January 2026

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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txsnowmaker
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 5:23 pm I think .05 to .20 of ice is a reasonable scenario for se texas, heaviest accumulations should stay to our north, roads will be impassable for sure, but dont think power outages will be as big of an issue down here compared to north texas
Right, except he was talking about the “metro area.” He should have been more precise with his wording.
Stormlover2020
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Euro doesn’t budge on 18z lolll
txsnowmaker
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Stormlover2020 wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 5:44 pm Euro doesn’t budge on 18z lolll
What does it show?
biggerbyte
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This event for us could get down to nowcasting. Two camps atm. We were supposed to make a call on it today, but that was when things seemed a bit clearer. All of the mets were on board. Even wxman. Looking at things this evening, we are literally going to do the same song and dance. Noone can pin it down. All together boys and girls. Believe what you see.

I remember in Dallas we had ice cycles the size of an arm. Then it snowed on top of that. I'll never forget that. This is when Harold Taft was still alive. The night before he said Dallas was going to miss out as it passes north across Sherman. That is the first and only time he got it wrong.
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jasons2k
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Friendly reminder that even the short-term forecast can bust.
The wind was supposed to shift today and I was supposed to get up to 71 degrees.

Well the ‘warm front’ got hung-up to the SW, and we got stuck with a high of only 61 and a NE wind.

That’s a 10-degree bust today.
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don
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This is crazy!

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Brazoriatx979
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don wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 6:46 pm This is crazy!

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That's what you wanted don! He'll thats why you moved lol enjoy it
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DoctorMu
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 4:34 pm Lol. GFS has some snow in houston on the 30th haha, wont go into sny specifics other than that
No warm nose there! LFG!
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DoctorMu
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jasons2k wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 6:33 pm Friendly reminder that even the short-term forecast can bust.
The wind was supposed to shift today and I was supposed to get up to 71 degrees.

Well the ‘warm front’ got hung-up to the SW, and we got stuck with a high of only 61 and a NE wind.

That’s a 10-degree bust today.
58°F here. Never got close to the low 70s.
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jasons2k
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I posted this screenshot on S2K.
Always helpful look upstream. Frontal-genesis is rapidly taking place as the cold air begins to spill south along the front range. The freezing line is into Oklahoma, well ahead of schedule.
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DoctorMu
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I'm telling y'all the backside is where the action will be... when there's moisture on the northerly flow. Too much gulf being dragged into the system on the front end.
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DoctorMu
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jasons2k wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 7:26 pm I posted this screenshot on S2K.
Always helpful look upstream. Frontal-genesis is rapidly taking place as the cold air begins to spill south along the front range. The freezing line is into Oklahoma, well ahead of schedule.
Cold as always overperforms.
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Rip76
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jasons2k wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 7:26 pm I posted this screenshot on S2K.
Always helpful look upstream. Frontal-genesis is rapidly taking place as the cold air begins to spill south along the front range. The freezing line is into Oklahoma, well ahead of schedule.
Well ahead.
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DoctorMu
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Storm #2 on the 30th...
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Stratton20
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DoctorMu yeah that system might be more of a snow event, but we will see about that when we get there
oleander
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 4:45 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 4:41 pm
txsnowmaker wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 4:40 pm

Lol. Metro Houston isn’t getting 0.2 inches of ice accumulation. NWS has all rain through Monday.

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.p ... adDay.y=17
It’s still kinda early in the ballgame though to be honest.

Also, not sure about where you are, but I’m still under a winter weather watch in Wharton County.
You can tell who is a veteran at these events and who isn’t. I have to tell certain customers,who come to this board and the other so they can schedule manufacturing or installation based on weather, which posters to ignore and which ones to pay attention to….
Exactly ! You're one guy I pay attention to. Bourbon drinker and no BS. Thank you!
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jasons2k
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The freezing line is now in the NW Texas panhandle.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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jasons2k wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 8:00 pm The freezing line is now in the NW Texas panhandle.
Shall we take bets on when we drop below
Team #NeverSummer
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snowman65
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 8:27 pm
jasons2k wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 8:00 pm The freezing line is now in the NW Texas panhandle.
Shall we take bets on when we drop below
depends on who "we" is since members are from all over. Lets say reading at IAH airport. I'll say around midnight Saturday.
Seantx81
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IAH? I’ll take Saturday at 14:00.
I keep losing my usernames. Formerly vertigoss/seanatsk.

Survived Ike in Katy, Harvey in Dickinson and Allison in my car.
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