January 2026

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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walsean1
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The model always underestimates cold air. As the week moves forward forecast will shift and trend colder
Cpv17
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Made it down to 26°F this morning, definitely wasn’t expecting that. First time all season the forecast temp busted low.

Wanted to add to this that the feels like temp made it down to 14°F this morning as well. That’s freaking cold!
Last edited by Cpv17 on Sun Jan 18, 2026 12:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Stratton20
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Euro on board with a winter storm as well, lots to watch this week
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tireman4
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This is the UK Met. First, I am not on board..yet. Second, it is so hard to predict the potential of frozen P Type issues in the CWA. Third, the trend is your friend. I would buy into parts of it 5 days and further in. Right now, enjoy the colors.
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Cpv17
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I wouldn’t get too excited yet about the models. I wouldn’t be surprised if they start trending in the wrong direction come tomorrow. I’ve seen this show before. If we can get it inside of 100 hours then we can start talking.
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don
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The Euro brings frozen precip into SE Texas.

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Brazoriatx979
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don wrote: Sun Jan 18, 2026 11:57 am The Euro brings frozen precip into SE Texas.

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Mind you, im still learning but, isn't the green rain over se tx and not frozen?
Stratton20
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Cpv17 I have to disagreed somewhat, ensemble support has been growing for some sort of storm system
Cpv17
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Would like to see a gulf low form near Brownsville and ride up the coastline for those of us in SETX.
Cpv17
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Brazoriatx979 wrote: Sun Jan 18, 2026 11:59 am
don wrote: Sun Jan 18, 2026 11:57 am The Euro brings frozen precip into SE Texas.

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Mind you, im still learning but, isn't the green rain over se tx and not frozen?
Green is rain, pink is freezing rain, orange is sleet, blue is snow.
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don
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What matters is that it shows frozen precip in portions of SE Texas. It's too far out in range to get hung up on where the models show the freezing line at this point in time.
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DoctorMu
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don wrote: Sun Jan 18, 2026 8:32 am It's currently 17 degrees here, we got down to 16F last night. 🥶
25° low here. DP at 17°F. Dry and crisp. Yesterday was pretty blustery. N20 G 35. Light northerlies today. I'd take today's weather all year long - sign me up.
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DoctorMu
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The FROPA on the 25th across the model/Ensemble board looks more robust. Me likee.

Whether we can get some moisture in combo is probably dicey.

But hey, the FL panhandle and Macon, GA received snow yesterday.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Brazoriatx979 wrote: Sun Jan 18, 2026 11:59 am
don wrote: Sun Jan 18, 2026 11:57 am The Euro brings frozen precip into SE Texas.

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Mind you, im still learning but, isn't the green rain over se tx and not frozen?
Most of SE TX is experiencing frozen precip. As usual, the southern 1/3 doesn’t. That’s usually how it happens.
Team #NeverSummer
Cpv17
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Sun Jan 18, 2026 12:21 pm
Brazoriatx979 wrote: Sun Jan 18, 2026 11:59 am
don wrote: Sun Jan 18, 2026 11:57 am The Euro brings frozen precip into SE Texas.

Image
Mind you, im still learning but, isn't the green rain over se tx and not frozen?
Most of SE TX is experiencing frozen precip. As usual, the southern 1/3 doesn’t. That’s usually how it happens.
Unless you get a Gulf low to form or models start coming in a few degrees colder. Gulf low would be ideal for all of us here though.
Stratton20
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Could be fun times ahead, but what isnt fun is CJ Stroud, hes not good at all lol
Brazoriatx979
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The front is going to be like cj..teasing us with what could be..but ends up with losing out on the game and winter weather lol
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tireman4
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Brazoriatx979 wrote: Sun Jan 18, 2026 3:37 pm The front is going to be like cj..teasing us with what could be..but ends up with losing out on the game and winter weather lol
Fortunately for me, my team was not even close to the playoffs. We wait for more model runs.
Stratton20
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Brutal ice storm for all of SE texas at day 6 on the 18z GFS…..
Brazoriatx979
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Stratton20 wrote: Sun Jan 18, 2026 4:18 pm Brutal ice storm for all of SE texas at day 6 on the 18z GFS…..
Even the coastal areas?
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