January 2026

[Brazoriatx979]

So short range guidance is getting colder faster. how does that bode for us here?

[Cpv17]

So short range guidance is getting colder faster. how does that bode for us here?

More of a chance at wintry weather. That’s why I said I’m beginning not to worry about temps, but more concerned about precip.

[tireman4]

I don't want anything to do with freezing rain or sleet.

I will say this, and this comes with experience with Research Triangle ( Raleigh/Durham/Chapel Hill) winters. Sleet is much easier to drive on that freezing rain, of course. Once you get used to it, sleet is manageable (drive in the grooves on the road, stay at 40/45 mph on the highway, leave an hour early and make your stops at least 500/700 feet before). Now, snow is the easiest, especially the dry snow. Freezing rain is the pits. You have no idea where the ice is and when you steer into the spin, you have to use the emergency brake to gently tap it to stop. I had to learn that the hard way.

The NAM is coming in colder. I will stand by my earlier statement. I think Thursday and onward will be the models to watch.

Whenever we have freezing rain, I don’t even go anywhere, and I’ve never understood why people are on the roads to begin with.

Well..cough cough..ahem...when you worked in the service industry (Avis) and they never close, you have to go to work. So, in times like that, you have to go to work.

[Brazoriatx979]

So short range guidance is getting colder faster. how does that bode for us here?

More of a chance at wintry weather. That’s why I said I’m beginning not to worry about temps, but more concerned about precip.

shouldnt have a probem with precip no? that's a fire house coming in from the pacific

[Brazoriatx979]

massive precipitation on the icon

[tireman4]

Goodness, the ICON. If it comes close to verifying for cold temperatures ( and I am not sold on it...), goodness gracious the whole state.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Nothing has changed in my mind. WSWs for the far western and northern counties. May need to add Waller and Montgomery in there with mastery trends.

If the trend continues into tomorrow, then Harris and Ft Bend.

[Cpv17]

So short range guidance is getting colder faster. how does that bode for us here?

More of a chance at wintry weather. That’s why I said I’m beginning not to worry about temps, but more concerned about precip.

shouldnt have a probem with precip no? that's a fire house coming in from the pacific

The firehose looks to be aimed at central to north central Texas through deep east Texas. Want to see that expand or shift further S.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Goodness, the ICON. If it comes close to verifying for cold temperatures ( and I am not sold on it...), goodness gracious the whole state.

Precip tends to be getting heavier across the models for us in later frames. Won’t take much to get in Ice Storm Warning Criteria if that continues.

[tireman4]

Goodness, the ICON. If it comes close to verifying for cold temperatures ( and I am not sold on it...), goodness gracious the whole state.

Precip tends to be getting heavier across the models for us in later frames. Won’t take much to get in Ice Storm Warning Criteria if that continues.

Agreed, but that warm nose will be hard to shake.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Goodness, the ICON. If it comes close to verifying for cold temperatures ( and I am not sold on it...), goodness gracious the whole state.

Precip tends to be getting heavier across the models for us in later frames. Won’t take much to get in Ice Storm Warning Criteria if that continues.

Agreed, but that warm nose will be hard to shake.

Downtown Houston, yeah, probably even.

MoCo,
WalCo
AusCo
WalkCo
BrazCo
Grimes
Wash
CoCo

All systems go.

[Cpv17]

Precip tends to be getting heavier across the models for us in later frames. Won’t take much to get in Ice Storm Warning Criteria if that continues.

Agreed, but that warm nose will be hard to shake.

Downtown Houston, yeah, probably even.

MoCo,
WalCo
AusCo
WalkCo
BrazCo
Grimes
Wash
CoCo

All systems go.

Polk and San Jacinto counties as well.

[Cpv17]

Jackson, Wharton, Fort Bend, Harris, and Liberty counties we wait and see. By tomorrow we’ll know more.

[tireman4]

Jackson, Wharton, Fort Bend, Harris, and Liberty counties we wait and see. By tomorrow we’ll know more.

I think once we are receiving the high res models, then pin pointing and further verification can start.

[don]

[mcheer23]

If that GFS pans out, you can add Fort Bend and Harris

[snowman65]

Does it appear things are slowly shifting southward? What about Golden Triangle?

[TexasBreeze]

Looks like the gfs precip goes out further into Sunday night and Monday in a couple waves. Interesting.

[Brazoriatx979]

damn lol it absolutely refuses to go to brazoria county

[tireman4]

If that GFS pans out, you can add Fort Bend and Harris

The ICON, a great model at times with the tropics, scares me as far as accuracy. The GFS likes to be schizophrenic, and the Euro used to be nails...LOL.