January 2026

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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DoctorMu
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Stratton20 wrote: Fri Jan 23, 2026 11:59 am 12z Euro is on board next weekend for a snow/sleet storm across se texas, crazy times ahead folks
GFS can't miss out on a fantasy projection...you're telling me there's a chance...Cold in place.

That's gold, Jerry. Gold!
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DoctorMu
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Cpv17 wrote: Fri Jan 23, 2026 12:51 pm Winter storm warnings are out now for SETX. There we go folks, game on.
11th hour for HGX. What else is new! lol
bikerack
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I'm sure everyone already knows this, but aside from New Caney ISD, every Houston area school district that I have checked is closed on Monday.

Houston ISD says they will announce plans for Tuesday on Sunday afternoon.
Cpv17
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Nuby33 wrote: Fri Jan 23, 2026 12:41 pm My local point forecast on the NWS website is varying wildly.. every hour or two I look at it, the temps and precip amounts change by 4 or 5 degrees and .2 or more ice
My low on Tuesday just went from 18 to 12°F.
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don
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Winter storm and Ice storm warnings all over SE Texas.

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djmike
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Poor lonesome Beaumont. 😆
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DoctorMu
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don wrote: Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:13 pm Winter storm and Ice storm warnings all over SE Texas.

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Finally. Whether Winter Storm or Tropical System HGX waits until close to Nowcasting.

Super complicated system. Watch that backside!
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DoctorMu
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Cpv17 wrote: Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:13 pm
Nuby33 wrote: Fri Jan 23, 2026 12:41 pm My local point forecast on the NWS website is varying wildly.. every hour or two I look at it, the temps and precip amounts change by 4 or 5 degrees and .2 or more ice
My low on Tuesday just went from 18 to 12°F.
10° Sunday night and 9°F Monday night progged here. I'm rolling lucky 7s IMFY.
biggerbyte
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Hey neighbors. We'll you know that old saying around here... Wait a day. Flip flop.. Etc. Winter weather is so difficult to pin down around here. I still say nowcasting is on the table. Yes, we have a warning in the area now, but we have been here before. One thing forecasters seem to always miss is living in the south and how very cold air behaves. I would suggest preparing for the worst no matter what. Those fur babies. Please make sure they can stay warm. It's going to be uber cold with or without ice.
Stratton20
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18z HRRR is hinting at a couple of bands of heavy snow/ sleet mixing in, alot more mixing across the houston metro
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Stratton20 wrote: Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:50 pm 18z HRRR is hinting at a couple of bands of heavy snow/ sleet mixing in, alot more mixing across the houston metro
Backside means biz

Drops a 2-3 inch sleet/snow band over Brazoria, Ft Bend and Southern Harris. A 1.5 inch band out by me.
Last edited by MontgomeryCoWx on Fri Jan 23, 2026 2:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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txsnowmaker
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Metro Houston still looking good. NWS has a total of 0.05 inches of freezing rain forecasted, and not getting below 32 until late in the day on Sunday. Seems like it’s going to be a “be careful on freeways and overpasses” kind of system for those of us in the city!
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MontgomeryCoWx
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txsnowmaker wrote: Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:51 pm Metro Houston still looking good. NWS has a total of 0.05 inches of freezing rain forecasted, and not getting below 32 until late in the day on Sunday. Seems like it’s going to be a “be careful on freeways and overpasses” kind of system for those of us in the city!
I bet that changes as the mesos continue to get worse for Houston in terms of freezing rain and sleet.

They wouldn’t issue a WSW if they only thought .05 would fall. I bet that text forecast changes soon.
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snowman65
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I'm already on to next weekend...
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djmike
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Anything for Jefferson county Beaumont area?
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Rip76
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Fri Jan 23, 2026 2:00 pm
txsnowmaker wrote: Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:51 pm Metro Houston still looking good. NWS has a total of 0.05 inches of freezing rain forecasted, and not getting below 32 until late in the day on Sunday. Seems like it’s going to be a “be careful on freeways and overpasses” kind of system for those of us in the city!
I bet that changes as the mesos continue to get worse for Houston in terms of freezing rain and sleet.

They wouldn’t issue a WSW if they only thought .05 would fall. I bet that text forecast changes soon.
I believe so too.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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It’s not often your forecasted wind chills are below zero here. Keep that in mind.

I’m about to go drop some heater probes into our cow troughs.
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txsnowmaker
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Fri Jan 23, 2026 2:00 pm
txsnowmaker wrote: Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:51 pm Metro Houston still looking good. NWS has a total of 0.05 inches of freezing rain forecasted, and not getting below 32 until late in the day on Sunday. Seems like it’s going to be a “be careful on freeways and overpasses” kind of system for those of us in the city!
I bet that changes as the mesos continue to get worse for Houston in terms of freezing rain and sleet.

They wouldn’t issue a WSW if they only thought .05 would fall. I bet that text forecast changes soon.
Hopefully not, but I’ll certainly be keeping an eye on things just in case.
Last edited by txsnowmaker on Fri Jan 23, 2026 3:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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srainhoutx
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I hope everyone is doing well. What a massive Winter Storm is unfolding across almost 2400 miles of our Nation! Stay safe and know the wind chills mean business. I'm hoping the ice isn't too bad, but I am concerned that such a wide swatch of freezing rain could cause catastrophic electrical grid failures across the South even here in my County in Smoky Mountains.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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BAY29
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Geez this thing escalated quickly for Tomball
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