January 2026

[DoctorMu]

Well heres a big update.. now saying heavy snow storm Sunday for us in Orange.. hmmm 70/80%

Woah. That's moving south and to the Gulf in a hurry.

[txsnowmaker]

Well judging by what hou/gal said the coastal counties should be good

Lol.

What's funny

NWS is notoriously late with winter weather advisories. It’s very early to throw in the towel for coastal counties.

[txsnowmaker]

Much weaker warm nose on the 18z GFS, looks more like a sleet storm for SE texas

Not surprised one bit. Won’t be surprised to see that turn to snow either.

[txsnowmaker]

Well heres a big update.. now saying heavy snow storm Sunday for us in Orange.. hmmm 70/80%

Which app/forecast?

[Brazoriatx979]

Well heres a big update.. now saying heavy snow storm Sunday for us in Orange.. hmmm 70/80%

Which app/forecast?

Ya, where are you seeing that at? Nws doesn't say anything about snow for orange

[snowman65]

Its from weather.com but it didnt say that earlier today

[don]

This may end up being the biggest winter storm that I have personally experienced so far in my life. I consider the 1997 ice storm to be the biggest winter storm i have experienced.

[Stratton20]

And the GFS has a 2nd winter storm in central texas on the 30th, thats about as vigorous of a sub tropical jet as ive ever seen in the winter, shortwave after shortwave

[Brazoriatx979]

18z euro

[tireman4]

Jeff Lindner (at 3:25 pm)

[jasons2k]

Here’s what 1” of ice can do:

https://x.com/tkanost/status/2013682000121438226?s=46

[DoctorMu]

Jeff Lindner (at 3:25 pm)

There will be Cold.

[DoctorMu]

Here’s what 1” of ice can do:

https://x.com/tkanost/status/2013682000121438226?s=46

Back in the Carolinas! Every damn winter there. lol

[Ptarmigan]

The forecast model trends have freezing rain heading southwards into Houston area. If the forecast models are having it similar to January 1997, that would be a major problem.

Our freezing rain is becoming sleet in the NWS forecast.

Wintry weather is a complex and difficult forecast.

[Ptarmigan]

[Ptarmigan]

Hurricane Hunters are flying into the low pressure in the Pacific. The same low pressure system that will be responsible for the wintry weather this weekend.

[Kludge]

Much weaker warm nose on the 18z GFS, looks more like a sleet storm for SE texas

Agree. I've only been observing and researching south Texas weather for 60 years... but I've learned to filter the model noise and overall hype and go by all the sensible signs. Those of us north of the I-10 (-ish) line will see a cold rain that will change to freezing for a few hours... then go predominately sleet for most of the duration through late Sunday. Flurries will mix in as the event winds down off-and-on through Monday, with no real thaw for a couple of miserable days with quite a few of us without power. [Just my thinking, use several grains of salt]

But you know what? It's southeast Texas and I welcome a bit of real winter to offset the 10 month sauna. So once again I say, "bring-it... even a little discomfort is better than doldrums".

Let's roll...

[Kludge]

Hurricane Hunters are flying into the low pressure in the Pacific. The same low pressure system that will be responsible for the wintry weather this weekend.

That is so great to see. I was afraid we were going to have to wait for balloons, etc. after it hit shore to get some real data. We can't fault the models for inaccuracies if they don't have real measurements to work with.

[DoctorMu]

Much weaker warm nose on the 18z GFS, looks more like a sleet storm for SE texas

Agree. I've only been observing and researching south Texas weather for 60 years... but I've learned to filter the model noise and overall hype and go by all the sensible signs. Those of us north of the I-10 (-ish) line will see a cold rain that will change to freezing for a few hours... then go predominately sleet for most of the duration through late Sunday. Flurries will mix in as the event winds down off-and-on through Monday, with no real thaw for a couple of miserable days with quite a few of us without power. [Just my thinking, use several grains of salt]

But you know what? It's southeast Texas and I welcome a bit of real winter to offset the 10 month sauna. So once again I say, "bring-it... even a little discomfort is better than doldrums".

Let's roll...

Sounds about right for College Station. We may stay below freezing from Friday night to Tuesday afternoon. Get out the ice skates and s;eds. Put away the automobiles and truck.

[DoctorMu]

Is this cold? Asking for a friend.