January Weather Discussion: Slight Chance Severe Storms

[srainhoutx]

The 12Z Euro suggests the front will be diving S on Thursday. Look at all that moisture with the Upper Air disturbance much further W...

01162011 12Z Euro f96.gif

01162011 12Z Euro f120.gif

01162011 12Z Euro f144.gif

[srainhoutx]

Winter RECON schedule has updated...

NOUS42 KNHC 161830
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0130 PM EST SUN 16 JANUARY 2011
SUBJECT: WINTER STORM PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 17/1100Z TO 18/1100Z JANUARY 2011
WSPOD NUMBER.....10-047

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 71
A. A65/ DROP 10 (STIFF)/ 18/0000Z
B. AFXXX 10WSA TRACK65
C. 17/1800Z
D. 10 DROPS AS PUBLISHED ON TRACK
E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 18/0200Z

FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 72
A. A65/ DROP 10 (STIFF)/ 18/1200Z
B. AFXXX 11WSA TRACK65
C. 18/0615Z
D. 10 DROPS ON TRACK AS PUBLISHED
E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 18/1400Z

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
3. REMARK: WC-130 WINTER STORM MISSION TASKED
ON WSPOD 10-046 WILL FLY AS SCHEDULED.

[Andrew]

Winter RECON schedule has updated...

NOUS42 KNHC 161830
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0130 PM EST SUN 16 JANUARY 2011
SUBJECT: WINTER STORM PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 17/1100Z TO 18/1100Z JANUARY 2011
WSPOD NUMBER.....10-047

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 71
A. A65/ DROP 10 (STIFF)/ 18/0000Z
B. AFXXX 10WSA TRACK65
C. 17/1800Z
D. 10 DROPS AS PUBLISHED ON TRACK
E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 18/0200Z

FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 72
A. A65/ DROP 10 (STIFF)/ 18/1200Z
B. AFXXX 11WSA TRACK65
C. 18/0615Z
D. 10 DROPS ON TRACK AS PUBLISHED
E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 18/1400Z

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
3. REMARK: WC-130 WINTER STORM MISSION TASKED
ON WSPOD 10-046 WILL FLY AS SCHEDULED.

It seems like many of the models are still having problems dealing with the extreme cold in Canada... Many of the models have been indicating that the pressure should be dropping along with temps but they are holding strong up north.

[skidog38]

why does intellicast have 24 % chance of snow tonight? and houston 22%?10 Day Forecast - °F | °C View the Detailed Extended


Forecast »sun mon tue wed thu fri sat sun mon tue
jan16
Rain
60°48° jan17
AM Clouds
60°49° jan18
AM Clouds
69°45° jan19
P Cloudy
63°53° jan20
Showers
64°35° jan21
P Cloudy
55°36° jan22
P Cloudy
57°43° jan23
P Cloudy
60°45° jan24
P Cloudy
62°48° jan25
Showers
64°45°

Details for Sunday, January 16
Rain. High near 60F. Winds SSE at 10 to 20 mph. Rainfall possibly over one inch.
Evening: Occasional rain tapering to a few showers late. Low 48F. Winds WSW at 5 to 10 mph. Rainfall around a half an inch.UV Index: 4 (Moderate)
Relative Humidity: 88%
Precipitation: 100%
Snow: 22%
Cloud Coverage: 89%

Sunrise: 7:17 AM
Sunset: 5:45 PM Moonrise: 2:42 PM
Moonset: 4:16 AM Moonphase:
Waxing Gibbous

[srainhoutx]

It is interesting to see that Midland/Odessa, San Angelo, Norman and Shreveport are all mentioning the possibility of a wintry mix on Thursday. They all suggest that their temps may be too warm as well. And then the discussion begins to turn toward next weekend and another reinforcing shot of cold air and another Upper Air disturbance. Just another boring weather week ahead...

[TexasMetBlake]

My teeth are chattering already:

[Mr. Weather]

All the forecast I see show Houston getting warmer gets up to almost 70 next week

[redneckweather]

Too bad all that cold air in the northwestern territories is going east. Maybe next year.

Yep, just another boring week of weather to look forward to. Come on spring time!!

[TexasMetBlake]

Well, the only reason I like the summer time is because of hurricanes. It's same song, slightly different dance. Person 1: Oh look! Models bring in a Cat 6. Person 2: That's impossible! Cat 6 doesn't exist. Person 1: Oh, well but imagine the damage! Person 2: Oh I know...that would be awesome. Mr. T: Uhhhhh, this is stupid. It's all going to Mexico again. All three people: Sigh. I'm ready for winter.

[biggerbyte]

UguYzR2pHuNnY...

[ronyan]

Too bad all that cold air in the northwestern territories is going east. Maybe next year.

Yep, just another boring week of weather to look forward to. Come on spring time!!

Hmm, I don't find spring time here all that interesting weather-wise.

[weatherguy425]

Too bad all that cold air in the northwestern territories is going east. Maybe next year.

Yep, just another boring week of weather to look forward to. Come on spring time!!

You know he was being sarcastic, right?

[biggerbyte]

Yes, I'm sure the newbies are up to snuff by now. That is not an official forecast for our area. Not yet, anyway.

[srainhoutx]

Too bad all that cold air in the northwestern territories is going east. Maybe next year.

Yep, just another boring week of weather to look forward to. Come on spring time!!

You know he was being sarcastic, right?

An instigator and now sarcastic? I can't win for losing around here...

[biggerbyte]

This is a problem we have in this area. Weather here is very unpredictable. We don't get frequent bouts of extreme weather. Folks get locked in to a certain pattern, then they begin to assume. Hurricane season is especially dangerous for folks that do that. We should take each event and seperate it from all others.

[biggerbyte]

Too bad all that cold air in the northwestern territories is going east. Maybe next year.

Yep, just another boring week of weather to look forward to. Come on spring time!!

You know he was being sarcastic, right?

An instigator and now sarcastic? I can't win for losing around here...

lol

I don't think it was you he was referring to.

[weatherguy425]

by srainhoutx » Sun Jan 16, 2011 4:43 pm

weatherguy425 wrote:
Too bad all that cold air in the northwestern territories is going east. Maybe next year.

Yep, just another boring week of weather to look forward to. Come on spring time!!

You know he was being sarcastic, right?

An instigator and now sarcastic? I can't win for losing around here...

Hahaha, maybe you should have been literal and said " another very exciting week of weather!"

[Andrew]

Too bad all that cold air in the northwestern territories is going east. Maybe next year.

Yep, just another boring week of weather to look forward to. Come on spring time!!

You know he was being sarcastic, right?

An instigator and now sarcastic? I can't win for losing around here...

Seriously. You post and give all this information for bad press. You can't win.

I think I am going to put this: " " on the end of all my posts just to mess with people.

[weatherguy425]

hahaha what the heck did this turn into andrew? All i meant was that srain didn't literally mean "itd be a borign weather week" though everyone took it that way.

[Andrew]

hahaha what the heck did this turn into andrew? All i meant was that srain didn't literally mean "itd be a borign weather week" though everyone took it that way.

No no we are all just messing around here. Everyone (at least Srain and I) were agreeing with you. He was just adding some humor into his post. The thing to remember though is sarcasm is sometimes not easily recognized online. Anywaysssss back to weather...