March 2026

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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DoctorMu
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Super steep QPF gradient in the Ensembles and most of the models around Hwy 1*5 continues.


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DoctorMu
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Gird yer loins - WPC forecast:

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Cpv17
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The latest WPC 7 day QPF forecast now looks significantly better for us. It’s now showing 1-3” over SETX.
Stratton20
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Ill believe it when i see it lol, lucy is getting the football out
Cpv17
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The WPC continues to increase totals across the area. Now showing 1.5 to 4” for the next 7 days.

Also, the SPC has placed all of the area in a slight risk for severe weather on Saturday.
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don
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Sorry Stratton, but I don’t think y’all are going to escape getting wet this weekend in Southeast Texas lol.

I’m closely watching next Tuesday up here. There could be a severe weather outbreak that day. As the cutoff low ejects. It looks like the expected El Niño pattern is starting as we transition to neutral and then full El Niño in the Summer.

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Stratton20
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Hopefully we can get a good dry spring break after this weekend, ill take whatever rains we can get, but i really hope its not something that lasts all of spring break
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu Mar 05, 2026 8:44 am Hopefully we can get a good dry spring break after this weekend, ill take whatever rains we can get, but i really hope its not something that lasts all of spring break
Nah, there will be another good chance of rain and severe thunderstorms with the front next week. Then a few days of nice weather towards the end of next week.
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tireman4
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Stratton20
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Looks like guidance is showing a really strong el nino event later in the summer and going into winter , you dont want to see a strong el nino, that isnt good
Cromagnum
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Junebugs are already swarming. Testament to how crappy our non-winter was.
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DoctorMu
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Rotating cells, hook echos, and tornadoes in OK.

Severe season is starting. Severe storms are expected to move into NW Texas and NTX. I-44 looks like the dividing line for now.

Probably only light rain for us through the weekend...especially S of Hwy 105.
Stratton20
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Cromagnum man i hate june bugs, nothing worse when one lands on you, im bringing out the flamethrower if i see those guys crawling on the ground lol
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