel free to rectify me if I am not quite right about that.

[HouTXmetro]

Yesterday channel 2 was showing a future cast, it was showing that the snow did not make it any farther south than the Austin area. Watching the line this morning it looks like this may be true. I hope I am wrong.

Channel 2 FAIL

http://www.corad.org/texas_radar.htm

The snow Line is Well South of Austin now.

[TexasMetBlake]

Surface temps awfully warm and dewpoints awfully high. My phone is rung off the hook this morning, "hey, where's my snow?! You've been preaching this for a week!"