February 1-5, 2011 Arctic Blast/Winter Storm Discussion

[biggerbyte]

Mid. twenties here now. Temp. is falling rapidly.

[srainhoutx]

WRF through hour 66...

02022011 00Z WRF f54.gif

02022011 00Z WRF f60.gif

02022011 00Z WRF f66.gif

02022011 00Z WRF f72.gif

[ticka1]

Where can we start looking for the moisture feed that forecasted to give us the ice and snow here in SE Texas. Would love to be able to follow its development and approach to us.

Its 28 here at the house.

[srainhoutx]

00Z NAM suggests some impressive 700 RH through hour 66...

02022011 00Z nam_700_054l.gif

02022011 00Z nam_700_060l.gif

02022011 00Z nam_700_066l.gif

[Andrew]

00Z NAM suggests some impressive 700 RH @ hour 54...

Yea but lacks moisture for some reason. Idk I am not worried 700 RH looks good.

[Ptarmigan]

Code: Select all

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW AND SLEET LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN
SNOW LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO
2 INCHES. ICE ACCUMULATION OF LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. 

http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/foreca ... txz213.txt

[Ptarmigan]

yes it does Kat.....I remember our days during Rita, IKE, Humberto, the Impact Weather Seminar....fun times....in 09 I got about 2 inches of snow and League City maybe got a trace. This system is bigger and badder than 04 so i think you will get your share this year...

for the person who is asking about north or south of I10...No one can answer that question until we closer to the event. Depends on where the heavier snow bands set up...plain and simple. I think everyone will see accumalations...JMO of course...

Here is the 500 mb level geopotential height map from the 2004 snow event.

[srainhoutx]

My bad, Jeff. I deleted your post in the January thread, while trying to move it to the Feb Discussion. Please try again.

[sambucol]

27 over here. got some ice forming on top of a bowl of water on the deck.

[TexasMetBlake]

You know, all we need is 4.1" of snow to fall at IAH for it to be the second highest total ever recorded in Houston...second only to the Valentines Day Super Storm of 1895.

[srainhoutx]

You know, all we need is 4.1" of snow to fall at IAH for it to be the second highest total ever recorded in Houston...second only to the Valentines Day Super Storm of 1895.

Nope. Check out late 40's.

[jgreak]

I'm a math and science teacher in Kingwood - hoping me and my students get a nice snow fun day friday. *Fingers crossed*

[TexasMetBlake]

9 pm temps:

IAH: 28 (down 1 degree)
Conroe: 25 (down 1 degree)
Huntsville: 22 (down 3 degrees)
College Station: 24 (down 1 degree)
Hooks: 26 (down 1 degree)

[sambucol]

Are bridges over water clear tonight of ice?

[randybpt]

Weatherbug near me sour lake....24

[srainhoutx]

Are bridges over water clear tonight of ice?

We have dried out nicely with all this wind. No problems tonight. Oh, and AZ. Ya never know...

[sambucol]

Thanks, Steve!

[TexasMetBlake]

Steve, I'm not sure what you are seeing bud. The second biggest snowfall on record is 4.4" in Feb. 1960. There is potential to break that with this storm at IAH.

http://www.wxresearch.com/snowhou.htm

[txsnowmaker]

Steve, I'm not sure what you are seeing bud. The second biggest snowfall on record is 4.4" in Feb. 1960. There is potential to break that with this storm at IAH.

http://www.wxresearch.com/snowhou.htm

Old NWS records, Candy Cane. I got called out for making the same claim yesterday!

[Paul]

0z NAM 60hrs

700mb

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_060l.gif

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_060l.gif

0z GFS is next up...10:30...