January 2026

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Cromagnum
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Brazoriatx979 wrote: Tue Jan 20, 2026 1:37 pm
don wrote: Tue Jan 20, 2026 1:29 pm Just got put under a Winter Storm Watch here.
Congratulations, Houston will be the last ones to do it.They always drag their feet
I mean...conditions will be at least 1 day behind in Houston from northern Texas so that makes sense.
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tireman4
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Cromagnum wrote: Tue Jan 20, 2026 2:14 pm
Brazoriatx979 wrote: Tue Jan 20, 2026 1:37 pm
don wrote: Tue Jan 20, 2026 1:29 pm Just got put under a Winter Storm Watch here.
Congratulations, Houston will be the last ones to do it.They always drag their feet
I mean...conditions will be at least 1 day behind in Houston from northern Texas so that makes sense.
And there is this.... It`s too early for any
Winter Storm Watches at this time, but those will probably
eventually be needed for at least part of the CWA in the next day
or two. Current forecast winds are sustained around 10-12 kts with
gust to 20kts, which may also aid in power outages.
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DoctorMu
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Cromagnum wrote: Tue Jan 20, 2026 2:14 pm
Brazoriatx979 wrote: Tue Jan 20, 2026 1:37 pm
don wrote: Tue Jan 20, 2026 1:29 pm Just got put under a Winter Storm Watch here.
Congratulations, Houston will be the last ones to do it.They always drag their feet
I mean...conditions will be at least 1 day behind in Houston from northern Texas so that makes sense.
TS, WinterStorms. HGX waits until NowCasting. :oops:
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DoctorMu
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NWS forecast today is close to my 60+ hours of temps at freezing or below in a row in College Station.
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snowman65
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Right now it's just shaking that magic 8 ball. Give it a few days, at least tomorrow...
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DoctorMu
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txsnowmaker wrote: Tue Jan 20, 2026 1:54 pm
Brazoriatx979 wrote: Tue Jan 20, 2026 12:46 pm
jabcwb2 wrote: Tue Jan 20, 2026 12:45 pm

50 hours of snow?????? (I follow this forum because I don't know anything about weather.)
lol, no its going to to snow for 50 hrs
Perhaps not nonstop, but snow accumulations in the city of Houston begin at Hour 108 and get gradually higher through Hour 150 per 12z GFS.
We're going to be in the teens Saturday and possibly Sunday nights.
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tireman4
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MontgomeryCoWx
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snowman65 wrote: Tue Jan 20, 2026 2:30 pm Right now it's just shaking that magic 8 ball. Give it a few days, at least tomorrow...
Stop. It’s going to happen. What we don’t know is duration and severity.
Last edited by MontgomeryCoWx on Tue Jan 20, 2026 3:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Team #NeverSummer
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DoctorMu
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tireman4 wrote: Tue Jan 20, 2026 9:39 am
cperk wrote: Tue Jan 20, 2026 9:26 am I don't want anything to do with freezing rain or sleet. :(


I will say this, and this comes with experience with Research Triangle ( Raleigh/Durham/Chapel Hill) winters. Sleet is much easier to drive on that freezing rain, of course. Once you get used to it, sleet is manageable (drive in the grooves on the road, stay at 40/45 mph on the highway, leave an hour early and make your stops at least 500/700 feet before). Now, snow is the easiest, especially the dry snow. Freezing rain is the pits. You have no idea where the ice is and when you steer into the spin, you have to use the emergency brake to gently tap it to stop. I had to learn that the hard way.

The NAM is coming in colder. I will stand by my earlier statement. I think Thursday and onward will be the models to watch.
Yep, can attest to this as a former NC resident. Cruise, but not fast and leave a lot of distance for breaking. If freezing rain only - don't bother to go out.
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christinac2016
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Not sure my last post went thru. So Thursday or Friday to be D day as in get essentials from store. And we should probably not get out Saturday at all.
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snowman65
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Tue Jan 20, 2026 3:05 pm
snowman65 wrote: Tue Jan 20, 2026 2:30 pm Right now it's just shaking that magic 8 ball. Give it a few days, at least tomorrow...
Stop. It’s going to happen. What we don’t know is duration and severity.
lol. I'm just saying it's too early to know for sure what's going to happen and how bad it might be. We know somethings going to happen, no denying that.
Brazoriatx979
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I'm going Saturday evening. I'm not worried as much here brazoria county i believe we will be ok here
txsnowmaker
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Brazoriatx979 wrote: Tue Jan 20, 2026 2:08 pm Well judging by what hou/gal said the coastal counties should be good
Lol.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Wxman57 thinks a tenth to as much as a quarter inch of ice in Houston proper.


A quarter can cause havoc. A tenth is more of a driving nuisance but not so much for power.
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Brazoriatx979
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txsnowmaker wrote: Tue Jan 20, 2026 3:33 pm
Brazoriatx979 wrote: Tue Jan 20, 2026 2:08 pm Well judging by what hou/gal said the coastal counties should be good
Lol.
What's funny
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djmike
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NWS LC now have Beaumont freezing rain for Saturday night / Sunday.

Have a feeling Houston and Beaumont areas will see freezing and ice. But minimal disruption. JMO
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Stratton20
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Much weaker warm nose on the 18z GFS, looks more like a sleet storm for SE texas
Brazoriatx979
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Yup
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snowman65
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Well heres a big update.. now saying heavy snow storm Sunday for us in Orange.. hmmm 70/80%
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DoctorMu
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tireman4 wrote: Tue Jan 20, 2026 2:43 pmColin Myers
That's Dallas. Winter stuff through Hearne. Unfortunately, CLL is just outside Dallas and Austin forecast areas - I tend to blend their forecasts with Houston. And HGX is late to the party.
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