March 2026

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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DoctorMu
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Probably nothing too severe east of I-35 because of timing. Wind 30-40 mph and rain.

But then the Mesos had most of the rain with the last FROPA north of Hwy 1*5.

Considering W*C's recent track record, there may be hope for SETX?
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DoctorMu
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Current models are consistent with W*C. It's iffy for us in CLL, but I think we'll see rain from scattered showers that will lift in the morning. Doesn't look like a lot south and west of NW Harris.
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tireman4
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Tomorrow

Isolated strong to severe storms are possible tomorrow morning/afternoon ahead of and along a passing cold front. All severe weather hazards & localized downpours will be possible. Storms will be possible across all of SE Texas, but the greatest risk will be north of I-10.
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tireman4
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3-10-26 835am

Chances for severe thunderstorms today across portions of Texas and Wednesday locally as a strong cold front moves across the state.

All severe modes possible today and Wednesday.

Highest severe threat Wednesday will be north of the Houston metro area.

Timing locally Wednesday will be from midday into the evening hours.
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tireman4
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48 hours or so of active thunderstorms with each day featuring dual tornado risk areas. Be safe all.
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Cromagnum
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Headed to San Antonio today and tomorrow wo might miss the action. Looking gnarly just to the northwest though.
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DoctorMu
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UL disturbance moving through, mostly just north of us. Then the LLJ gets cranked up preceding the FROPA. The arrival has been delayed until Wednesday early afternoon. Things could get interesting north of Hwy 1*5.
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don
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I’ve been upgraded to an Enhanced risk today.
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tireman4
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DOUBLE-BARRELED SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK likely tomorrow PM, March 10

A threat of strong tornadoes will develop tomorrow late afternoon amd evening along a warm front from far northeast Missouri across northern Illinois and northern Indiana. Upper 60s dew points will pool along this warm front, which is incredible moisture that far north for this time of year. A low-level jet will intensify just overtop the warm front by evening, with a cluster of supercells forecast to develop by 4-6 pm between the northeast corner of MO and the Peoria, IL area. Nebulous upper-level forcing may delay supercell development up there.

A southern mode of severe weather, including tornadoes, will develop ahead of a dry line in West Texas into the TX Hill Country. These supercells could fire a little earlier around 4/5 pm in West Texas. These could be more hail producers, but even a strong #tornado cannot be ruled out
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Stratton20
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If the 18z HRR is to be right, their could be 3-4 rounds of strong storms tommorow, looks like an all day event
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don
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Most of Texoma is in an Enhanced risk now.

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