June 2026

[Ptarmigan]

The World Cup is coming up. Houston has their first game on Sunday.

[tireman4]

Avery Tomasco

[tireman4]

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... glossary=1

[Stratton20]

Watching the interaction next week between a slow moving front and the moisture associated from Christina in the pacific getting pulled up into texas, thats the kind of recipe for a significant flooding event, and its something the global models aren’t going to see well at all

[tireman4]

Zach Fradella

[Stratton20]

18z models for Christina, interesting that they keep the remnants over the gulf longer and have significantly shifted further north up the coast line from northern mexico to south texas, that would definitely increase the potential for heavy rainfall here

[Kludge]

Hey whatya reckon this guy is sampling and/or looking for this afternoon?


Edit: Oh heck turns out that's Kermit!! Came right over my house at 2Kft. Probably just a training mission then. Wish I could've gotten a souvenir dropsonde

[DoctorMu]

Avery Tomasco

He's about 5 days late with this forecast - we've seen this for awhile. Houston/Austin Mets often wait until it's nowcasting.

[DoctorMu]

Zach Fradella

East side lemonade? Drift on up here!

[Pas_Bon]

Watching the interaction next week between a slow moving front and the moisture associated from Christina in the pacific getting pulled up into texas, thats the kind of recipe for a significant flooding event, and its something the global models aren’t going to see well at all

Precisely what I’m worried about. This is eerily similar to the setup that caused the flash flooding in central TX last Summer

[tireman4]

Jeff Lindner on Facebook

6-10-26 730am

Low end (10%) of some tropical development in the Bay of Campeche late this week or weekend as eastern Pacific TS Cristina moves into eastern MX and Central America.

Some of this energy may emerge over the southern Gulf although model support for any development is fairly low.

Will have to keep an eye on a pool of tropical moisture and incoming weak front this weekend into early next week for enhanced rain chances and amounts.

As always this time of year it is good habit to check forecasts every few days for changes.

[DoctorMu]

Watching the interaction next week between a slow moving front and the moisture associated from Christina in the pacific getting pulled up into texas, thats the kind of recipe for a significant flooding event, and its something the global models aren’t going to see well at all

Precisely what I’m worried about. This is eerily similar to the setup that caused the flash flooding in central TX last Summer

Yep - that was over a July 4 weekend...with a bare bones NOAA and local Met staff.

Then, it stopped raining altogether...

[DoctorMu]

Jeff Lindner on Facebook

6-10-26 730am

Low end (10%) of some tropical development in the Bay of Campeche late this week or weekend as eastern Pacific TS Cristina moves into eastern MX and Central America.

Some of this energy may emerge over the southern Gulf although model support for any development is fairly low.

Will have to keep an eye on a pool of tropical moisture and incoming weak front this weekend into early next week for enhanced rain chances and amounts.

As always this time of year it is good habit to check forecasts every few days for changes.

Keeping an eye out. We'll still have tropical moisture, a FROPA, and unsettled weather this weekend and through all next week.

[DoctorMu]

Hopefully the seabreeze sustains today. Yesterday we got a couple of spotty showers. Not much accumulation, but survive and advance. After the rain - yesterday evening wasn't too bad. Like back on the East Coast again.

lol I'm trying to hold on to the weekend without using the sprinkler system.

[tireman4]

Travis Herzog on Facebook

NEW: The National Hurricane Center has issued it's first potential tropical development zone over the Gulf in 2026.

Tropical Storm Cristina is currently spinning over the Pacific near Central America, and its remnant moisture will get into the Gulf around Friday. The Bay of Campeche is notorious for rapidly spinning up circulations, but even if this were to develop into Arthur, the circulation *should* slide quickly northwestward into Mexico.

That said, the tropical moisture associated with what is currently Cristina is expected to eventually move over our part of Texas, increasing the chances of heavy tropical downpours over Houston Sunday through Tuesday.

We'll keep a watchful eye on it all for you and keep you posted.

[DoctorMu]

Travis Herzog on Facebook

NEW: The National Hurricane Center has issued it's first potential tropical development zone over the Gulf in 2026.

Tropical Storm Cristina is currently spinning over the Pacific near Central America, and its remnant moisture will get into the Gulf around Friday. The Bay of Campeche is notorious for rapidly spinning up circulations, but even if this were to develop into Arthur, the circulation *should* slide quickly northwestward into Mexico.

That said, the tropical moisture associated with what is currently Cristina is expected to eventually move over our part of Texas, increasing the chances of heavy tropical downpours over Houston Sunday through Tuesday.

We'll keep a watchful eye on it all for you and keep you posted.

Also, keep in mind a FROPA approaching the area on Monday/Tuesday that will interact with Cristina's tropical moisture.

GFS and Euro have the front sliding into the GoM by late next week...so something to potentially watch long-term.