February Ends Warm and Dry

[Paul]

might just dry up as it heads into Texas....I havent had really time to look at dewpoints out there....

[srainhoutx]

20.8F here this morning. If these clouds do not break, those forecasted high temps may be in trouble. We will see.

[wxman57]

All time Oklahoma record? JB mention last hour's -22ºF as the all time February record.

Current Weather Conditions:
BARTLESVILLE MUNICIPAL AIRPORT , OK, United States
(KBVO) 36-46N 96-01W 210M

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Conditions at Feb 10, 2011 - 06:53 AM ESTFeb 10, 2011 - 05:53 AM CSTFeb 10, 2011 - 04:53 AM MSTFeb 10, 2011 - 03:53 AM PSTFeb 10, 2011 - 02:53 AM ASTFeb 10, 2011 - 01:53 AM HST
2011.02.10 1153 UTC
Wind Calm
Visibility 10 mile(s)
Sky conditions clear
Temperature -27.0 F (-32.8 C)
Dew Point -32.1 F (-35.6 C)
Relative Humidity 75%
Pressure (altimeter) 30.4 in. Hg (1029 hPa)
Pressure tendency 0.01 inches (0.2 hPa) higher than three hours ago
ob KBVO 101153Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR M33/M36 A3040 RMK AO2 SLP310 70009 T13281356 11244 21328 53002

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http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/KBVO.html

Yep, all-time OK state record was tied (not set) in Bartlesville, OK this morning when the thermometer hit -27F.

http://www.kjrh.com/dpp/news/local_news ... ity-record

[wxman57]

Models indicate no further cold fronts reaching southeast Texas for at least the next 10 days. 70s coming next week, possibly very close to 80 degrees here!

[srainhoutx]

Check out the snow cover from the Panhandle and points E. That soon will be a distant memory...

[djmike]

Very light snow flurries happening all over the Beaumont area this morning!

[djmike]

Models indicate no further cold fronts reaching southeast Texas for at least the next 10 days. 70s coming next week, possibly very close to 80 degrees here!

"LIKE" button needs to be inserted here!

[ticka1]

Models indicate no further cold fronts reaching southeast Texas for at least the next 10 days. 70s coming next week, possibly very close to 80 degrees here!

Do you think we will see some more cold fronts after this 10 day thaw-out?

[srainhoutx]

Code: Select all

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
548 AM CST THU FEB 10 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1229 PM     FREEZING RAIN    RICHMOND                29.58N 95.76W
02/09/2011  U0.00 INCH       FORT BEND          TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            GLAZE ON VEHICLES AND TREES.

1233 PM     FREEZING RAIN    TOMBALL                 30.10N 95.62W
02/09/2011  U0.00 INCH       HARRIS             TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            GLAZE ON VEHICLES AT BARKER CYPRESS AND WEST ROAD.

1235 PM     SLEET            ADDICKS                 29.78N 95.64W
02/09/2011  U0.00 INCH       HARRIS             TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            AT I-10 AND HIGHWAY 6

0115 PM     FREEZING RAIN    JERSEY VILLAGE          29.89N 95.57W
02/09/2011  E0.12 INCH       HARRIS             TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            GLAZE ON VEHICLES AT STATE HIGHWAY 6 AND US 290.

0121 PM     FREEZING RAIN    BROOKSHIRE              29.78N 95.95W
02/09/2011  U0.00 INCH       WALLER             TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ICING REPORTED ON MANY BRIDGES ACROSS WALLER COUNTY.

[vbhoutex]

Models indicate no further cold fronts reaching southeast Texas for at least the next 10 days. 70s coming next week, possibly very close to 80 degrees here!

I think I can easily handle that!! 22.1F this am at the house. I haven't kept real records, but if memory serves we have had more and colder freezes than we have had in a long time. I've been in this house since 1987. Personally I would say this Winter has rivaled, but not beat, 1973, 1983, and 1989. Even with the sun out and it warming up, we have been below freezing for almost 24 hours here at the house. Currently at 31F.

[wxman57]

One of my coworkers pointed out how poorly GFS MOS did with the forecast for Bartlesville, OK this morning. Remember, they hit -27F for the low today. The forecast was for a low of 7 degrees - 34 degrees too warm!

Code: Select all

BARTLESVILLE
KBVO   GFS MOS GUIDANCE    2/10/2011  0600 UTC                      
 DT /FEB  10      /FEB  11                /FEB  12             /     
 HR   12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 00 06 
 X/N              29             7          35          18       42    
 TMP -15 -4 19 29 16 10 11 11 10 17 28 35 32 26 23 21 19 25 35 39 34 
 DPT -15 -4  4  5  7  6  7  6  6 12 19 23 24 21 17 16 15 21 26 27 25 
 CLD  FW BK CL FW SC FW FW FW SC BK CL CL CL CL FW CL CL CL CL FW SC 
 WDR  00 23 21 21 20 23 25 23 00 22 23 23 25 27 00 00 00 19 20 20 22 
 WSP  00 02 08 07 05 01 02 01 00 03 06 06 06 01 00 00 00 05 05 09 03 

[srainhoutx]

Code: Select all

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1021 AM CST THU FEB 10 2011

             ...FEBRUARY BEGINS ON A FRIGID NOTE...

          ...FEBRUARY 2011 LOW TEMPERATURE AVERAGE
                  IS THE COLDEST ON RECORD...

FEBRUARY 2011 HAS BEGUN ON A RATHER FRIGID NOTE. AT HOUSTON...
NINE OF THE FIRST TEN MORNINGS FELL BELOW FREEZING. SEVEN OF THE
FIRST TEN MORNINGS WERE BELOW FREEZING AT HOUSTON HOBBY AIRPORT
AND AT COLLEGE STATION. THE AVERAGE DAILY TEMPERATURE FOR THE
FIRST NINE DAYS OF FEBRUARY ARE EITHER THE THIRD OR FOURTH COLDEST
START TO FEBRUARY IN RECORDED HISTORY. THE AVERAGE LOW TEMPERATURE
OVER THE FIRST NINE DAYS OF THE MONTH WERE THE COLDEST ON RECORD
FOR ALL FOUR PRIMARY CLIMATE SITES. BELOW ARE THE ICY DETAILS:

                DATA - FEBRUARY 1 THROUGH FEBRUARY 9

                             HOUSTON

        AVG HIGH             AVG LOW            AVG DAILY

        44.7 1895            27.0 2011          37.6 1895
        45.1 1905            30.6 1985          38.2 1985
        45.8 1985            30.6 1895          39.5 2011
        47.4 1978            33.2 1972          39.9 1905
        49.6 1982            34.4 1978          40.9 1978

8TH     52.0 2011

                           HOUSTON HOBBY

        AVG HIGH             AVG LOW            AVG DAILY

        47.2 1978            30.3 2011          41.5 1985
        47.8 1985            33.8 1951          41.5 1978
        49.7 1982            34.7 1947          41.7 2011
        50.1 1989            35.2 1985          43.2 1989
        51.9 1979            35.8 1978          43.5 1982

6TH     53.0 2011

                          COLLEGE STATION

        AVG HIGH             AVG LOW            AVG DAILY

        43.1 1905            26.6 2011          37.1 1985
        44.4 1978            26.7 1951          37.3 1989
        45.0 1985            28.6 1989          39.3 1978
        46.0 1989            29.2 1985          39.6 2011
        46.8 1979            29.6 1905          40.6 1979

7TH     52.6 2011
                             GALVESTON

        AVG HIGH             AVG LOW            AVG DAILY

        44.2 1985            33.1 2011          39.8 1985
        45.0 1895            35.4 1985          40.2 1895
        45.9 1905            35.4 1895          41.4 1905
        46.7 1978            36.9 1905          41.5 2011
        49.7 1989            38.8 1978          42.7 1978

6TH     49.9 2011

BELOW IS ANOTHER TABLE WITH DATA FOR THE MOST DAYS BELOW 32
DEGREES FOR THE MONTH OF FEBRUARY:

            HOUSTON     HOU HOBBY     GALVESTON

          12 - 1895     7 - 2011      9 - 1895
           9 - 2011     6 - 1989      6 - 2011
           9 - 1978     6 - 1951      5 - 1899
           8 - 1989     5 - 1960      4 - 1905
           7 - 1905     4 - 1996      4 - 1989
           7 - 1899

RELIEF FROM THE COLD IS ON THE WAY. A FEW MORE COLD MORNINGS ARE
EXPECTED AND THEN A WARM UP BEGINS OVER THE WEEKEND. IT LOOKS LIKE
THE COLD AIR WILL FINALLY RETREAT TO THE NORTH AND ALLOW WARMER
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE END OF THE MONTH.

$$

[snowman65]

Is it just me or does it feel much colder than last weeks front????.. How come this one didn't get near the attention? Is it just because of the precip???

[srainhoutx]

Nowata, OK recorded -31F this morning...

http://www.mesonet.org/index.php/weathe ... emperature

[wxman57]

Models indicate no further cold fronts reaching southeast Texas for at least the next 10 days. 70s coming next week, possibly very close to 80 degrees here!

Do you think we will see some more cold fronts after this 10 day thaw-out?

12Z GFS indicates no frontal passages for us through 16 days. I'd tend to believe we won't see any for 10-12 days, anyway.

[wxman57]

Is it just me or does it feel much colder than last weeks front????.. How come this one didn't get near the attention? Is it just because of the precip???

Last week was colder, but the main reason is that the ice storm partially shut down the city last Friday, not to mention the rolling brown-outs.

[srainhoutx]

Models indicate no further cold fronts reaching southeast Texas for at least the next 10 days. 70s coming next week, possibly very close to 80 degrees here!

Do you think we will see some more cold fronts after this 10 day thaw-out?

12Z GFS indicates no frontal passages for us through 16 days. I'd tend to believe we won't see any for 10-12 days, anyway.

The GFS and Euro in the longer range suggest a potential big convective Spring Storm taking shape around day 10 across the Southern/Central Plains. We know the routine, but it is interesting to see some agreement, even at this range. What follows that storm may be our next shot of some 'cooler air' after the warm up. It's getting near Trail Ride time in Houston. Surprises seem to happen around that event.

[jasons2k]

I hope we have a active, or at least a "normal" spring storm season this time instead of another season of cap, cap, and more cap

[sleetstorm]

After we get a few strong arctic cold fronts that deliver several days and nights worth of freezing or subfreezing weather we get a warm up which, needles to say, can easily perplex plants into thinking that the season of Spring has arrived only to have yet another good round or two of more freezing or subfreezing temperatures for x-number of days and nights and that can be devastating on them by setting them back anywhere from several days to a few weeks if not longer.

[vbhoutex]

I hope we have a active, or at least a "normal" spring storm season this time instead of another season of cap, cap, and more cap

I'll second that one!! Severe season wasn't last year. It wasn't even boring, it just wasn't.