November 2025

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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DoctorMu
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Cromagnum wrote: Wed Nov 19, 2025 6:47 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Wed Nov 19, 2025 5:21 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Wed Nov 19, 2025 3:49 pm

Its a very humbling experience. PhD and nearly 20 years of experience and can still be tossed aside without even batting an eye. People really need to treat other people better.
That sux. There's a trickle down effect. Tariffs and the lack of an FY26 budget appropriations in the sciences (NSF, NIH, etc) are a crusher. Did the start-up use SBIR funding (Fed business grants)?
Nope. Leftover funds from split with NASA finally running dry. Burning a little over a million a month and piggy bank will be empty by mid 2026.

CEO has an ego the size of Texas and has no idea how industry really does business. At least once a week I've seen him call an industry expert a moron (or worse) because they didnt agree with him.

Has no product ready for actual launch, but everybody else's products suck for one reason or another, etc...
Yeah, we're having trouble re: NASA but for a different reason. Our grants are drying up because of budget cuts, but I do have products and publications. Our TAMU administration is giving an concerted effort to keep NASA investigators on campus prepped if the spigot turns on again. We looking for foundation and private sources of funding. It's tricky.

Gotta save those pennies for Elon!

Your CEO sounds like the idiot.
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DoctorMu
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Today or really tomorrow begins a very slow cooldown over the next week to seasonable temps. Rain chances are highest tomorrow and Monday, but the overall rain event chances have been sagging. We'll get some. Our grass is turning brown anyway. the trees are OK. The rain we needed would have been September and October...except we had more summer instead, with the except of a handful of days.
Cromagnum
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Was suppose to rain all night up here but we didn't get a drop. Now its suppose to rain tonight. We'll see.
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DoctorMu
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Potential incoming...

Looks like it may be a drive-by. No rain.

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https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standar ... 3683763309
Cpv17
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Big win Texans!!! And I’m off work tomorrow, getting my weekend started off right.
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tireman4
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Heads up for this weekend
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Cromagnum
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Our local mets in Austin are full of it. Many forecasted for floods, then it turned into 1-2 inches of widespread rains forecast. Most of the area didnt even get a 0.5 inch, and many got absolutely nothing.
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jasons2k
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I remember a few days ago looking forward to that 80% chance of rain they posted for Thursday (yesterday).

Some things change, but some things stay the same.
Brazoriatx979
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Not much of a cold blast lol
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Stratton20
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Brazoriatx979 the bigger push of arctic air doesnt come until early december, that has always been consistent in ensembles/ some globals, the front on thanksgiving is more of a modified canadian front, we still are 6 days out, but they will adjust those numbers down lol
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snowman65
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This has been a November not to remember....
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DoctorMu
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Nothing has really changed except less rain in SETX today, which is no surprise. Glad to see drought-stricken areas get some needed rain (Hill Country, West-Central Texas).

Slow cooldown over the next 5 days to seasonable temps. - sure as hell beats that last 5-6 days! :lol:

The December FROPA is far more exciting on the EURO-AIFS than GFS or the Ensembles. We'll see.

For your entertainment and consideration:

Image

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... _us_49.png



No real surprise that Bastardi is all in.
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Stratton20
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Euro now looks almost exactly like the AIFS now
Brazoriatx979
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Stratton20 wrote: Fri Nov 21, 2025 12:01 pm Euro now looks almost exactly like the AIFS now
winter storm to the coast....
Cpv17
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DoctorMu wrote: Fri Nov 21, 2025 11:51 am Nothing has really changed except less rain in SETX today, which is no surprise. Glad to see drought-stricken areas get some needed rain (Hill Country, West-Central Texas).

Slow cooldown over the next 5 days to seasonable temps. - sure as hell beats that last 5-6 days! :lol:

The December FROPA is far more exciting on the EURO-AIFS than GFS or the Ensembles. We'll see.

For your entertainment and consideration:

Image

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... _us_49.png



No real surprise that Bastardi is all in.
I’m sure you know by now the GFS is basically useless at seeing cold air more than 10 days out. The Euro isn’t even that good past 10 days at seeing cold. Remember it completely busted on the Feb 2021 event.
TexasBreeze
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I know anything with regards to precip could be difficult considering it is hard to get any widespread rain currently. It was supposed to pour yesterday and nothing!
Brazoriatx979
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euro has a major cold blast heading down the plains straight for us
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DoctorMu
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Cpv17 wrote: Fri Nov 21, 2025 12:38 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Fri Nov 21, 2025 11:51 am Nothing has really changed except less rain in SETX today, which is no surprise. Glad to see drought-stricken areas get some needed rain (Hill Country, West-Central Texas).

Slow cooldown over the next 5 days to seasonable temps. - sure as hell beats that last 5-6 days! :lol:

The December FROPA is far more exciting on the EURO-AIFS than GFS or the Ensembles. We'll see.

For your entertainment and consideration:

Image

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... _us_49.png



No real surprise that Bastardi is all in.
I’m sure you know by now the GFS is basically useless at seeing cold air more than 10 days out. The Euro isn’t even that good past 10 days at seeing cold. Remember it completely busted on the Feb 2021 event.
Aware. CMC nailed the 2021 storm, though.
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DoctorMu
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Brazoriatx979 wrote: Fri Nov 21, 2025 2:35 pm euro has a major cold blast heading down the plains straight for us
Snow in west Texas...and north near Don.
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DoctorMu
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TexasBreeze wrote: Fri Nov 21, 2025 12:57 pm I know anything with regards to precip could be difficult considering it is hard to get any widespread rain currently. It was supposed to pour yesterday and nothing!
70% to nothing.

I scoff at the 90% chance on Monday.
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