Colorado weather december 27- january1

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Snowman
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I am going on a ski trip to snowmass on the 27th. I know it is a long way off but i was wondering if the general pattern would support some sort of winter storm in Colorado during that time? I would really love to see a good winter storm while being there. thankyou for any input.
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srainhoutx
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Found this cam of Buttermilk. Hopefully the West Coast trough will develop and add to the snowpack. It's been a bit tough in across the Southern Rockies this season for natural snow. Oh, and remember the board requirement that have to bring snow back with you! ;)

Image

My favorite area is doing rather well, though...

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
408 PM PST THU DEC 16 2010

...PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS THIS WEEKEND...

.LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC WILL PUSH ABUNDANT
MOISTURE INTO THE SIERRA THIS WEEKEND. SNOW LEVELS WILL BE
VARIABLE THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND WITH LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE
SIERRA SEEING RAIN IN THE MIDDLE OF THE EVENT...WITH SNOW ON
EITHER SIDE. THE DETAILS FOR SNOW LEVELS IN EACH AREA CAN BE
FOUND IN THE STATEMENTS BELOW.

LIGHT SNOW WILL BEGIN THE SIERRA ON FRIDAY MORNING...WITH THE
HEAVIEST SNOW OCCURRING FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
HOURLY SNOWFALL RATES MAY EXCEED 2 TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR DURING THE
STRONGEST PORTION OF THE STORM. 3 TO 8 FEET OF SNOW IS LIKELY IN
THE SIERRA ABOVE 7000 FEET...WHICH WILL SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE
AVALANCHE DANGER. THOSE LIVING IN REMOTE...HIGHER ELEVATION AREAS
IN THE SIERRA COULD BE SNOWED IN FOR MULTIPLE DAYS AND SHOULD
PREPARE ACCORDINGLY.

STRONG WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THIS STORM SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH
GUSTS OF 50 TO 70 MPH IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS AND WINDS OF 100
MPH OR MORE OVER THE SIERRA RIDGES. THIS WILL CAUSE CONSIDERABLE
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS OVER MOUNTAIN
PASSES AND WIND PRONE AREAS.

THE SNOW WILL BE VERY HEAVY AND WET WHICH COMBINED WITH THE
STRONG...DAMAGING WINDS COULD DOWN POWER LINES AND TREES. THIS MAY
CAUSE WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES ACROSS THE SIERRA.

THE SNOW WILL TURN TO RAIN AT LAKE LEVEL SATURDAY AND SATURDAY
NIGHT WITH LOCALIZED POOLING OF WATER LIKELY. DEBRIS AND EXCESS
SNOW SHOULD BE CLEARED FROM GUTTERS AND DRAINAGES DURING THIS
PERIOD TO REDUCE THE RISK OF FLOODING.

CONDITIONS IN THE SIERRA COULD BECOME DANGEROUS THIS WEEKEND DUE
TO RAPID SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AND STRONG WINDS. MOTORISTS SHOULD
CONSIDER ALTERING PLANS TO AVOID THE DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.
TRAVEL RESTRICTIONS ARE LIKELY...WITH ROAD CLOSURES AND LENGTHY
DELAYS POSSIBLE. BACKCOUNTY ACTIVITIES IN THE SIERRA ARE STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED THIS WEEKEND.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Snowman
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Thankyou so much srain your input is much appreciated! I certainly will try my best to bring some snow back with me :lol:
I cant wait to go there and see some snow and hopefully a good winter storm. Living here in Houston my whole life i haven't seen much as far as winter storms go.
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wxman57
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Some good info on Snowmass here:
http://www.aspensnowmass.com/onmountain ... incams.cfm

You can sign up for daily snow reports here:
https://store.aspensnowmass.com/estore/Login.aspx

The Rockies have actually been getting quite a bit of snow so far this fall. Looks like you'll have plenty of snow there for your trip.
Snowman
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thankyou for your expert input wxman! i have been looking at the accuweather 15 day forecast to get an idea of what the weather will be like when i am there. is that a wise thing to do?
Snowman
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sorry i could not resist bumping this topic up as the time gets closer for my trip. is the weather pattern going to give me a storm while im there?
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srainhoutx
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Looks like an active period so far snowman for seeing some snow. Keep reminding us during this busy Holiday period and perhaps wxman57 can give a full report before you depart. ;)
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Snowman
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Looks like i am going to be seeing a good winter storm! Although I read that there could be the possibility of the formation of a TROWAL on steamboat springs discussion. I was wondering if srain or wxman could give me there opinions on if a TROWAL will form?


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
330 AM MST SAT DEC 25 2010

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
THE GFS SHOWING SPOTTY QPF ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT AS WEAK PACIFIC
ENERGY SPLITS WHILE MOVING ACROSS UTAH AND COLORADO. WESTERLY FLOW
BEGINS TO CONSOLIDATE ON TUESDAY IN ADVANCE OF A SIGNIFICANT DEEP
COLD TROUGH THAT WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER PATTERN DURING THE LATTER
PART OF NEXT WEEK. MODELS STILL RESOLVING THE DETAILS BUT CONFIDENCE
IS HIGH THAT A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA...BEGINNING ON WEDNESDAY AND LASTING INTO FRIDAY.
ISENTROPIC ANALYSIS AT VARIOUS LEVELS SHOW A WELL STRUCTURED AND
DEFINED BAROCLINIC SYSTEM WITH WARM ADVECTIVE MOISTURE STREAMING
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. MODELS DEPICT A DEEPENING SURFACE CYCLONE
AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES...SUGGESTING THAT THIS SYSTEM
IS QUITE DYNAMIC AND PCPN IS LIKELY TO BE WIDESPREAD. IN THE LOWER
VALLEYS...PCPN MAY START OUT AS RAIN BUT SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER TO
THE VALLEY FLOORS AS THE POLAR FRONT MARCHES ACROSS THE REGION ON
THURSDAY. THE GFS AND EC MODELS SHOW A STRONG SECONDARY SHORT WAVE
THAT CARVES OUT A CLOSED LOW OVER THE FOUR CORNERS...PULLING COLD
CONTINENTAL AIR SOUTHWARD AND EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO PLUNGE TO CLOSE
OUT 2010.
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wxman57
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Yes, a pretty good storm by mid week. Lots and lots of snow in Colorado this week. Have fun!
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singlemom
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wxman57 wrote:Yes, a pretty good storm by mid week. Lots and lots of snow in Colorado this week. Have fun!
Thanks for posting that info guys! Kiddo and I are heading out to Steamboat on Jan. 25 - 30. Here's hoping we have a lot of champagne snow!!
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singlemom
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Snowman wrote:Looks like i am going to be seeing a good winter storm! Although I read that there could be the possibility of the formation of a TROWAL on steamboat springs discussion. I was wondering if srain or wxman could give me there opinions on if a TROWAL will form?
.
PS: What is a TROWAL and where is the Steamboat discussion???? :D
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wxman57
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singlemom wrote:
Snowman wrote:Looks like i am going to be seeing a good winter storm! Although I read that there could be the possibility of the formation of a TROWAL on steamboat springs discussion. I was wondering if srain or wxman could give me there opinions on if a TROWAL will form?
.
PS: What is a TROWAL and where is the Steamboat discussion???? :D
I'm not sure about the TRWOAL terminology either, but I see a storm that may dump 1-2 feet of snow through the Rockies in Colorado from Wednesday afternoon through Friday morning. Have fun!
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singlemom
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Wx said:

I'm not sure about the TRWOAL terminology either, but I see a storm that may dump 1-2 feet of snow through the Rockies in Colorado from Wednesday afternoon through Friday morning. Have fun!

Thanks wx! If you see any systems closer to the end of January, would you *please* let me know? We have to drive from Denver to Steamboat because my *friends* who made the reservations (lol) didn't think there was an airport in Steamboat....grrrr. Still, can't wait!
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srainhoutx
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wxman57 wrote:
singlemom wrote:
Snowman wrote:Looks like i am going to be seeing a good winter storm! Although I read that there could be the possibility of the formation of a TROWAL on steamboat springs discussion. I was wondering if srain or wxman could give me there opinions on if a TROWAL will form?
.
PS: What is a TROWAL and where is the Steamboat discussion???? :D
I'm not sure about the TRWOAL terminology either, but I see a storm that may dump 1-2 feet of snow through the Rockies in Colorado from Wednesday afternoon through Friday morning. Have fun!
Nice SW flow will do it almost every time. ;) Have a great time and bring back some snow...

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/trainin ... ification/
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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singlemom
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srainhoutx wrote: I'm not sure about the TRWOAL terminology either, but I see a storm that may dump 1-2 feet of snow through the Rockies in Colorado from Wednesday afternoon through Friday morning. Have fun!
Nice SW flow will do it almost every time. ;) Have a great time and bring back some snow...

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/trainin ... ification/[/quote]

For you, Srain (okay, and for wx as well), I'll bring back some snow in my suitcase. *Woot! Steamboat passed the 170" mark!!"
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singlemom
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Hey everyone

We're a week away from leaving for Steamboat. We're driving (at night) from Denver to Steamboat.

Can anyone look in their Magic 8 Ball and see if any significant storms are passing through next week (that would, say, delay flights)? We leave on Tuesday.

Thanks, guys!

~Mom
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srainhoutx
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A Tuesday travel day is looking good at this range, singlemom. Take some pics to share with us and have fun! Perhaps some fresh snow while you are there as well. ;)
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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singlemom
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srainhoutx wrote:A Tuesday travel day is looking good at this range, singlemom. Take some pics to share with us and have fun! Perhaps some fresh snow while you are there as well. ;)
Thanks a bunch, 'srain. Will take pics!!! Kiddo has been out of the hospital for four months now and (thank you God) we're set to go!

~Mom
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