January 2026
- tireman4
- Global Moderator

- Posts: 6914
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
The Sperry-Piltz Ice Accumulation Index
- Attachments
-
- Sperry-Piltz Ice Index .jpg
- (215.49 KiB) Not downloaded yet
- don
- Posts: 3132
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
- Location: Wichita Falls
- Contact:
Agree, I’m surprised it’s not more active here.Brazoriatx979 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 21, 2026 10:36 am Pretty dead in here, considering what we have in store in a couple days.
-
txsnowmaker
- Posts: 733
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 4:07 pm
- Location: SW Houston (Galleria area)
- Contact:
NWS has about 0.1 inch of ice forecasted for metro Houston. We can deal with that without any major disruptions, although I’m sure that won’t prevent mob scenes and shortages at local HEB’s lol.
- snowman65
- Posts: 1412
- Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 6:39 am
- Location: Orange, Tx
- Contact:
Maybe everyone is out at Home Depot getting spigot coversdon wrote: ↑Wed Jan 21, 2026 10:41 amAgree, I’m surprised it’s not more active here.Brazoriatx979 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 21, 2026 10:36 am Pretty dead in here, considering what we have in store in a couple days.
-
TexasBreeze
- Posts: 1023
- Joined: Sun Sep 26, 2010 4:46 pm
- Location: NW Houston, TX
- Contact:
Freezing rain just doesn't have the interest as 2 plus inches of forecasted snow does. Big difference from the system a year ago.
-
Scott747
- Posts: 1647
- Joined: Tue Feb 23, 2010 9:56 am
- Location: Freeport/Surfside Beach
- Contact:
Because until the 12z runs today it was looking like less severe event for SE Texas.Brazoriatx979 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 21, 2026 10:36 am Pretty dead in here, considering what we have in store in a couple days.
These latest 12z runs aren't a trend we want to see down this way...
-
Stratton20
- Posts: 5711
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
- Contact:
I am cautiously optimistic that we can avoid serious widespread issues down here, although its going to be close, these 12z runs really suck, we need to see a trend toward more sleet
- tireman4
- Global Moderator

- Posts: 6914
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
Scott747 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 21, 2026 10:55 amBecause until the 12z runs today it was looking like less severe event for SE Texas.Brazoriatx979 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 21, 2026 10:36 am Pretty dead in here, considering what we have in store in a couple days.
These latest 12z runs aren't a trend we want to see down this way...
Wait until the 0Z GFS. It will have recon data points ingested into it. Also, I think the high res models will have another thing to say about this.
- MontgomeryCoWx
- Posts: 2740
- Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
- Location: Weimar, TX
- Contact:
The 12z runs were along my line of thinking all along. I figured there would be an uptick in freezing rain totals given the juiced STJ.Scott747 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 21, 2026 10:55 amBecause until the 12z runs today it was looking like less severe event for SE Texas.Brazoriatx979 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 21, 2026 10:36 am Pretty dead in here, considering what we have in store in a couple days.
These latest 12z runs aren't a trend we want to see down this way...
I never really bought into a ton of sleet accumulation outside of maybe College Station.
We are getting close to Ice Storm Warning Criteria across a large swath.
Team #NeverSummer
-
jabcwb2
- Posts: 231
- Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 5:43 am
- Location: Houston 77066
- Contact:
That is good news! We dont need death and destruction. The cold temps will do enough! I just hope the grid keeps up.MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Wed Jan 21, 2026 11:09 amThe 12z runs were along my line of thinking all along. I figured there would be an uptick in freezing rain totals given the juiced STJ.Scott747 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 21, 2026 10:55 amBecause until the 12z runs today it was looking like less severe event for SE Texas.Brazoriatx979 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 21, 2026 10:36 am Pretty dead in here, considering what we have in store in a couple days.
These latest 12z runs aren't a trend we want to see down this way...
I never really bought into a ton of sleet accumulation outside of maybe College Station.
We are getting close to Ice Storm Warning Criteria across a large swath.
-
Stratton20
- Posts: 5711
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
- Contact:
Oh its not lol, you definitely want more sleet accumulation than ice, ICE storms are just miserable
-
Stormlover2020
- Posts: 562
- Joined: Mon Jun 01, 2020 6:04 pm
- Contact:
No that’s bad u want snow an sleet not freezing rain
- MontgomeryCoWx
- Posts: 2740
- Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
- Location: Weimar, TX
- Contact:
Yeah, I was confused by his post.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 21, 2026 11:19 am Oh its not lol, you definitely want more sleet accumulation than ice, ICE storms are just miserable
The temps are gonna be there. It’s the column and qpf uptick that we need to watch.
Team #NeverSummer
- sambucol
- Posts: 1243
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 5:43 pm
- Location: Mont Belvieu
- Contact:
We’ve been preparing today and getting things needed. So maybe that’s what others are doing and at work.don wrote: ↑Wed Jan 21, 2026 10:41 amAgree, I’m surprised it’s not more active here.Brazoriatx979 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 21, 2026 10:36 am Pretty dead in here, considering what we have in store in a couple days.
-
jabcwb2
- Posts: 231
- Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 5:43 am
- Location: Houston 77066
- Contact:
WOW! I REALLY DID MISREAD THIS! I'm so sorry - I was scrolling on the fly and thought the freezing rain was stopping around College Station.MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Wed Jan 21, 2026 11:23 amYeah, I was confused by his post.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 21, 2026 11:19 am Oh its not lol, you definitely want more sleet accumulation than ice, ICE storms are just miserable
The temps are gonna be there. It’s the column and qpf uptick that we need to watch.
-
Scott747
- Posts: 1647
- Joined: Tue Feb 23, 2010 9:56 am
- Location: Freeport/Surfside Beach
- Contact:
That recon run was scheduled to help with the Deep South and East Coast event. We're only catching a break with how Sunday could evolve.tireman4 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 21, 2026 11:04 amScott747 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 21, 2026 10:55 amBecause until the 12z runs today it was looking like less severe event for SE Texas.Brazoriatx979 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 21, 2026 10:36 am Pretty dead in here, considering what we have in store in a couple days.
These latest 12z runs aren't a trend we want to see down this way...
Wait until the 0Z GFS. It will have recon data points ingested into it. Also, I think the high res models will have another thing to say about this.
- MontgomeryCoWx
- Posts: 2740
- Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
- Location: Weimar, TX
- Contact:
Ensemble means are really increasing qpf here.
We better hope that includes sleet or it could get Western real fast around here.
We better hope that includes sleet or it could get Western real fast around here.
Team #NeverSummer
-
Brazoriatx979
- Posts: 509
- Joined: Tue Nov 26, 2024 10:10 am
- Location: Angleton
- Contact:
yup **** is going to get real. i noticed hou/galv has added the coastal counties for freezing rain alsoMontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Wed Jan 21, 2026 12:17 pm Ensemble means are really increasing qpf here.
We better hope that includes sleet or it could get Western real fast around here.
- tireman4
- Global Moderator

- Posts: 6914
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
From Wxman57 on S2K
12Z EC looks WAY too warm and slow with the front. It had Houston at 71 degrees 6pm Saturday and no freezing rain south of College Station. Ignore it. Meanwhile, crazy Canadian has Houston down to 3 degrees Tuesday morning, which is over 20 degrees colder than NBM. Ignore it, at least for Houston. As for me, I'm hoping the EC is right and that the front won't do much for the Houston area. Unfortunately, I think it's not doing well at all.
12Z EC looks WAY too warm and slow with the front. It had Houston at 71 degrees 6pm Saturday and no freezing rain south of College Station. Ignore it. Meanwhile, crazy Canadian has Houston down to 3 degrees Tuesday morning, which is over 20 degrees colder than NBM. Ignore it, at least for Houston. As for me, I'm hoping the EC is right and that the front won't do much for the Houston area. Unfortunately, I think it's not doing well at all.
-
mcheer23
- Global Moderator

- Posts: 605
- Joined: Fri Jan 11, 2013 11:15 am
- Location: Missouri City/ Sugar Land
- Contact:
The way EWX just issued their Winter Storm Watch, tells me that HGX will likely keep it above I-10