March Weather Disccusion: Severe Storms Possible Tues/Wed

[jasons2k]

.....and Montgomery gets excluded from the list! Storms to my NW seem to be weakening. What gives? I just want some rain.

[Andrew]

.....and Montgomery gets excluded from the list! Storms to my NW seem to be weakening. What gives? I just want some rain.

I don't even think N or NW Houston will see much. Pretty sharp lane of where the rain is. Tonight if we are lucky it could expand northwards. Hopefully.

[svrwx0503]

The widespread cloud cover and slow return of the warm front today looks to have really minimized our overall severe potential. We will have to watch things a little more closely as the front moves toward the I-10 corridor and south where a better moisture and instability currently reside. It will be interesting to see how convective activity responds to the region falling into the left front quad of an upper level jet streak moving out of northern Mexico and into south central Texas. Thunderstorms across our east and southeast counties look to be developing in a region of better moisture convergence per the latest RUC analysis but they seem to be struggling to really become established. It is possible that most of the activity occurring around southeast Texas is more elevated in nature due to a strengthening inversion with the loss of daytime heating. The threat for severe weather is certainly there...for storms that can manage to become rooted at the surface and tap into some moderate instability, I am just not terribly convinced we will see very much around here tonight. This might by the type of event that doesn't get going until the front is moving into our southern most counties and out into the gulf.

Looking into next week, models have been hinting at some more chances for storms so at least for now the pattern looks to be shifting towards more of an active one.

[Ptarmigan]

Let the rain come.

[svrwx0503]

Interesting how right as the storms move out of Texas and into southwest LA they really explode as they are able to tap into the greater instability as seen in the 00z LCH sounding.

[weatherag]

A lot of CAPE to work with on that Lake Charles sounding.

[weatherguy425]

Storms now developing further west into Harris county; hearing occasional thunder in Kingwood.

[svrwx0503]

Based on current trends, I would say areas along and south/east of US 59 look to have the greatest chances for seeing a strong to severe storm.

[weatherguy425]

Storm in northern Chambers nearing or more than 65 dbz. Should go severe soon.

[svrwx0503]

Storm in northern Chambers nearing or more than 65 dbz. Should go severe soon.

Radar is indicating 1.62'' hail with those storms.

[weatherguy425]

Storm seems to have "pulsed down" now. still wouldn't be surprised if it re-intensified or a new cell rapidly develped to it's southwest (seems to be the theme tonight). Also interesting to watch cells rapidly develop in central Harris county.

[jasons2k]

I don't care if I see any severe weather at this point, I'd just like a decent rain or storm. Looks like the main front has now pushed just south of me. I'm throwing in the towel and calling it a night.

[sleetstorm]

Are any of those thunderstorms producing any strong wind gusts?

[Andrew]

Are any of those thunderstorms producing any strong wind gusts?

Most, especially around Houston have totally dissipated.

[wxman57]

Not a drop in southwest Houston (and across most of the city).

[jasons2k]

I woke-up to thunder last night. Just checked the gauge - a whopping .18" - better than nothing, I suppose.

[tireman4]

[quote="jasons"]I woke-up to thunder last night.

This sounds like a song...hummm....Woke up last night to the sound of thunder.....


Yeah, we got thunder here too, but just a little rain.

[Ptarmigan]

Got some rain last night. No thunder thought and did not hear it.